UFC on ESPN: Moreno vs. Erceg · breakdown
Picks, timestamped
entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event
Line since pick
CLV −5%
◆ entry$3.00
→
close$3.15
entry: ESPN BET · best in any region at publish
Line since pick
CLV +5%
◆ entry$2.05
→
close$1.96
entry: BetUS · best in any region at publish
MT
Manuel Torres
v Drew Dober
MONEYLINE
WON
Manuel Torres
v Drew Dober
MONEYLINE
WON
“we're seeing that with the trend of the fighting nerds guys”
Line since pick
CLV −8%
◆ entry$1.88
→
close$2.05
entry: BetOnline.ag · best in any region at publish
Line since pick
CLV −7%
◆ entry$1.54
→
close$1.65
entry: BetAnything · best in any region at publish
GM
Gabriel Miranda
v Jamall Emmers
MONEYLINE
LOST
Gabriel Miranda
v Jamall Emmers
MONEYLINE
LOST
“his striking is very clumsy and very uneducated”
Line since pick
CLV −22%
◆ entry$3.75
→
close$4.80
entry: BetMGM · best in any region at publish
BM
Brandon Moreno
v Steve Erceg
MONEYLINE
WON
Brandon Moreno
v Steve Erceg
MONEYLINE
WON
“I thought he looked really good against Bon F”
Line since pick
CLV +3%
◆ entry$1.49
→
close$1.44
entry: Betsson · best in any region at publish
RG
Rafa García
v Vinc Pichel
MONEYLINE
WON
Rafa García
v Vinc Pichel
MONEYLINE
WON
“I think this is a crazy hard fight for Rafa crazy hard fight”
Line since pick
CLV −2%
◆ entry$1.22
→
close$1.25
entry: FanDuel · best in any region at publish
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$4.85
→
close$4.85
entry: Wind Creek (Betfred PA) · best in any region at publish
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.45
→
close$1.45
entry = analyst’s stated line (no snapshot at publish)
MC
Melquizael Costa
v Christian Rodriguez
MONEYLINE
WON
Melquizael Costa
v Christian Rodriguez
MONEYLINE
WON
“they're finally starting to put a little bit of respect on ced's name”
Line since pick
CLV −4%
◆ entry$2.41
→
close$2.50
entry: BetOnline.ag · best in any region at publish
CR
Christian Rodriguez
v Melquizael Costa
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
Christian Rodriguez
v Melquizael Costa
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
“I think he's gonna finish this guy”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +2%
◆ entry$1.68
→
close$1.64
Rodriguez’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $1.67
AG
Ateba Gautier
v José Daniel Medina
MONEYLINE
WON
Ateba Gautier
v José Daniel Medina
MONEYLINE
WON
“we're over stating Medina's toughness”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.25
→
close$1.25
entry: Coolbet · best in any region at publish
CV
C.J. Vergara
v Édgar Cháirez
MONEYLINE
LOST
C.J. Vergara
v Édgar Cháirez
MONEYLINE
LOST
“CJ is going to have to go through hell to even have a chance”
Line since pick
CLV +5%
◆ entry$3.46
→
close$3.30
entry: SportsBet · best in any region at publish
Line since pick
CLV −1%
◆ entry$1.38
→
close$1.39
entry: BetAnything · best in any region at publish
KB
Kevin Borjas
v Ronaldo Rodríguez
MONEYLINE
WON
Kevin Borjas
v Ronaldo Rodríguez
MONEYLINE
WON
“I really like boras here for the upset”
Line since pick
CLV +1%
◆ entry$2.45
→
close$2.43
entry: Pinnacle · best in any region at publish
Line since pick
CLV +2%
◆ entry$1.29
→
close$1.26
entry: Paddy Power · best in any region at publish
SO
Saimon Oliveira
v David Martínez
MONEYLINE
LOST
Saimon Oliveira
v David Martínez
MONEYLINE
LOST
“from what we've seen there's no way there's no chance”
Line since pick
CLV −11%
◆ entry$4.30
→
close$4.85
entry: Betsson · best in any region at publish
RJ
Raul Rosas Jr.
v Vince Morales
MONEYLINE
WON
Raul Rosas Jr.
v Vince Morales
MONEYLINE
WON
“I think that was just early youngness and I don't think he's going to do that anymore”
Line since pick
CLV +5%
◆ entry$1.28
→
close$1.22
entry: Betsson · best in any region at publish
RR
Ronaldo Rodríguez
v Kevin Borjas
MONEYLINE
LOST
—
Ronaldo Rodríguez
v Kevin Borjas
MONEYLINE
LOST
—
“I think it's going to bite him in the ass”
Line since pick
CLV −2%
◆ entry$1.67
→
close$1.71
entry: BetMGM · best in any region at publish
VM
Vince Morales
v Raul Rosas Jr.
MONEYLINE
LOST
—
Vince Morales
v Raul Rosas Jr.
MONEYLINE
LOST
—
“if Morales had been at EVENT_DETAILS for the last five weeks I would say dude let's rock with an upset here”
Line since pick
CLV −11%
◆ entry$4.35
→
close$4.90
entry: Pinnacle · best in any region at publish
JE
Jamall Emmers
v Gabriel Miranda
PROP · KO/TKO
WON
—
Jamall Emmers
v Gabriel Miranda
PROP · KO/TKO
WON
—
“I think it's a clear Emmer's finish fin yeah finish but again man we are at N I think even at EVENT_DETAILS Jamal has always had good cardio”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +3%
◆ entry$1.33
→
close$1.29
Emmers’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $1.29
Line since pick
CLV −1%
◆ entry$4.60
→
close$4.65
entry: SportsBet · best in any region at publish
AH
Austin Hubbard
v MarQuel Mederos
MONEYLINE
LOST
—
Austin Hubbard
v MarQuel Mederos
MONEYLINE
LOST
—
“I'm going to go with Hubbard with the upset”
Line since pick
CLV +10%
◆ entry$2.70
→
close$2.45
entry: Betsson · best in any region at publish
JP
Julia Polastri
v Loopy Godinez
MONEYLINE
LOST
—
Julia Polastri
v Loopy Godinez
MONEYLINE
LOST
—
“I'm on the other side of this with what are the odds on this again... I like ly here”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$2.85
→
close$2.85
entry = analyst’s stated line (no snapshot at publish)







