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Carnelossi vs LiangEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
JM
Usman vs MasvidalMain Card · Welterweight
RN
ZW
Namajunas vs WeiliMain Card · Women'S Strawweight
VS
JA
Shevchenko vs AndradeMain Card · Women'S Flyweight
UH
CW
Hall vs WeidmanMain Card · Middleweight
AS
JC
Smith vs CruteMain Card · Light Heavyweight
RB
AO
Brown vs OliveiraPreliminary Card · Welterweight
DG
SS
Grant vs SekulićPreliminary Card · Welterweight
BA
KR
Allen vs RobersonPreliminary Card · Middleweight
PS
TC
Sabatini vs ConnellyPreliminary Card · Featherweight
DB
KN
Batgerel vs NatividadEarly Preliminary Card · Bantamweight
KV
RZ
Vargas vs ZhuEarly Preliminary Card · Lightweight
JM
AQ
Molina vs QilengEarly Preliminary Card · Flyweight
AC
NL
Carnelossi vs LiangEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Usman v Masvidal
Welterweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Usman 20-4
VS
35-17 Masvidal
6'0"
height
5'11"
171 lb
weight
170 lb
76"
reach
74"
39
age
41
Switch
stance
Orthodox
4.4
strikes landed / min
4.0
52%
striking accuracy
47%
2.7
strikes absorbed / min
3.0
54%
striking defence
64%
2.8
takedowns / 15 min
1.4
45%
takedown accuracy
59%
89%
takedown defence
72%
0.1
submissions / 15 min
0.3
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
WP
We Want Picks picks Jorge Masvidal VALUE
“my picks for tomorrow night to be Jorge Masvidal i think uh by watching his last fight short notice he coming two weeks something like that 20 pounds over went to dubai and did a hell of a fight i believe that him prepare right now i look his way in uh this morning his guy look incredible i believe the Jorge Masvidal prepare i watched him training before and he got incredible incredible wrestling take down the fence he can get up to his feet very quick and his ground is not it's not bad it's very uh effective ground game to stand up and uh and he's striking i believe he's gonna beat uh Kamaru Usman with the striking really room for him and watch him training i know how good he is uh defending takedown Kamaru Usman is one of the greatest one of the greatest in the waterweight one of the best pound four pounds today uh he's a great wrestler you know he keep coming forward he keeps grinding people but i think Jorge Masvidal can put this off because he is incredible striker his lightning speed and uh you know i'm running for him and i uh all the way all right guys put my money on Jorge Masvidal tonight”
We Want Picks picks Jorge Masvidal VALUE
“my picks for tomorrow night to be Jorge Masvidal i think uh by watching his last fight short notice he coming two weeks something like that 20 pounds over went to dubai and did a hell of a fight i believe that him prepare right now i look his way in uh this morning his guy look incredible i believe the Jorge Masvidal prepare i watched him training before and he got incredible incredible wrestling take down the fence he can get up to his feet very quick and his ground is not it's not bad it's very uh effective ground game to stand up and uh and he's striking i believe he's gonna beat uh Kamaru Usman with the striking really room for him and watch him training i know how good he is uh defending takedown Kamaru Usman is one of the greatest one of the greatest in the waterweight one of the best pound four pounds today uh he's a great wrestler you know he keep coming forward he keeps grinding people but i think Jorge Masvidal can put this off because he is incredible striker his lightning speed and uh you know i'm running for him and i uh all the way all right guys put my money on Jorge Masvidal tonight”
HB
Half The Battle picks Kamaru Usman VALUE
“i have a feeling that this fight with Jorge Masvidal's gonna be better than the first one”
Half The Battle picks Kamaru Usman VALUE
“i have a feeling that this fight with Jorge Masvidal's gonna be better than the first one”
UG
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Jorge Masvidal VALUE
“i would still favor kamara uzman”
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Jorge Masvidal VALUE
“i would still favor kamara uzman”
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Kamaru Usman VALUE
“he's going to be in the majority of my lineups”
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Kamaru Usman VALUE
“he's going to be in the majority of my lineups”
MJ
MMA JOEY picks Kamaru Usman
“i just don't see how he gets it done against an improving Kamaru Usman”
MMA JOEY picks Kamaru Usman
“i just don't see how he gets it done against an improving Kamaru Usman”
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Kamaru Usman VALUE
“give me kamara usman for the win i do think he wins a pretty comfortable decision”
$1.24
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Kamaru Usman VALUE
“give me kamara usman for the win i do think he wins a pretty comfortable decision”
$1.24
TG
THE MMA GURU picks Kamaru Usman VALUE
“Kamaru Usman versus Jorge Masvidal 2 and i can't wait for this women's flyweight bout”
THE MMA GURU picks Kamaru Usman VALUE
“Kamaru Usman versus Jorge Masvidal 2 and i can't wait for this women's flyweight bout”
TG
THE MMA GURU picks Kamaru Usman
“it's a 35 and 16 guy fighting for a belt again who just lost last time dominantly”
THE MMA GURU picks Kamaru Usman
“it's a 35 and 16 guy fighting for a belt again who just lost last time dominantly”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Usman20-4
W
Buckley
Jun '25
L
Chimaev
Oct '23
L
Edwards
Mar '23
L
Edwards
Aug '22
W
Covington
Nov '21
Masvidal35-17
L
Burns
Apr '23
L
Covington
Mar '22
L
Usman
Apr '21
L
Usman
Jul '20
W
Diaz
Nov '19