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UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Molina v Qileng Flyweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
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Consensus4 picks · conf 10/99
Molina 2
2 Qileng
MG pick Molina
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Molina 11-2 VS 8-8-1 Qileng
5'6" height 6'1"
125 lb weight 187 lb
69" reach 73"
28 age
Orthodox stance Switch
7.2 strikes landed / min 2.8
48% striking accuracy 59%
5.0 strikes absorbed / min 3.9
55% striking defence 59%
0.0 takedowns / 15 min 0.9
0% takedown accuracy 40%
66% takedown defence 57%
0.0 submissions / 15 min 1.3
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only Go Pro →
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
HB Half The Battle picks Aori Qileng “i'm gonna go with Aori Qileng in this one i think he's gonna probably knock Jeff Molina down early in the first couple of rounds” $1.91
HB Half The Battle picks Jeff Molina VALUE “i'm gonna go with jeff molina to get it done” $1.91
UG UFC GamblingAddicts picks Aori Qileng VALUE “i'm gonna take Aori Qileng i think that experience that i mentioned could potentially close that gap and he could get aggressive and win rounds” $1.91
GP Greedo Plays picks Jeff Molina “i think jeff molina again more proven one of the contenders he's fought in EVENT_DETAILS before i think his ground game is going to be too much and i think Jeff Molina probably wins this fight by submission”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Jeff Molina VALUE “i do think Jeff Molina gets to win here and i think he does it by a decision i think does have potential here in this flyweight division”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Molina11-2
W Zhumagulov Decision · R3 Jun '22
W Lacerda KO/TKO · R2 Oct '21
W Qileng Decision · R3 Apr '21
Qileng8-8-1
L Haddon KO/TKO · R2 May '26
W Gibson KO/TKO · R1 Oct '25
L Rosas Jr. Decision · R3 Sep '24
W Muñoz Jr. Decision · R3 Oct '23
L Zahabi KO/TKO · R1 Jun '23