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Usman vs MasvidalMain Card · Welterweight
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Namajunas vs WeiliMain Card · Women'S Strawweight
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JA
Shevchenko vs AndradeMain Card · Women'S Flyweight
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CW
Hall vs WeidmanMain Card · Middleweight
AS
JC
Smith vs CruteMain Card · Light Heavyweight
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AO
Brown vs OliveiraPreliminary Card · Welterweight
DG
SS
Grant vs SekulićPreliminary Card · Welterweight
BA
KR
Allen vs RobersonPreliminary Card · Middleweight
PS
TC
Sabatini vs ConnellyPreliminary Card · Featherweight
DB
KN
Batgerel vs NatividadEarly Preliminary Card · Bantamweight
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Vargas vs ZhuEarly Preliminary Card · Lightweight
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Molina vs QilengEarly Preliminary Card · Flyweight
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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Vargas v Zhu
Lightweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus5 picks · conf 15/99
pick Vargas
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Vargas 12-5
VS
1-2 Zhu
5'8"
height
6'6"
155 lb
weight
133 lb
71"
reach
68"
40
age
—
Southpaw
stance
Orthodox
3.6
strikes landed / min
5.2
53%
striking accuracy
52%
1.8
strikes absorbed / min
3.1
57%
striking defence
67%
0.4
takedowns / 15 min
1.7
25%
takedown accuracy
68%
30%
takedown defence
81%
0.4
submissions / 15 min
1.1
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Rong Zhu VALUE
“i think Rong Zhu could maybe even get a knockout here and i think he goes out there and gets it done over Kazula Vargas”
$1.44
MMA EXPERTS picks Rong Zhu VALUE
“i think Rong Zhu could maybe even get a knockout here and i think he goes out there and gets it done over Kazula Vargas”
$1.44
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Rong Zhu VALUE
“i do have some interest”
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Rong Zhu VALUE
“i do have some interest”
GP
Greedo Plays picks Rong Zhu
“i'm gonna take wRong Zhu in this one i think he might be able to upset a lot of people in this fight i think he's gonna be able to win this fight on the feet and we're gonna go with him to win a decision victory”
Greedo Plays picks Rong Zhu
“i'm gonna take wRong Zhu in this one i think he might be able to upset a lot of people in this fight i think he's gonna be able to win this fight on the feet and we're gonna go with him to win a decision victory”
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Rong Zhu VALUE
“i do think we could see a wrong tko or a decision here but i do lean decision or wrong in this matchup it would be very impressive if he can go out there and ko this guy and i don't necessarily have that high of confidence on him doing it especially you know at 21 years of age he's an extremely young fighter and how far is he from his prime granted he could still be very high level and beating Kazula Vargas here i do think he can”
MMA EXPERTS picks Rong Zhu VALUE
“i do think we could see a wrong tko or a decision here but i do lean decision or wrong in this matchup it would be very impressive if he can go out there and ko this guy and i don't necessarily have that high of confidence on him doing it especially you know at 21 years of age he's an extremely young fighter and how far is he from his prime granted he could still be very high level and beating Kazula Vargas here i do think he can”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Vargas12-5
L
Pimblett
Mar '22
W
Zhu
Apr '21
L
Weaver
Feb '20
L
Coelho
Aug '19
Zhu1-2
W
Hubbard
Aug '25
W
Steele
Feb '25
L
Padilla
Sep '24
L
Bahamondes
Feb '22
W
Jenkins
Sep '21