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UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3
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MH DP Holloway vs PoirierMain Card · Lightweight MV BA Vettori vs AllenPreliminary Card · Middleweight AF ID Fugitt vs DulatovEarly Preliminary Card · Welterweight JC MP Crute vs PrachnioEarly Preliminary Card · Light Heavyweight CJ NC Judice vs CaliariEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight KP VO Phillips vs OliveiraPreliminary Card · Bantamweight AG RV Gautier vs ValentinPreliminary Card · Middleweight DI PP Ige vs PitbullMain Card · Featherweight PC RK Costa vs KopylovMain Card · Middleweight MJ DZ Johnson vs ZellhuberMain Card · Lightweight KH DR Holland vs RodriguezMain Card · Welterweight FP NV Prado vs VeretennikovPreliminary Card · Welterweight RS ŁB Spann vs BrzeskiEarly Preliminary Card · Heavyweight BF JM Ferreira vs McVeyEarly Preliminary Card · Middleweight
BEST PRICE We back Prachnio over Crute · Light Heavyweight Our fair value$3.82 Pinnacle pays above fair $3.94
Where to back Prachnio best price · region · EV vs fair $3.82
US ESPN BET $3.90 +2%
UK Unibet (UK) $3.65 -4%
EU Pinnacle $3.94 +3%
AU PointsBet (AU) $3.75 -2%
Consensus71 picks · conf 76/99
Crute 51
20 Prachnio
PHMT4L pick Crute
How it endsmethod calls · Prachnio · crowd line
KO/TKO 4 $7.64
Decision 3 $10.19
None 1 $30.56
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Crute 14-4-2 VS 17-8 Prachnio
6'2" height 6'3"
205 lb weight 205 lb
74" reach 73"
30 age 37
Orthodox stance Orthodox
3.9 strikes landed / min 5.6
53% striking accuracy 54%
3.3 strikes absorbed / min 3.2
70% striking defence 54%
1.7 takedowns / 15 min 0.1
73% takedown accuracy 20%
76% takedown defence 53%
0.2 submissions / 15 min 0.0
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market26% vs 25%
Consensus20 of 71 analysts
Sharpest anglePrachnio by KO/TKO — 4 of 8 method calls
Recommendation Back Prachnio @ $3.94 · fair $3.82 +3% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
MR Milo Reyes picks Jimmy Crute VALUE “I'm going with Jimmy Crute, probably by TKO”
BM Bruce Oldham MMA picks Jimmy Crute “I'm going to go Jimmy Croo. I want to see Jimmy Crute win in this fight.”
JA JakeGerberMMA picks Jimmy Crute “I like Jimmy Croo in this fight.”
CP Capper Comparison Picks picks Jimmy Crute “No, I'm on Jimmy Crute.”
WP We Want Picks picks Marcin Prachnio “Jimmy Croo is going to be the pick”
WP We Want Picks picks Jimmy Crute VALUE “Jimmy Croo is going to be the pick”
CR Capitán Rafucho picks Marcin Prachnio VALUE “I love Jimmy Crute because he was more interesting about a couple of takedowns. ... I'm going to tell for the this one. I mean, I love Jimmy Crute ...”
CR Capitán Rafucho picks Jimmy Crute VALUE “I'm going to tell for the this one. I love Jimmy Crute because he was more interesting about a couple of takedowns. I mean, he just landed for 50 minutes. ... I'm going to tell for the this one.”
TP The Die Hard MMA Podcast picks Jimmy Crute VALUE “We got hit pretty early on that Jimmy Crute side.” $1.40
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Jimmy Crute “The pick for me is Jimmy Crute.” $1.30
PP Pick Pocket Podcast picks Jimmy Crute VALUE “I'm going to go Jimmy Jimmy Crute.” $1.31
HN Hidden Source News picks Jimmy Crute VALUE “we're picking Jimmy Crew to take the win”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Crute14-4-2
W Erslan Submission · R1 Sep '25
W Prachnio Submission · R1 Jul '25
L Menifield Submission · R2 Jul '23
L Hill KO/TKO · R1 Dec '21
L Smith KO/TKO · R1 Apr '21
Prachnio17-8
L Crute Submission · R1 Jul '25
L Bukauskas Submission · R3 Jul '24
W Clark Decision · R3 Feb '24
L Petrino Submission · R3 Jul '23
W Knight Decision · R3 Feb '23