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Axel MMA
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · breakdown

UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs Reyes Predictions

AM Axel MMA59% hit
9 months ago 7W–4L · +2.2u 11/15 graded
Picks, timestamped entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event
İA İbo Aslan v Junior Tafa PROP · DECISION
“I would have gone İbo Aslan to win by decision.”
fight iq ↗
Moneyline since pick CLV −14%
◆ entry$1.68 → now$1.96
Aslan’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
EE Evan Elder v Tom Nolan MONEYLINE
“I was going to go with Evan Elder to win.”
fight iq ↗
Line since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$2.00 → now$2.00
CC Charlie Campbell v Tom Nolan MONEYLINE LOST
“I'm less confident in Charlie Campbell because I was going to go with Evan Elder, medium confidence.”
fight iq ↗
Line since pick CLV −2%
◆ entry$2.31 → close$2.35
entry: 1xBet · best in any region at publish
BP Brando Peričić v Elisha Ellison PROP · KO/TKO WON
“Brando Peričić first round knockout.”
fight iq ↗
Moneyline since pick CLV +6%
◆ entry$1.59 → close$1.50
Peričić’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
MM Michelle Montague v Luana Carolina PROP · SUBMISSION LOST
“I'm gonna go with Michelle Montague to get this done by first round submission.”
fight iq ↗
Moneyline since pick CLV −3%
◆ entry$1.48 → close$1.52
Montague’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
CT Colby Thicknesse v Josias Musasa MONEYLINE WON
“I'm going to go Colby Thicknesse.”
fight iq ↗
Line since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$2.40 → close$2.40
entry: BetMGM · best in any region at publish
JM Jonathan Micallef v Oban Elliott MONEYLINE
“Give me Jonathan Micallef.”
fight iq ↗
Line since pick CLV +4%
◆ entry$2.10 → now$2.02
entry: Betfair Sportsbook · best in any region at publish
NS Navajo Stirling v Rodolfo Bellato PROP · KO/TKO LOST
“I'm going to go Sterling to win by knockout.”
fight iq ↗
Moneyline since pick CLV +1%
◆ entry$1.44 → close$1.42
Stirling’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
LS Louie Sutherland v Justin Tafa PROP · KO/TKO
“Give me Louie Sutherland first round knockout.”
fight iq ↗
Moneyline since pick CLV −1%
◆ entry$2.07 → now$2.10
Sutherland’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
JM Jake Matthews v Neil Magny MONEYLINE LOST
“Give me Jake Matthews.”
fight iq ↗
Line since pick CLV −2%
◆ entry$1.26 → close$1.29
entry: DraftKings · best in any region at publish
JJ Jack Jenkins v Ramon Taveras MONEYLINE WON
“Jack Jenkins could beat him here. He's more well-rounded. He's better.”
fight iq ↗
Line since pick CLV +1%
◆ entry$1.38 → close$1.37
entry: BetAnything · best in any region at publish
JC Jimmy Crute v Ivan Erslan MONEYLINE WON
“I'm going to go with Jimmy Crute to win.”
fight iq ↗
Line since pick CLV +4%
◆ entry$1.59 → close$1.53
entry: BetAnything · best in any region at publish
CU Carlos Ulberg v Dominick Reyes PROP · KO/TKO WON —
“I'm going Carlos Carlos Ulberg by second or third round knockout.”
fight iq ↗
Moneyline since pick CLV −1%
◆ entry$1.43 → close$1.44
Ulberg’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $1.40
AT Alexia Thainara v Loma Lookboonmee PROP · DECISION WON —
“I'm going to go with Alexia Thainara because Loma Lookboonmee looked like [__] in her last fight.”
fight iq ↗
Moneyline since pick CLV −2%
◆ entry$1.43 → close$1.46
Thainara’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
CR Cameron Rowston v Andre Petroski MONEYLINE WON —
“I'm going Cam Roen. Underdog.”
fight iq ↗
Line since pick CLV −10%
◆ entry$2.40 → close$2.66
entry: BetOnline.ag · best in any region at publish