UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim Β· breakdown
Picks, timestamped
entry price locked at moment of pick Β· line tracked since Β· best price in any region Β· close = day before the event
KS
Ketlen Souza
v Ariane Carnelossi
MONEYLINE
WON
Ketlen Souza
v Ariane Carnelossi
MONEYLINE
WON
βI believe this time around Ketlen Souza will be able to exact her revenge by showcasing her improvements, better durability, and ability to just wear Ariane Carnelossi down and eventually grind this fight out and win it on the score cards.β
Line since pick
CLV +3%
β entry$1.38
β
close$1.34
entry: Coolbet Β· best in any region at publish
CC
Chelsea Chandler
v Priscila Cachoeira
MONEYLINE
WON
Chelsea Chandler
v Priscila Cachoeira
MONEYLINE
WON
βI believe it's going to be Chelsea Chandler's grappling that allows her to get to a dominant position to find the submission or TKO here over Priscila Cachoeira.β
Line since pick
CLV +0%
β entry$1.87
β
close$1.87
entry: Caesars Β· best in any region at publish
BS
Bruno Gustavo da Silva
v Γdgar ChΓ‘irez
MONEYLINE
LOST
Bruno Gustavo da Silva
v Γdgar ChΓ‘irez
MONEYLINE
LOST
βI expect him to really just put the pace and pressure on Γdgar ChΓ‘irez, mix in a few takedowns, land more damage, and end up winning this fight on the scorecards.β
Line since pick
CLV β5%
β entry$1.78
β
close$1.87
entry: SportsBet Β· best in any region at publish
MM
Marcus McGhee
v John Yannis
MONEYLINE
WON
Marcus McGhee
v John Yannis
MONEYLINE
WON
βI believe this is a great match-up for him to go out there and utilize his speed, power, and athleticism advantage over the crisp boxing of John Yannis, and that should lead to Marcus McGhee landing more damage and winning this fight on the scorecards.β
Line since pick
CLV β2%
β entry$1.22
β
close$1.24
entry: BetOnline.ag Β· best in any region at publish
IB
Iwo Baraniewski
v Junior Tafa
MONEYLINE
WON
Iwo Baraniewski
v Junior Tafa
MONEYLINE
WON
βI believe this will be a very tough match-up for him with Iwo Baraniewski easily getting this fight to the ground and then having his pick in terms of getting a TKO or submission, but I think Iwo Baraniewski dominates Junior Tafa within the first 5 minutes.β
Line since pick
CLV +1%
β entry$1.29
β
close$1.28
entry: Betfair Sportsbook Β· best in any region at publish
BA
Brendan Allen
v Edmen Shahbazyan
MONEYLINE
WON
Brendan Allen
v Edmen Shahbazyan
MONEYLINE
WON
βI expect the veteran IQ of Brendan Allen to help him get through that first round while setting a high pace, and then eventually finding a finish of his own in round two or round three, and I think it comes by submission.β
Line since pick
CLV β6%
β entry$1.49
β
close$1.59
entry: BetOnline.ag Β· best in any region at publish
BA
Brendan Allen
v Edmen Shahbazyan
PROP Β· SUBMISSION
LOST
Brendan Allen
v Edmen Shahbazyan
PROP Β· SUBMISSION
LOST
βI expect the veteran IQ of Brendan Allen to help him get through that first round while setting a high pace, and then eventually finding a finish of his own in round two or round three, and I think it comes by submission.β
Moneyline since pick
CLV β6%
β entry$1.49
β
close$1.59
Allenβs moneyline β prop lines arenβt quoted
BM
Belal Muhammad
v Gabriel Bonfim
MONEYLINE
LOST
Belal Muhammad
v Gabriel Bonfim
MONEYLINE
LOST
βI expect Belal Muhammad's ironclad durability to hold up here, and the pace that he's going to set is going to be too much for Gabriel Bonfim, leading to a round four [clears throat] or round five TKO win for Belal Muhammad as Gabriel Bonfim starts sucking wind too heavy in those main event rounds.β
Line since pick
CLV β6%
β entry$1.83
β
close$1.95
entry: BetOnline.ag Β· best in any region at publish
BM
Belal Muhammad
v Gabriel Bonfim
PROP Β· KO/TKO
LOST
Belal Muhammad
v Gabriel Bonfim
PROP Β· KO/TKO
LOST
βSo, give me Belal Muhammad Belal Muhammad by TKO.β
Moneyline since pick
CLV β6%
β entry$1.83
β
close$1.95
Muhammadβs moneyline β prop lines arenβt quoted
JL
Jordan Leavitt
v Joanderson Brito
MONEYLINE
LOST
β
Jordan Leavitt
v Joanderson Brito
MONEYLINE
LOST
β
βI expect Jordan Leavitt to go out there and showcase a dominant grappling performance just as he did last time around against NOT_IN_ROSTER_4. ... Jordan Leavitt goes out there, grinds him out, and wins this on on score cards.β
Line since pick
CLV +2%
β entry$2.75
β
close$2.70
entry: Pinnacle Β· best in any region at publish
AC
Alessandro Costa
v Matt Schnell
PROP Β· SUBMISSION
LOST
β
Alessandro Costa
v Matt Schnell
PROP Β· SUBMISSION
LOST
β
βI believe this is a perfect fight for Alessandro Costa to go out there and showcase his finishing abilities once again. ... I think Alessandro Costa will eventually slap on a submission to force a tap here from Matt Schnell.β
Moneyline since pick
CLV β5%
β entry$1.16
β
close$1.22
Costaβs moneyline β prop lines arenβt quoted
AC
Alessandro Costa
v Matt Schnell
MONEYLINE
WON
β
Alessandro Costa
v Matt Schnell
MONEYLINE
WON
β
βI believe this is a perfect fight for Alessandro Costa to go out there and showcase his finishing abilities once again. ... I think Alessandro Costa will eventually slap on a submission to force a tap here from Matt Schnell.β
Line since pick
CLV β5%
β entry$1.16
β
close$1.22
entry: BetOnline.ag Β· best in any region at publish
SL
Santiago Luna
v Bryce Mitchell
MONEYLINE
LOST
β
Santiago Luna
v Bryce Mitchell
MONEYLINE
LOST
β
βI believe this is one of those match-ups that will showcase that. ... going out there and showcasing a superior striking game leading to a dominant knockout victory for Santiago Luna.β
Line since pick
CLV +0%
β entry$2.20
β
close$2.20
entry: BetOnline.ag Β· best in any region at publish