UFC on ESPN: Covington vs. Buckley · breakdown
Picks, timestamped
entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event
JK
Josefine Lindgren Knutsson
v Piera Rodríguez
PROP · DECISION
LOST
Josefine Lindgren Knutsson
v Piera Rodríguez
PROP · DECISION
LOST
“I'm going to go with nutson she's the better Striker she's better on the ground Rodriguez is very wild and wants to trade with her opponent and nutson keeps it very very technical stays at range pumps out the jab throws out really good kicks she's a former kickboxer so she has the kickboxing experience whereas again Rodriguez is very wild hay makers and all that sort of stuff almost like the generic brawler she could land some big shot and hurt nutson but I got to go with the more skilled fighter in this fight and that is Josefine Lindgren Knutsson by a decision”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$3.15
→
close$3.15
Knutsson’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $1.40
RT
Ramon Taveras
v Davey Grant
PROP · DECISION
LOST
Ramon Taveras
v Davey Grant
PROP · DECISION
LOST
“I see Ramon Taveras winning this fight comfortably so tarez by decision”
Moneyline since pick
CLV −1%
◆ entry$2.00
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close$2.02
Taveras’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
MM
Miranda Maverick
v Jamey-Lyn Horth
PROP · DECISION
WON
Miranda Maverick
v Jamey-Lyn Horth
PROP · DECISION
WON
“definitely going with Maverick in this fight she has the wrestling Advantage might have a problem with the reach of horth who's very tall and long for the division and Maverick isn't that great of a striker but hor has been taken down by every opponent in her UFC career so far and the only one of them that has comparable wrestling to Maverick is maybe Ivana Petrovic but Miranda seems to be physically stronger than Ivana so I think Maverick will show her experience Advantage her wrestling Advantage she's going to be phys physically stronger to win this fight by a close decision”
Moneyline since pick
CLV −2%
◆ entry$1.18
→
close$1.20
Maverick’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $1.17
SW
Sean Woodson
v Fernando Padilla
PROP · DECISION
LOST
Sean Woodson
v Fernando Padilla
PROP · DECISION
LOST
“you got to go with Woodsman never bet against Sean Woodson even when it looks like he shouldn't be winning the fight he happens to always win except when he fought julan Arosa which was a bit different right it's his only loss in his entire career and he's fighting the guy who beat Julian Arosa in the first as you know about MMA math it always works out this way Fernando beats orosa orosa beats Woodson and now Woodson is going to confirm it by beating Fernando by a decision”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.70
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close$1.70
Woodson’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $1.65
JÁ
Joel Álvarez
v Drakkar Klose
MONEYLINE
WON
Joel Álvarez
v Drakkar Klose
MONEYLINE
WON
“I'm going with Alvarez I think he's better in the standup I think he's better on the ground he's way bigger works the jab very well good knees dangerous on the ground jar closes like your lightweight jack of all trades and I think Alvarez is better in the Striking and better on the ground while also just being physically bigger should be a good performance from y Alvarez”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.25
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close$1.25
entry: Coolbet · best in any region at publish
MJ
Michael Johnson
v Ottman Azaitar
PROP · DECISION
LOST
Michael Johnson
v Ottman Azaitar
PROP · DECISION
LOST
“I'm going with Michael Johnson in this one man he has the speed Advantage he's a better Striker Way more technical boxer I'm going to go with Michael Johnson by a decision but I could also see a knockout”
Moneyline since pick
CLV −1%
◆ entry$1.49
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close$1.50
Johnson’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $1.48
NS
Navajo Stirling
v Tuco Tokkos
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
Navajo Stirling
v Tuco Tokkos
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
“you have to go with Sterling he's a better Striker he comes from kickboxing and he brings a different kind of skill set to the light heavyweight division that a lot of other guys don't do over there like probing Jabs measuring with the jab very well switching stances to smother the opponent in the clinch find an opening for an elbow good rist control even from distance solid kick spinning back kicks to the body toos is powerful but he's like a level below Navajo Stirling in terms of technique everywhere in the standup so it should be a good win for Navajo Stirling I would say he would win by knockout in the first or second round”
Moneyline since pick
CLV −3%
◆ entry$1.14
