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Vargas vs ZhuEarly Preliminary Card · Lightweight
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Molina vs QilengEarly Preliminary Card · Flyweight
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Carnelossi vs LiangEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
JM
Usman vs MasvidalMain Card · Welterweight
RN
ZW
Namajunas vs WeiliMain Card · Women'S Strawweight
VS
JA
Shevchenko vs AndradeMain Card · Women'S Flyweight
UH
CW
Hall vs WeidmanMain Card · Middleweight
AS
JC
Smith vs CruteMain Card · Light Heavyweight
RB
AO
Brown vs OliveiraPreliminary Card · Welterweight
DG
SS
Grant vs SekulićPreliminary Card · Welterweight
BA
KR
Allen vs RobersonPreliminary Card · Middleweight
PS
TC
Sabatini vs ConnellyPreliminary Card · Featherweight
DB
KN
Batgerel vs NatividadEarly Preliminary Card · Bantamweight
KV
RZ
Vargas vs ZhuEarly Preliminary Card · Lightweight
JM
AQ
Molina vs QilengEarly Preliminary Card · Flyweight
AC
NL
Carnelossi vs LiangEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Carnelossi v Liang
Women'S Strawweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Carnelossi 15-4
VS
19-8 Liang
5'2"
height
—
115 lb
weight
—
61"
reach
—
33
age
29
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
2.9
strikes landed / min
2.0
39%
striking accuracy
42%
4.7
strikes absorbed / min
4.0
45%
striking defence
36%
1.4
takedowns / 15 min
3.6
55%
takedown accuracy
58%
14%
takedown defence
25%
0.3
submissions / 15 min
0.5
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
HB
Half The Battle picks Ariane Carnelossi VALUE
“so i'm going to go with Ariane Carnelossi to win this fight”
$1.45
Half The Battle picks Ariane Carnelossi VALUE
“so i'm going to go with Ariane Carnelossi to win this fight”
$1.45
UG
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Ariane Carnelossi VALUE
“i'm going to take Ariane Carnelossi via decision”
$1.50
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Ariane Carnelossi VALUE
“i'm going to take Ariane Carnelossi via decision”
$1.50
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Ariane Carnelossi VALUE
“i pick Ariane Carnelossi to win”
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Ariane Carnelossi VALUE
“i pick Ariane Carnelossi to win”
GP
Greedo Plays picks Ariane Carnelossi
“I'm going with Ariane Carnelossi to win this one as long as she can keep this fight standing i think she's going to win and that's really how i see this one playing out”
Greedo Plays picks Ariane Carnelossi
“I'm going with Ariane Carnelossi to win this one as long as she can keep this fight standing i think she's going to win and that's really how i see this one playing out”
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Ariane Carnelossi VALUE
“i think that Ariane Carnelossi gets it done uh i feel like she's more well-rounded the one thing that i'll mention that scares me here five foot nine that's a very tall girl you know my concern is that reach advantage could very well get her a win she's only 24 fighting a very legit fighter i think ariane will look to get this fight to the ground but it's not going to be easy against Na Liang a lot of cage work i expect and that's why i have her my decision”
MMA EXPERTS picks Ariane Carnelossi VALUE
“i think that Ariane Carnelossi gets it done uh i feel like she's more well-rounded the one thing that i'll mention that scares me here five foot nine that's a very tall girl you know my concern is that reach advantage could very well get her a win she's only 24 fighting a very legit fighter i think ariane will look to get this fight to the ground but it's not going to be easy against Na Liang a lot of cage work i expect and that's why i have her my decision”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Carnelossi15-4
L
Souza
Jun '26
L
Alencar
Nov '25
W
Rodríguez
May '24
L
Godinez
May '22
W
Nunes
Oct '21
Liang19-8
L
Juárez
Jun '22
L
Carnelossi
Apr '21