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MH
DP
Holloway vs PoirierMain Card · Lightweight
MV
BA
Vettori vs AllenPreliminary Card · Middleweight
AF
ID
Fugitt vs DulatovEarly Preliminary Card · Welterweight
JC
MP
Crute vs PrachnioEarly Preliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
CJ
NC
Judice vs CaliariEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
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VO
Phillips vs OliveiraPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
AG
RV
Gautier vs ValentinPreliminary Card · Middleweight
DI
PP
Ige vs PitbullMain Card · Featherweight
PC
RK
Costa vs KopylovMain Card · Middleweight
MJ
DZ
Johnson vs ZellhuberMain Card · Lightweight
KH
DR
Holland vs RodriguezMain Card · Welterweight
FP
NV
Prado vs VeretennikovPreliminary Card · Welterweight
RS
ŁB
Spann vs BrzeskiEarly Preliminary Card · Heavyweight
BF
JM
Ferreira vs McVeyEarly Preliminary Card · Middleweight
DP
Holloway vs PoirierMain Card · Lightweight
MV
BA
Vettori vs AllenPreliminary Card · Middleweight
AF
ID
Fugitt vs DulatovEarly Preliminary Card · Welterweight
JC
MP
Crute vs PrachnioEarly Preliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
CJ
NC
Judice vs CaliariEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
KP
VO
Phillips vs OliveiraPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
AG
RV
Gautier vs ValentinPreliminary Card · Middleweight
DI
PP
Ige vs PitbullMain Card · Featherweight
PC
RK
Costa vs KopylovMain Card · Middleweight
MJ
DZ
Johnson vs ZellhuberMain Card · Lightweight
KH
DR
Holland vs RodriguezMain Card · Welterweight
FP
NV
Prado vs VeretennikovPreliminary Card · Welterweight
RS
ŁB
Spann vs BrzeskiEarly Preliminary Card · Heavyweight
BF
JM
Ferreira vs McVeyEarly Preliminary Card · Middleweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Holloway v Poirier
Lightweight
Our fair value
$1.83
best price $1.83
PASS · MARKET AGREES
Where to back Holloway
best price · region · EV vs fair $1.83
US
Caesars
$1.77
-3%
Caesars
$1.77
-3%
UK
Paddy Power
$1.73
-6%
Paddy Power
$1.73
-6%
EU
1XB
1xBet
$1.83
-0%
AU
TAB
$1.80
-2%
TAB
$1.80
-2%
How it endsmethod calls · Holloway · crowd line
KO/TKO
23
$8.04
Submission
2
$92.47
Decision
73
$2.53
None
3
$61.65
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Holloway 0-0
VS
30-9 Poirier
5'11"
height
5'9"
155 lb
weight
156 lb
69"
reach
72"
34
age
37
Orthodox
stance
Southpaw
6.8
strikes landed / min
5.3
46%
striking accuracy
50%
4.4
strikes absorbed / min
4.3
59%
striking defence
52%
0.4
takedowns / 15 min
1.2
39%
takedown accuracy
36%
79%
takedown defence
64%
0.2
submissions / 15 min
1.3
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
Hit “Run deep research” to pull the latest from X and the news.
What the numbers say
Model vs market55% vs 55%
Consensus159 of 294 analysts
Sharpest angleHolloway by Decision — 73 of 101 method calls
Recommendation
Pass — no edge model agrees with the market
PASS
Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
MR
Milo Reyes picks Max Holloway VALUE
“Dustin Poirier is beating Max Holloway... Poor air... I give it to Porer. He will win. He will outstrike them... He wants to throw on Porer. Good [ __ ] luck... That's not one time out of 10 though. Nine times out of 10, it'll be a five round bloody war and will end in Dustin Porer winning by decision... Porter is beating Max Holloway.”
Milo Reyes picks Max Holloway VALUE
“Dustin Poirier is beating Max Holloway... Poor air... I give it to Porer. He will win. He will outstrike them... He wants to throw on Porer. Good [ __ ] luck... That's not one time out of 10 though. Nine times out of 10, it'll be a five round bloody war and will end in Dustin Porer winning by decision... Porter is beating Max Holloway.”
BM
Bruce Oldham MMA picks Max Holloway
“I'm going with Max Holloway Hollowweight for the main event.”
Bruce Oldham MMA picks Max Holloway
“I'm going with Max Holloway Hollowweight for the main event.”
JA
JakeGerberMMA picks Max Holloway
“Give me Max Holloway still by decision.”
JakeGerberMMA picks Max Holloway
“Give me Max Holloway still by decision.”
CP
Capper Comparison Picks picks Max Holloway
“Easy easy win. >> Max Holloway all day long. Max Holloway >> ... I got Max Holloway all day long.”
Capper Comparison Picks picks Max Holloway
“Easy easy win. >> Max Holloway all day long. Max Holloway >> ... I got Max Holloway all day long.”
DB
Denver Sports Betting picks Dustin Poirier VALUE
“Dustin Poirier all the way.”
Denver Sports Betting picks Dustin Poirier VALUE
“Dustin Poirier all the way.”
WP
We Want Picks picks Max Holloway VALUE
“I'm going to go with Max”
We Want Picks picks Max Holloway VALUE
“I'm going to go with Max”
WP
We Want Picks picks Dustin Poirier
“I don't see Dustin going out with a wet blanket game plan. I see Dustin going out the way he came in just getting after it. And for that reason, I got to go with Max”
We Want Picks picks Dustin Poirier
“I don't see Dustin going out with a wet blanket game plan. I see Dustin going out the way he came in just getting after it. And for that reason, I got to go with Max”
OB
OddsTrader BetStation picks Dustin Poirier VALUE
“So, I'm going to take Dustin Poirier to win this one. Plus 110 on the money line uh for Dustin Poirier to win this fight.”
$2.10
OddsTrader BetStation picks Dustin Poirier VALUE
“So, I'm going to take Dustin Poirier to win this one. Plus 110 on the money line uh for Dustin Poirier to win this fight.”
$2.10
TC
The Herd with Colin Cowherd picks Max Holloway
“I'm buying it tomorrow. Max Holloway Max Holloway, Dustin Poirier”
The Herd with Colin Cowherd picks Max Holloway
“I'm buying it tomorrow. Max Holloway Max Holloway, Dustin Poirier”
EN
Egan - UFC News picks Dustin Poirier VALUE
“I think he will come out at his peak. I wish him luck and I think he will win.”
Egan - UFC News picks Dustin Poirier VALUE
“I think he will come out at his peak. I wish him luck and I think he will win.”
TW
Tim Welch picks Dustin Poirier
“I'm going to go Max Holloway. Pick it. Pick it, Sam. What do you got? Uh Holloway”
Tim Welch picks Dustin Poirier
“I'm going to go Max Holloway. Pick it. Pick it, Sam. What do you got? Uh Holloway”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Holloway0-0
L
Oliveira
Mar '26
W
Poirier
Jul '25
L
Topuria
Oct '24
W
Gaethje
Apr '24
W
Chan-sung
Aug '23
Poirier30-9
L
Holloway
Jul '25
L
Makhachev
Jun '24
W
Denis
Mar '24
L
Gaethje
Jul '23
W
Chandler
Nov '22