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P Welsh
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · breakdown

UFC FIGHT NIGHT ULBERG VS REYES | 09/27/25 Picks, Predictions, & Full Card Breakdown |

PW P Welsh59% hit
9 months ago 5W–6L · +1.9u
Picks, timestamped entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event
BP Brando Peričić v Elisha Ellison MONEYLINE WON
“Let's go Brando Peričić.”
fight iq ↗
Line since pick CLV +6%
◆ entry$1.59 → close$1.50
entry: 1xBet · best in any region at publish
LC Luana Carolina v Michelle Montague MONEYLINE LOST
“I got Lana Luana Carolina, though.”
fight iq ↗
Line since pick CLV −13%
◆ entry$2.90 → close$3.35
entry: BetMGM · best in any region at publish
JM Jamie Mullarkey v Rolando Bedoya MONEYLINE WON
“Going Jamie Mullarkey.”
fight iq ↗
Line since pick CLV +2%
◆ entry$1.95 → close$1.91
entry: Caesars · best in any region at publish
CT Colby Thicknesse v Josias Musasa MONEYLINE WON
“I'm kind of going uh Colby Thicknesse here.”
fight iq ↗
Line since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$2.40 → close$2.40
entry: BetMGM · best in any region at publish
CR Cameron Rowston v Andre Petroski PROP · SUBMISSION LOST
“I got roasted by submission.”
fight iq ↗
Moneyline since pick CLV −10%
◆ entry$2.40 → close$2.66
Rowston’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
NS Navajo Stirling v Rodolfo Bellato PROP · DECISION WON
“Navajo Sterling by decision here.”
fight iq ↗
Moneyline since pick CLV +1%
◆ entry$1.44 → close$1.42
Stirling’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
JC Jimmy Crute v Ivan Erslan PROP · DECISION LOST
“Jimmy Crute, baby, by decision.”
fight iq ↗
Moneyline since pick CLV +4%
◆ entry$1.59 → close$1.53
Crute’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
JJ Jack Jenkins v Ramon Taveras PROP · DECISION WON
“Jack Jenkins by decision.”
fight iq ↗
Moneyline since pick CLV +1%
◆ entry$1.38 → close$1.37
Jenkins’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
JM Jake Matthews v Neil Magny PROP · DECISION LOST
“Jake Matthews by decision.”
fight iq ↗
Moneyline since pick CLV −2%
◆ entry$1.26 → close$1.29
Matthews’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
DR Dominick Reyes v Carlos Ulberg PROP · KO/TKO LOST
“And we're going to go Dominick Reyes. Uh fourth round KO against Carlos Ulberg.”
fight iq ↗
Moneyline since pick CLV −2%
◆ entry$3.15 → close$3.20
Reyes’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
AT Alexia Thainara v Loma Lookboonmee PROP · SUBMISSION LOST —
“I'm going to pick Alexia Thainara by submission.”
fight iq ↗
Moneyline since pick CLV −2%
◆ entry$1.43 → close$1.46
Thainara’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted