UFC 319: du Plessis vs. Chimaev · breakdown
Picks, timestamped
entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event
JM
Joseph Morales
v Alibi Idiris
MONEYLINE
WON
Joseph Morales
v Alibi Idiris
MONEYLINE
WON
“with plus 245 Joseph Morales the underdog”
Line since pick
CLV −21%
◆ entry$4.17
→
close$5.25
entry: Polymarket · best in any region at publish
RS
Rodrigo Sezinando
v Daniil Donchenko
MONEYLINE
Rodrigo Sezinando
v Daniil Donchenko
MONEYLINE
“three of them, the whole crew of NOT_IN_ROSTER_2 for Rodrigo Sezinando”
Line since pick
CLV −2%
◆ entry$1.98
→
now$2.02
DD
Daniil Donchenko
v Rodrigo Sezinando
MONEYLINE
VALUE
Daniil Donchenko
v Rodrigo Sezinando
MONEYLINE
VALUE
“the other 13 channels all picked Daniel Daniil Donchenko”
Line since pick
CLV +2%
◆ entry$2.02
→
now$1.98
KS
Karine Silva
v Dione Barbosa
MONEYLINE
WON
Karine Silva
v Dione Barbosa
MONEYLINE
WON
“She's not such a big favorite in picks by the EVENT_DETAILS with 57 out of 79 for 72%”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.55
→
close$1.55
entry: Polymarket · best in any region at publish
NR
Nursulton Ruziboev
v Bryan Battle
MONEYLINE
Nursulton Ruziboev
v Bryan Battle
MONEYLINE
“40% for Nursulton Ruziboev and most also predict a decision win”
Line since pick
CLV +27%
◆ entry$2.55
→
now$2.00
entry: LiveScore Bet · best in any region at publish
Line since pick
CLV −17%
◆ entry$1.67
→
now$2.00
entry: Polymarket · best in any region at publish
DK
Drakkar Klose
v Edson Barboza
MONEYLINE
WON
Drakkar Klose
v Edson Barboza
MONEYLINE
WON
“the underdog dar Drakkar Klose three out of nine”
Line since pick
CLV −3%
◆ entry$2.27
→
close$2.35
entry: Polymarket · best in any region at publish
CH
Chase Hooper
v Alexander Hernandez
PROP · SUBMISSION
LOST
Chase Hooper
v Alexander Hernandez
PROP · SUBMISSION
LOST
“most of the channels go with a submission win for Chase Hooper”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.38
→
close$1.38
Hooper’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $2.90
Line since pick
CLV −6%
◆ entry$3.64
→
close$3.85
entry: Polymarket · best in any region at publish
Line since pick
CLV −2%
◆ entry$1.74
→
now$1.77
entry: Polymarket · best in any region at publish
JA
Jéssica Andrade
v Loopy Godinez
MONEYLINE
Jéssica Andrade
v Loopy Godinez
MONEYLINE
“11 channels have a decision win for Jéssica Andrade”
Line since pick
CLV +34%
◆ entry$3.15
→
now$2.35
entry: Bally Bet · best in any region at publish
GM
Gerald Meerschaert
v Michał Oleksiejczuk
MONEYLINE
LOST
Gerald Meerschaert
v Michał Oleksiejczuk
MONEYLINE
LOST
“Michał Oleksiejczuk is picked by 65 out of 87 channels for 75%”
Line since pick
CLV −6%
◆ entry$3.08
→
close$3.28
entry: Polymarket · best in any region at publish
MO
Michał Oleksiejczuk
v Gerald Meerschaert
MONEYLINE
WON
“the underdog Gerald Mirard is picked by the best underdog predictors five out of nine”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.48
→
close$1.48
entry: Polymarket · best in any region at publish
KG
King Green
v Carlos Diego Ferreira
MONEYLINE
King Green
v Carlos Diego Ferreira
MONEYLINE
“eight channels a decision win for King Green”
Line since pick
CLV +23%
◆ entry$2.47
→
now$2.00
entry: Polymarket · best in any region at publish
Line since pick
CLV −2%
◆ entry$3.75
→
close$3.85
entry: BetOnline.ag · best in any region at publish
KA
Kai Asakura
v Tim Elliott
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
Kai Asakura
v Tim Elliott
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
“most of the channels go with a KO or TKO win for Kai Asakura”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +1%
◆ entry$1.37
→
close$1.35
Asakura’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $1.29
MP
Michael Page
v Jared Cannonier
MONEYLINE
WON
Michael Page
v Jared Cannonier
MONEYLINE
WON
“70 channels out of 91 predict Michael Page to win”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.56
→
close$1.56
entry: LiveScore Bet · best in any region at publish
JC
Jared Cannonier
v Michael Page
MONEYLINE
LOST
Jared Cannonier
v Michael Page
MONEYLINE
LOST
“eight channels going with Jared Cannonier”
Line since pick
CLV −1%
◆ entry$2.82
→
close$2.84
entry: Polymarket · best in any region at publish
Line since pick
CLV −6%
◆ entry$3.15
→
close$3.35
entry: LiveScore Bet · best in any region at publish
CP
Carlos Prates
v Geoff Neal
PROP · KO/TKO
WON
Carlos Prates
v Geoff Neal
PROP · KO/TKO
WON
“36 out of 57 channels picking Carlos Prates to win by a KO or TKO”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.49
→
close$1.50
Prates’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $1.42
AP
Aaron Pico
v Lerone Murphy
MONEYLINE
LOST
Aaron Pico
v Lerone Murphy
MONEYLINE
LOST
“the newcomer Aaron Pico is the favorite with minus 180”
Line since pick
CLV −2%
◆ entry$1.65
→
close$1.68
entry: LiveScore Bet · best in any region at publish
DP
Dricus du Plessis
v Khamzat Chimaev
MONEYLINE
LOST
Dricus du Plessis
v Khamzat Chimaev
MONEYLINE
LOST
“49 out of 95 channels picking him to win”
Line since pick
CLV −13%
◆ entry$3.02
→
close$3.46
entry: BetOnline.ag · best in any region at publish
LM
Lerone Murphy
v Aaron Pico
PROP · DECISION
LOST
Lerone Murphy
v Aaron Pico
PROP · DECISION
LOST
“37 out of 50 channels or 74% pick him to win via decision”
Moneyline since pick
CLV −3%
◆ entry$2.56
→
close$2.65
Murphy’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $3.40
EB
Edson Barboza
v Drakkar Klose
MONEYLINE
LOST
—
Edson Barboza
v Drakkar Klose
MONEYLINE
LOST
—
“62 out of 86 for 72% have picked Edson Barboza to win”
Line since pick
CLV −2%
◆ entry$1.79
→
close$1.82
entry: Polymarket · best in any region at publish
CF
Carlos Diego Ferreira
v King Green
PROP · KO/TKO
VALUE
—
Carlos Diego Ferreira
v King Green
PROP · KO/TKO
VALUE
—
“39 out of 51 predict a KO TKO win for Diego Ferrer”
Moneyline since pick
CLV −13%
◆ entry$1.74
→
now$2.00
Ferreira’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $3.10
Line since pick
CLV −3%
◆ entry$2.82
→
close$2.90
entry: Polymarket · best in any region at publish
KC
Khamzat Chimaev
v Dricus du Plessis
MONEYLINE
WON
—
Khamzat Chimaev
v Dricus du Plessis
MONEYLINE
WON
—
“54% predict Hamset Chamay to win and most predict a submission win”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.50
→
close$1.50
entry: Polymarket · best in any region at publish
AI
Alibi Idiris
v Joseph Morales
MONEYLINE
LOST
—
Alibi Idiris
v Joseph Morales
MONEYLINE
LOST
—
“54 out of 57 for 95% have picked him to win. And the best predictors... all go with Alibi Idiris”
Line since pick
CLV +1%
◆ entry$1.32
→
close$1.31
entry: Polymarket · best in any region at publish





