UFC 319: du Plessis vs. Chimaev · breakdown
FREE UFC 319 Picks for Saturday, 8/16/25
TP
Tony's Picks54% hit
10 months ago
6W–4L · +8.4u
10/12 graded
Picks, timestamped
entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event
TE
Tim Elliott
v Kai Asakura
PROP · SUBMISSION
WON
Tim Elliott
v Kai Asakura
PROP · SUBMISSION
WON
“I got to go Tim Tim Elliott here. Plus 270 and then the plus 750 at the sub. Sign me up. Tim Elliott all day.”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$3.85
→
close$3.85
Elliott’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $8.50
KC
Khamzat Chimaev
v Dricus du Plessis
PROP · SUBMISSION
LOST
Khamzat Chimaev
v Dricus du Plessis
PROP · SUBMISSION
LOST
“it's Khamzat Chimaev and new. We have a new middleweight champion and I think that one that's going to be here for a long time and possibly even move up to 205 and become a two uh division champ here in Khamzat Chimaev. That's the pick for me. Kam Khamzat Chimaev in the main event.”
Moneyline since pick
CLV −1%
◆ entry$1.49
→
close$1.50
Chimaev’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $1.56
JA
Jéssica Andrade
v Loopy Godinez
MONEYLINE
VALUE
—
Jéssica Andrade
v Loopy Godinez
MONEYLINE
VALUE
—
“I'm on Jéssica Andrade here... Jéssica Andrade way too much experience... former title challenger.”
Line since pick
CLV +34%
◆ entry$3.15
→
now$2.35
entry: Bally Bet · best in any region at publish
NR
Nursulton Ruziboev
v Bryan Battle
MONEYLINE
VALUE
—
Nursulton Ruziboev
v Bryan Battle
MONEYLINE
VALUE
—
“Obviously, I'm going to be on the dog here with Nursulton Ruziboev... Gin Sultan Nursulton Ruziboev plus 140 on the money line. I like that a lot.”
Line since pick
CLV +27%
◆ entry$2.55
→
now$2.00
entry: LiveScore Bet · best in any region at publish
KS
Karine Silva
v Dione Barbosa
MONEYLINE
WON
—
Karine Silva
v Dione Barbosa
MONEYLINE
WON
—
“I'm going to go with the favorite again here. Karine Karine Silva at minus 220... I think Karine Silva gets her get back here.”
Line since pick
CLV −1%
◆ entry$1.54
→
close$1.55
entry: Polymarket · best in any region at publish
AH
Alexander Hernandez
v Chase Hooper
MONEYLINE
WON
—
Alexander Hernandez
v Chase Hooper
MONEYLINE
WON
—
“at the massive plus 270 price. I'm I'm looking at Alexander Hernandez here again... Alexander Hernandez most definitely can be one of those.”
Line since pick
CLV −6%
◆ entry$3.64
→
close$3.85
entry: Polymarket · best in any region at publish
DK
Drakkar Klose
v Edson Barboza
MONEYLINE
WON
—
Drakkar Klose
v Edson Barboza
MONEYLINE
WON
—
“I would lean Dar Close at the plus 120 price... Draar Drakkar Klose Close plus 120.”
Line since pick
CLV −5%
◆ entry$2.23
→
close$2.35
entry: LiveScore Bet · best in any region at publish
GM
Gerald Meerschaert
v Michał Oleksiejczuk
MONEYLINE
LOST
—
Gerald Meerschaert
v Michał Oleksiejczuk
MONEYLINE
LOST
—
“I'm willing to bet that he withstands the first round there from uh Michał Oleksiejczuk and uh Mersard doesn't get a sub or anything early on in this fight... I'm on the over one and a half at even money here between Michael O and Gerald Meerschaert.”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$3.28
→
close$3.28
entry: Polymarket · best in any region at publish
CP
Carlos Prates
v Geoff Neal
MONEYLINE
WON
—
Carlos Prates
v Geoff Neal
MONEYLINE
WON
—
“I just see a Carlos Carlos Prates uh win here. He does he does enough to edge out Geoff Neal... yeah Carlos Prates would be the pick in that one.”
Line since pick
CLV −1%
◆ entry$1.48
→
close$1.50
entry: Polymarket · best in any region at publish
BS
Baysangur Susurkaev
v Eric Nolan
MONEYLINE
WON
—
“give me Baysangur Susurkaev, Baysangur Susurkaev... I guess inside the distance, find those type of props.”
Line since pick
CLV −6%
◆ entry$1.06
→
close$1.13
entry: Betsson · best in any region at publish
JC
Jared Cannonier
v Michael Page
MONEYLINE
LOST
—
Jared Cannonier
v Michael Page
MONEYLINE
LOST
—
“I'm going to lean dog here again with Jared Cannonier. Yes. A little worrisome with the age, but at the end of the day, can I see him getting Michael Page up against the fence and making this an ugly fight? Yes... give me Jared Cananer plus 175.”
Line since pick
CLV −1%
◆ entry$2.82
→
close$2.84
entry: Polymarket · best in any region at publish
AP
Aaron Pico
v Lerone Murphy
MONEYLINE
LOST
—
Aaron Pico
v Lerone Murphy
MONEYLINE
LOST
—
“I think it's Aaron Pico all the way in this fight. I think he could use the wrestling. I think he could even land something on the feet against Loron Lerone Murphy... Aaron Pico minus 180 is a parlay piece for me.”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.68
→
close$1.68
entry: Polymarket · best in any region at publish