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UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes Β· breakdown

UFC Reyes vs Ulberg - Full card picks

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9 months ago 6W–5L Β· -0.8u 11/15 graded
Picks, timestamped entry price locked at moment of pick Β· line tracked since Β· best price in any region Β· close = day before the event
LC Luana Carolina v Michelle Montague MONEYLINE LOST
β€œI'm thinking I'm taking Lanna Karolina here.”
fight iq β†—
Line since pick CLV βˆ’18%
β—† entry$2.76 β†’ close$3.35
entry: FanDuel Β· best in any region at publish
JJ Jack Jenkins v Ramon Taveras MONEYLINE WON
β€œAnd I'm going to take Jack Jenkins.”
fight iq β†—
Line since pick CLV βˆ’1%
β—† entry$1.36 β†’ close$1.37
entry: BetOnline.ag Β· best in any region at publish
DR Dominick Reyes v Carlos Ulberg PROP Β· KO/TKO LOST
β€œleaning Reyes. I think I really am leaning Reyes.”
fight iq β†—
Moneyline since pick CLV βˆ’3%
β—† entry$3.10 β†’ close$3.20
Reyes’s moneyline β€” prop lines aren’t quoted
CT Colby Thicknesse v Josias Musasa MONEYLINE WON β€”
β€œI think Mousasa writes his wrong here and gets back in the winning column. And when he wins, he usually wins by knockout.”
fight iq β†—
Line since pick CLV +0%
β—† entry$2.40 β†’ close$2.40
entry: ESPN BET Β· best in any region at publish
TN Tom Nolan v Evan Elder MONEYLINE β€”
β€œI got to think Tom Nolan's going to be the better striker here. And I got to go Tom Nolan.”
fight iq β†—
Line since pick CLV +0%
β—† entry$1.96 β†’ now$1.96
JM Jake Matthews v Neil Magny MONEYLINE LOST β€”
β€œI'm going to take Jake Matthews by decision. ... Jake Matthews for sure.”
fight iq β†—
Line since pick CLV βˆ’4%
β—† entry$1.24 β†’ close$1.29
entry: DraftKings Β· best in any region at publish
LL Loma Lookboonmee v Alexia Thainara MONEYLINE LOST β€”
β€œI'm going to take Tinara just cuz she looked big, man.”
fight iq β†—
Line since pick CLV βˆ’93%
β—† entry$3.05 β†’ close$41.00
entry: Caesars Β· best in any region at publish
Δ°A Δ°bo Aslan v Junior Tafa MONEYLINE β€”
β€œGive me eyeball. I think he's going to walk straight forward and try and punch his lights out.”
fight iq β†—
Line since pick CLV βˆ’14%
β—† entry$1.68 β†’ now$1.96
entry: Coolbet Β· best in any region at publish
JC Jimmy Crute v Ivan Erslan PROP Β· SUBMISSION WON β€”
β€œJimmy Croo by submission round one done.”
fight iq β†—
Moneyline since pick CLV +3%
β—† entry$1.57 β†’ close$1.53
Crute’s moneyline β€” prop lines aren’t quoted
JM Jonathan Micallef v Oban Elliott MONEYLINE VALUE β€”
β€œI think he wins. Uh, I'm going to agree with that one.”
fight iq β†—
Line since pick CLV +4%
β—† entry$2.11 β†’ now$2.02
entry: Betsson Β· best in any region at publish
JM Jamie Mullarkey v Rolando Bedoya MONEYLINE WON β€”
β€œgive me Jamie Mullarkey by decision.”
fight iq β†—
Line since pick CLV +2%
β—† entry$1.95 β†’ close$1.91
entry: BetOnline.ag Β· best in any region at publish
JT Justin Tafa v Louie Sutherland MONEYLINE β€”
β€œI guess give me Justin Tafa, but I will not be shocked if Sutherland makes him turtle up. ... I'm going to take this Louisie guy.”
fight iq β†—
Line since pick CLV βˆ’3%
β—† entry$1.81 β†’ now$1.87
entry: Pinnacle Β· best in any region at publish
NS Navajo Stirling v Rodolfo Bellato MONEYLINE WON β€”
β€œgive me Sterling to finish Bolato actually.”
fight iq β†—
Line since pick CLV +2%
β—† entry$1.45 β†’ close$1.42
entry: BetOnline.ag Β· best in any region at publish
AP Andre Petroski v Cameron Rowston MONEYLINE LOST β€”
β€œam gonna choose him here. What do you think? ... I think Petroski wins.”
fight iq β†—
Line since pick CLV +9%
β—† entry$1.73 β†’ close$1.59
entry: Betfair Sportsbook Β· best in any region at publish
BP Brando PeričiΔ‡ v Elisha Ellison PROP Β· KO/TKO WON β€”
β€œGive me Allison, the underdog to win by KO ... I see a counter finish by Brandon.”
fight iq β†—
Moneyline since pick CLV +11%
β—† entry$1.66 β†’ close$1.50
Peričić’s moneyline β€” prop lines aren’t quoted