MMA Prophecy
🌐BEST
UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2
Choose a fight to analyse
KU JM Usman vs MasvidalMain Card · Welterweight RN ZW Namajunas vs WeiliMain Card · Women'S Strawweight VS JA Shevchenko vs AndradeMain Card · Women'S Flyweight UH CW Hall vs WeidmanMain Card · Middleweight AS JC Smith vs CruteMain Card · Light Heavyweight RB AO Brown vs OliveiraPreliminary Card · Welterweight DG SS Grant vs SekulićPreliminary Card · Welterweight BA KR Allen vs RobersonPreliminary Card · Middleweight PS TC Sabatini vs ConnellyPreliminary Card · Featherweight DB KN Batgerel vs NatividadEarly Preliminary Card · Bantamweight KV RZ Vargas vs ZhuEarly Preliminary Card · Lightweight JM AQ Molina vs QilengEarly Preliminary Card · Flyweight AC NL Carnelossi vs LiangEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
BEST PRICE Prophecy read Allen v Roberson Middleweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
New here? Create a free account for the full leaderboard & bet tracker
Consensus4 picks · conf 10/99
Allen 4
0 Roberson
HGUD pick Allen
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Allen 26-7 VS 9-6 Roberson
6'2" height 6'1"
186 lb weight 203 lb
75" reach 74"
30 age 35
Orthodox stance Southpaw
5.9 strikes landed / min 2.6
36% striking accuracy 51%
3.5 strikes absorbed / min 2.4
53% striking defence 57%
1.6 takedowns / 15 min 0.7
62% takedown accuracy 40%
53% takedown defence 40%
1.7 submissions / 15 min 0.5
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only Go Pro →
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
HB Half The Battle picks Brendan Allen VALUE “i'm gonna go with Brendan Allen to get it done i hope that um his iq is on point EVENT_DETAILS because i know if it is it's gonna be a first round submission” $1.62
UG UFC GamblingAddicts picks Brendan Allen “i'll take brendan adam via decision just no money”
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Brendan Allen VALUE “give me Brendan Allen”
GP Greedo Plays picks Brendan Allen “i think brent allen's that guy and i think allen's going to be able to dictate where this fight will take place and i'm going to go with Brendan Allen to get the job done by decision in this fight”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Allen26-7
W Shahbazyan Decision · R3 Jun '26
W Ridder KO/TKO · R4 Oct '25
W Vettori Decision · R3 Jul '25
L Hernandez Decision · R3 Feb '25
L Imavov Decision · R3 Sep '24
Roberson9-6
L Nzechukwu KO/TKO · R3 Jul '22
L Rountree Jr. KO/TKO · R2 Mar '22
L Allen Submission · R1 Apr '21
L Vettori Submission · R1 Jun '20
W Kopylov Submission · R3 Nov '19