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UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · breakdown

UFC Fight Night Ulberg vs Reyes

GI GipperPicks
9 months ago 6W–6L · -0.3u 12/14 graded
Picks, timestamped entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event
BP Brando Peričić v Elisha Ellison MONEYLINE WON
“I would lean Brando Peričić, but I'm going to stay away.”
Line since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.50 close$1.50
entry: Betway · best in any region at publish
RB Rolando Bedoya v Jamie Mullarkey PROP · KO/TKO LOST
“I'm going to lean Rolando Bedoya finding the knockout shot.”
Moneyline since pick CLV −5%
◆ entry$2.05 close$2.15
Bedoya’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
JM Jake Matthews v Neil Magny MONEYLINE LOST
“I do like Jake Matthews to get the win.”
Line since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.29 close$1.29
entry: BetOnline.ag · best in any region at publish
LS Louie Sutherland v Justin Tafa MONEYLINE VALUE
“I'm gonna lean Louie Sutherland just because he brings the wrestling edge.”
Line since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$2.10 now$2.10
entry: Paddy Power · best in any region at publish
JJ Jack Jenkins v Ramon Taveras MONEYLINE WON
“I like Jack Jenkins a lot.”
Line since pick CLV −1%
◆ entry$1.36 close$1.37
entry: BetAnything · best in any region at publish
AT Alexia Thainara v Loma Lookboonmee MONEYLINE WON
“I like for her to be better everywhere, wherever this fight goes. Now, I did not play this fight, but I do like her as a parlay piece a lot, and I do like the minus 3.5 on the point spread for her at a minus 105.”
Line since pick CLV −1%
◆ entry$1.44 close$1.46
entry: Ladbrokes AU · best in any region at publish
JC Jimmy Crute v Ivan Erslan PROP · SUBMISSION WON
“I think Jimmy Crute is going to be just as good on the feet as Ivan Erslan... going to lean submission.”
Moneyline since pick CLV +1%
◆ entry$1.55 close$1.53
Crute’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
DR Dominick Reyes v Carlos Ulberg MONEYLINE LOST
“I do like Dominick Reyes to get the win, but Carlos Ulberg is probably going to be the better technical striker... I do lean Dominick Reyes as the dog.”
Line since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$3.20 close$3.20
entry: Betsson · best in any region at publish
MM Michelle Montague v Luana Carolina PROP · SUBMISSION LOST
“She should be able to wrestle, manhandle her, and get an easy victory and possibly even a submission. She has a lot of wins by submission. So, I do lean that way, but it's her UFC debut, so it's going to be a stayaway for me.”
Moneyline since pick CLV −4%
◆ entry$1.46 close$1.52
Montague’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
CT Colby Thicknesse v Josias Musasa MONEYLINE WON
“I like Colby Thicknesse. He's going to try and grapple... But I like Colby Thicknesse to get his wrestling going.”
Line since pick CLV −2%
◆ entry$2.35 close$2.40
entry: Caesars · best in any region at publish
AP Andre Petroski v Cameron Rowston MONEYLINE LOST
“I'm expecting Andre Petroski to go to wrestling a lot... So I am leaning Andre Petroski on that one.”
Line since pick CLV +1%
◆ entry$1.61 close$1.59
entry: LeoVegas (SE) · best in any region at publish
TN Tom Nolan v Evan Elder PROP · DECISION
“I'm gonna take Tom Nolan by decision. I'm gonna actually lean towards him possibly finding a submission.”
Analyst’s stated line
no market data captured for this fight
CU Carlos Ulberg v Dominick Reyes METHOD WON
“I think this is going to be a good fight... Now, I do lean for it to go a little bit longer... I'm going with Carlos Ulberg significant strikes.”
Moneyline since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.44 close$1.44
Ulberg’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
NS Navajo Stirling v Rodolfo Bellato PROP · KO/TKO LOST
“I expect him to have a big advantage on the feet and on the mat... and I like him to actually find a knockout in this fight.”
Moneyline since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.42 close$1.42
Stirling’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted