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UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2
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KU JM Usman vs MasvidalMain Card · Welterweight RN ZW Namajunas vs WeiliMain Card · Women'S Strawweight VS JA Shevchenko vs AndradeMain Card · Women'S Flyweight UH CW Hall vs WeidmanMain Card · Middleweight AS JC Smith vs CruteMain Card · Light Heavyweight RB AO Brown vs OliveiraPreliminary Card · Welterweight DG SS Grant vs SekulićPreliminary Card · Welterweight BA KR Allen vs RobersonPreliminary Card · Middleweight PS TC Sabatini vs ConnellyPreliminary Card · Featherweight DB KN Batgerel vs NatividadEarly Preliminary Card · Bantamweight KV RZ Vargas vs ZhuEarly Preliminary Card · Lightweight JM AQ Molina vs QilengEarly Preliminary Card · Flyweight AC NL Carnelossi vs LiangEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
BEST PRICE Prophecy read Namajunas v Weili Women'S Strawweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
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Consensus4 picks · conf 10/99
Namajunas 1
3 Weili
M pick Namajunas
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Namajunas 15-7 VS 25-3 Weili
5'5" height 5'4"
126 lb weight 115 lb
65" reach 63"
34 age 36
Orthodox stance Switch
3.7 strikes landed / min 5.7
42% striking accuracy 53%
3.5 strikes absorbed / min 3.1
63% striking defence 53%
1.5 takedowns / 15 min 2.5
50% takedown accuracy 46%
61% takedown defence 50%
0.4 submissions / 15 min 0.5
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
HB Half The Battle picks Zhang Weili “i got wily zang minus 200” $1.50
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Zhang Weili VALUE “i am betting Zhang Weili to win this fight” $1.84
TG THE MMA GURU picks Zhang Weili VALUE “Zhang Weili put her out in the first round just completely destroyed her”
MJ MMA JOEY picks Zhang Weili “co-main event being Zhang Weili defending her belt against Rose Namajunas”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Rose Namajunas VALUE “i think this fight goes the distance kamar oozman gets a hard-fought decision win against jorge mazvidal”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Namajunas15-7
L Silva Decision · R3 Jan '26
W Maverick Decision · R3 Jun '25
L Blanchfield Decision · R5 Nov '24
W Cortez Decision · R5 Jul '24
W Ribas Decision · R5 Mar '24
Weili25-3
L Shevchenko Decision · R5 Nov '25
W Suarez Decision · R5 Feb '25
W Xiaonan Decision · R5 Apr '24
W Lemos Decision · R5 Aug '23
W Esparza Submission · R2 Nov '22