UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · breakdown
My Final Predictions For UFC 324: Paddy Pimblett vs Justin Gaethje
TO
TonyHasDiedMMA62% hit
5 months ago
5W–6L · +0.7u
11/15 graded
Picks, timestamped
entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event
TM
Ty Miller
v Adam Fugitt
PROP · KO/TKO
WON
Ty Miller
v Adam Fugitt
PROP · KO/TKO
WON
“I like Ty Miller to knock out Adam Fugitt.”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +3%
◆ entry$1.32
→
close$1.28
Miller’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
CS
Cameron Smotherman
v Ricky Turcios
PROP · DECISION
Cameron Smotherman
v Ricky Turcios
PROP · DECISION
“I'm going to pick Cameron Smotherman to decision Ricky Turcios.”
Moneyline since pick
CLV −2%
◆ entry$1.53
→
now$1.56
Smotherman’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
Line since pick
CLV +18%
◆ entry$2.67
→
now$2.27
entry: 1xBet · best in any region at publish
CJ
Charles Johnson
v Alex Perez
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
Charles Johnson
v Alex Perez
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
“Charles Johnson to knock him out in the”
Moneyline since pick
CLV −4%
◆ entry$1.54
→
close$1.61
Johnson’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
NK
Nikita Krylov
v Modestas Bukauskas
PROP · KO/TKO
WON
Nikita Krylov
v Modestas Bukauskas
PROP · KO/TKO
WON
“I am going to pick Nikita Krylov to knock out Modestas Bukauskas.”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +7%
◆ entry$2.45
→
close$2.30
Krylov’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
AG
Ateba Abega Gautier
v Andrey Pulyaev
MONEYLINE
Ateba Abega Gautier
v Andrey Pulyaev
MONEYLINE
“Ateba Abega Gautier is a minus 1,000 favorite against Andrey Pulyaev.”
Line since pick
CLV −1%
◆ entry$1.12
→
now$1.13
entry: BetAnything · best in any region at publish
UN
Umar Nurmagomedov
v Deiveson Figueiredo
PROP · SUBMISSION
LOST
Umar Nurmagomedov
v Deiveson Figueiredo
PROP · SUBMISSION
LOST
“Umar Nurmagomedov to submit Deiveson Figueiredo”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.07
→
close$1.07
Nurmagomedov’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
Line since pick
CLV +2%
◆ entry$1.32
→
close$1.30
entry: TAB · best in any region at publish
JS
Jean Silva
v Arnold Allen
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
Jean Silva
v Arnold Allen
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
“I'm picking Jean Silva to knock out Arnold Allen.”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.43
→
close$1.43
Silva’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
Line since pick
CLV +2%
◆ entry$1.35
→
close$1.33
entry: Ladbrokes AU · best in any region at publish
SO
Sean O'Malley
v Song Yadong
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
Sean O'Malley
v Song Yadong
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
“Sean O'Malley will find the chin of him.”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +1%
◆ entry$1.54
→
close$1.53
O'Malley’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.53
→
now$1.53
entry: Paddy Power · best in any region at publish
PP
Paddy Pimblett
v Justin Gaethje
PROP · SUBMISSION
LOST
Paddy Pimblett
v Justin Gaethje
PROP · SUBMISSION
LOST
“I'm going to pick Paddy Pimblett to submit Justin Gaethje in round two.”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +1%
◆ entry$1.50
→
close$1.48
Pimblett’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
AG
Ateba Gautier
v Andrey Pulyaev
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
—
Ateba Gautier
v Andrey Pulyaev
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
—
“Ateba Gautier is going to have the find the pin the chin of Andrey Pulyaev”
Moneyline since pick
CLV −1%
◆ entry$1.12
→
close$1.13
Gautier’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
JH
Josh Hokit
v Denzel Freeman
PROP · KO/TKO
WON
—
Josh Hokit
v Denzel Freeman
PROP · KO/TKO
WON
—
“pick Josh Hokit because I think Josh takedowns on Denzel Freeman and then out Denzel Freeman in the first round.”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +2%
◆ entry$1.50
→
close$1.47
Hokit’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted