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The Fight Guy
UFC 319: du Plessis vs. Chimaev Β· breakdown

UFC 319 TOP 5 BETS! Fight Cancellations & Full Card Analysis | Ep. 53 #thefightguy

TG The Fight Guy54% hit
10 months ago 9W–8L Β· +1.4u 17/21 graded
Picks, timestamped entry price locked at moment of pick Β· line tracked since Β· best price in any region Β· close = day before the event
CF Carlos Diego Ferreira v King Green MONEYLINE
β€œBobby Green, King Green, god damn it, Bobby is out of his fight against Carlos Diego Ferreira.”
fight iq β†—
Line since pick CLV βˆ’13%
β—† entry$1.74 β†’ now$2.00
entry: BetOnline.ag Β· best in any region at publish
KG King Green v Carlos Diego Ferreira MONEYLINE
β€œDiego Ferrer I was going to pick to win this fight anyways.”
fight iq β†—
Line since pick CLV +23%
β—† entry$2.47 β†’ now$2.00
entry: Polymarket Β· best in any region at publish
AI Alibi Idiris v Joseph Morales MONEYLINE LOST
β€œI'm just going to go with Alibi Idiris. Even if there wasn't that added pressure from Joseph Morales, I think Alibi Idiris is just a little bit fresher, a little bit better everywhere, and he's going to edge out a decision.”
fight iq β†—
Line since pick CLV +1%
β—† entry$1.32 β†’ close$1.31
entry: Polymarket Β· best in any region at publish
KS Karine Silva v Dione Barbosa MONEYLINE WON
β€œI have Silva winning a decision 2928 against Dione Barbosa.”
fight iq β†—
Line since pick CLV +0%
β—† entry$1.55 β†’ close$1.55
entry: Polymarket Β· best in any region at publish
BB Bryan Battle v Nursulton Ruziboev MONEYLINE VALUE
β€œI'm going to go with Bryan Battle to win a decision.”
fight iq β†—
Line since pick CLV βˆ’17%
β—† entry$1.67 β†’ now$2.00
entry: Polymarket Β· best in any region at publish
DK Drakkar Klose v Edson Barboza MONEYLINE WON
β€œI'm going to go with Jakar Close to win this fight via decision.”
fight iq β†—
Line since pick CLV βˆ’3%
β—† entry$2.27 β†’ close$2.35
entry: Polymarket Β· best in any region at publish
EB Edson Barboza v Drakkar Klose MONEYLINE LOST
β€œI think Edson Barboza is going to land enough leg kicks to slow down Dar closes his grappling as the fight goes on.”
fight iq β†—
Line since pick CLV βˆ’2%
β—† entry$1.79 β†’ close$1.82
entry: Polymarket Β· best in any region at publish
AH Alexander Hernandez v Chase Hooper MONEYLINE WON
β€œThe only thing Alexander Hernandez probably does better than Chase Hooper is his takedown ability.”
fight iq β†—
Line since pick CLV βˆ’6%
β—† entry$3.64 β†’ close$3.85
entry: Polymarket Β· best in any region at publish
CH Chase Hooper v Alexander Hernandez MONEYLINE LOST
β€œI'm going to go with Chase Hooper to win this fight.”
fight iq β†—
Line since pick CLV +0%
β—† entry$1.38 β†’ close$1.38
entry: Polymarket Β· best in any region at publish
LG Loopy Godinez v JΓ©ssica Andrade MONEYLINE VALUE
β€œI'm going to go with Lupy Godzilla to win a 29-28 decision against Jessica Andra.”
fight iq β†—
Line since pick CLV βˆ’2%
β—† entry$1.74 β†’ now$1.77
entry: Polymarket Β· best in any region at publish
GM Gerald Meerschaert v MichaΕ‚ Oleksiejczuk MONEYLINE LOST
β€œGerard Mirart, he's a submission artist. It's no secret, but I think if Muelix can get him Mirart on his back, I think he'll land some dangerous ground and pound.”
fight iq β†—
Line since pick CLV βˆ’6%
β—† entry$3.08 β†’ close$3.28
entry: Polymarket Β· best in any region at publish
TE Tim Elliott v Kai Asakura MONEYLINE WON
β€œIf Tim Elliott's able to control him early in the fight and land multiple minutes of control time in the first round, I will be live betting on Tim Elliott to win this fight.”
fight iq β†—
Line since pick CLV βˆ’2%
β—† entry$3.75 β†’ close$3.85
entry: BetOnline.ag Β· best in any region at publish
KA Kai Asakura v Tim Elliott MONEYLINE LOST
β€œI'm going to go with the younger fighter. I'm going to go with the the better striker and Kai Asakura.”
fight iq β†—
Line since pick CLV +1%
β—† entry$1.37 β†’ close$1.35
entry: Polymarket Β· best in any region at publish
JC Jared Cannonier v Michael Page MONEYLINE LOST
β€œCaner has the knockout power that Michael Page doesn't.”
fight iq β†—
Line since pick CLV βˆ’1%
β—† entry$2.82 β†’ close$2.84
entry: Polymarket Β· best in any region at publish
MP Michael Page v Jared Cannonier MONEYLINE WON
β€œI'm going to go with Michael Page to win a decision here.”
fight iq β†—
Line since pick CLV +0%
β—† entry$1.56 β†’ close$1.56
entry: LiveScore Bet Β· best in any region at publish
GN Geoff Neal v Carlos Prates MONEYLINE LOST
β€œI'm going to go with Carlos Prates to win this fight via knockout against Geoff Neal.”
fight iq β†—
Line since pick CLV βˆ’6%
β—† entry$3.15 β†’ close$3.35
entry: LiveScore Bet Β· best in any region at publish
CP Carlos Prates v Geoff Neal MONEYLINE WON
β€œI'm going to go with Carlos Prates to win this fight via knockout against Geoff Neal.”
fight iq β†—
Line since pick CLV +0%
β—† entry$1.49 β†’ close$1.50
entry: Polymarket Β· best in any region at publish
KC Khamzat Chimaev v Dricus du Plessis MONEYLINE WON
β€œI see the only avenue of v of victory for Hamzat Shamay is an early submission here.”
fight iq β†—
Line since pick CLV +0%
β—† entry$1.50 β†’ close$1.50
entry: Polymarket Β· best in any region at publish
DP Dricus du Plessis v Khamzat Chimaev MONEYLINE LOST
β€œI think Drius is going to get better as the fight goes on. Uh I think he'll win a unanimous decision against Hamzad Shamay.”
fight iq β†—
Line since pick CLV βˆ’13%
β—† entry$3.02 β†’ close$3.46
entry: BetOnline.ag Β· best in any region at publish
MO MichaΕ‚ Oleksiejczuk v Gerald Meerschaert MONEYLINE WON β€”
β€œI'm going to go with Macau Alexri to win this fight via knockout uh before the third round.”
fight iq β†—
Line since pick CLV +0%
β—† entry$1.48 β†’ close$1.48
entry: Polymarket Β· best in any region at publish
BS Baysangur Susurkaev v Eric Nolan MONEYLINE WON β€”
β€œI'm going to go with Bayer to win this fight via knockout.”
fight iq β†—
Line since pick CLV +0%
β—† entry$1.13 β†’ close$1.13