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close$1.17
Stirling’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $1.13
AY
Adrian Yañez
v Daniel Marcos
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
Adrian Yañez
v Daniel Marcos
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
“I'm going to go with Giannis here this is going to be a major speed Advantage for Adrien Yan he's way better as a boxer if he gets in close on Marcos he could get a knockout the thing about Daniel Marcos is he needs to stay at range throw the kicks but I think eventually Adriana is going to get in close land his combinations big body shot might put him down or use that to extend his combinations to the Head overwhelming Daniel Marcos but it should be a good fight I think marcos's kicks should accumulate a lot of damage but as we saw in Adriana's last fight he countered the leg kick from Salvador knocking him out with the right hand Daniel Marcos does have some boxing skill but he's extremely offensive with his hands and leaves himself open to get countered by any big shot from Giannis I mean he'll throw some wild Bol uppercuts keeps his chin up in the air when he's throwing Jabs and I think Giannis will knock him out in the second or third rounds”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$2.95
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close$2.95
Yañez’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $2.75
VP
Vitor Petrino
v Dustin Jacoby
PROP · SUBMISSION
LOST
Vitor Petrino
v Dustin Jacoby
PROP · SUBMISSION
LOST
“I'll go with Vitor Petrino by a third round submission”
Moneyline since pick
CLV −1%
◆ entry$1.34
→
close$1.35
Petrino’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $1.29
MK
Manel Kape
v Bruno Gustavo da Silva
PROP · DECISION
LOST
Manel Kape
v Bruno Gustavo da Silva
PROP · DECISION
LOST
“I'll go with Manel ke by a decision the thing about ke is when he usually fights better opponents he doesn't get the Knockouts as much right you do see a gradual decrease in the amount of times he's able to hurt his opponents depending on how much higher they are in skill level like for example when you fought Alexander panta or mattius Nicolo or muhamad MV or even David voro you don't see those big highlight reels against those guys like you do when he fights zaga zagalo or ODI Osborne or an old mizugaki now he did knock out Kai asakura but we aren't too sure exactly where asakura is at in the UFC he's ranked number 14 who knows maybe he gets some big win streak and beats a bunch of ranked Fighters or he doesn't get a win he could be the next will Brooks who had big wins in his organization he comes to the UFC and just gets smoked by so many ranked Fighters so I do think the fight will go to a decision with Manel kept controlling the pace of the fight Landing Big Shots winning in the pocket and Bruno Gustavo da Silva racking up on points with those light kicks I would not be surprised if Bruno Gustavo da Silva won this fight even though he's a big Underdog he's like a plus 300 Underdog it's insane”
Analyst’s stated line
$1.27
analyst’s stated line — no market snapshots for this fight
CS
Cub Swanson
v Billy Quarantillo
PROP · DECISION
LOST
Cub Swanson
v Billy Quarantillo
PROP · DECISION
LOST
“I'm going to go with Cub Swanson in this fight very slightly by a decision I think he racks up on points with those big punches even though both Fighters should have their moments in the fight”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$2.35
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close$2.35
Swanson’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $2.25
JB
Joaquin Buckley
v Colby Covington
PROP · KO/TKO
WON
—
Joaquin Buckley
v Colby Covington
PROP · KO/TKO
WON
—
“I'm going to have to go with Joaquin Joaquin Buckley by maybe like a third round TKO it's hard to knock out Kobe cumington but Joaquin Buckley has crazy power he's very Dynamic with his striking can land some big flying knee or something like that as K is going for a taked down bu is also a decent favor too so yeah Joaquin Joaquin Buckley is like a minus 270 favorite against the plus like 215 220 Kobe Covington I don't think it's that wide apart I think this fight's close I think Joaquin Buckley should be like a minus 150 so I would not bet on that fight”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.43
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close$1.43
Buckley’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $1.37
FL
Felipe Lima
v Miles Johns
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
—
Felipe Lima
v Miles Johns
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
—
“have to go with Felipe Lima in this fight ... I'm going to go to Lima by a second or third round TKO”
Moneyline since pick
CLV −1%
◆ entry$1.44
→
close$1.45
Lima’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $1.40