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Holland vs RodriguezMain Card · Welterweight
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Holloway vs PoirierMain Card · Lightweight
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Vettori vs AllenPreliminary Card · Middleweight
AF
ID
Fugitt vs DulatovEarly Preliminary Card · Welterweight
JC
MP
Crute vs PrachnioEarly Preliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
CJ
NC
Judice vs CaliariEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
KP
VO
Phillips vs OliveiraPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
AG
RV
Gautier vs ValentinPreliminary Card · Middleweight
DI
PP
Ige vs PitbullMain Card · Featherweight
PC
RK
Costa vs KopylovMain Card · Middleweight
MJ
DZ
Johnson vs ZellhuberMain Card · Lightweight
KH
DR
Holland vs RodriguezMain Card · Welterweight
FP
NV
Prado vs VeretennikovPreliminary Card · Welterweight
RS
ŁB
Spann vs BrzeskiEarly Preliminary Card · Heavyweight
BF
JM
Ferreira vs McVeyEarly Preliminary Card · Middleweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Holland v Rodriguez
Welterweight
Our fair value
$1.20
best price $1.19
PASS · MARKET AGREES
Where to back Holland
best price · region · EV vs fair $1.20
US
WC
Wind Creek (Betfred PA)
$1.19
-1%
UK
Virgin Bet
$1.18
-2%
Virgin Bet
$1.18
-2%
EU
Pinnacle
$1.19
-1%
Pinnacle
$1.19
-1%
AU
BOO
BoomBet
$1.19
-1%
How it endsmethod calls · Holland · crowd line
KO/TKO
63
$2.44
Submission
47
$3.27
Decision
12
$12.79
None
6
$25.58
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Holland 28-15
VS
18-5 Rodriguez
6'3"
height
6'1"
170 lb
weight
170 lb
81"
reach
74"
33
age
39
Orthodox
stance
Southpaw
4.2
strikes landed / min
7.5
49%
striking accuracy
49%
3.2
strikes absorbed / min
5.5
50%
striking defence
58%
0.8
takedowns / 15 min
0.6
38%
takedown accuracy
54%
54%
takedown defence
57%
0.6
submissions / 15 min
0.1
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
Hit “Run deep research” to pull the latest from X and the news.
What the numbers say
Model vs market83% vs 84%
Consensus102 of 119 analysts
Sharpest angleHolland by KO/TKO — 63 of 128 method calls
Recommendation
Pass — no edge model agrees with the market
PASS
Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
MR
Milo Reyes picks Kevin Holland VALUE
“Kevin Holland is putting an absolute mauling performance on Daniel... He will get beat... He will get mauled... Kevin Holland, I see submitting Daniel or not KOing... maybe... He's finishing him though. It's not going the full distance. I see Kevin Holland.”
Milo Reyes picks Kevin Holland VALUE
“Kevin Holland is putting an absolute mauling performance on Daniel... He will get beat... He will get mauled... Kevin Holland, I see submitting Daniel or not KOing... maybe... He's finishing him though. It's not going the full distance. I see Kevin Holland.”
BM
Bruce Oldham MMA picks Kevin Holland
“Kevin Kevin Holland's going to [ __ ] smoke Danny Daniel Rodriguez, honestly.”
Bruce Oldham MMA picks Kevin Holland
“Kevin Kevin Holland's going to [ __ ] smoke Danny Daniel Rodriguez, honestly.”
JA
JakeGerberMMA picks Kevin Holland
“I think Kevin Holland wins this fight.”
JakeGerberMMA picks Kevin Holland
“I think Kevin Holland wins this fight.”
CP
Capper Comparison Picks picks Kevin Holland
“I got Kevin Holland.”
Capper Comparison Picks picks Kevin Holland
“I got Kevin Holland.”
MD
mdminds picks Kevin Holland VALUE
“Kevin Holland double chance knockout or submission minus 155.”
$1.65
mdminds picks Kevin Holland VALUE
“Kevin Holland double chance knockout or submission minus 155.”
$1.65
WP
We Want Picks picks Daniel Rodriguez
“I do trust Kevin Holland”
We Want Picks picks Daniel Rodriguez
“I do trust Kevin Holland”
WP
We Want Picks picks Kevin Holland VALUE
“I do trust Kevin Holland. Kevin Holland may find a finish here”
We Want Picks picks Kevin Holland VALUE
“I do trust Kevin Holland. Kevin Holland may find a finish here”
TW
Tim Welch picks Kevin Holland
“I think Kevin Holland's going to give Daniel Rodriguez. Yes. What? I got to see the odds on these with the length. Samuel, he's going to pepper him. Uh, honestly, I don't know, but I hope Holland wins.”
Tim Welch picks Kevin Holland
“I think Kevin Holland's going to give Daniel Rodriguez. Yes. What? I got to see the odds on these with the length. Samuel, he's going to pepper him. Uh, honestly, I don't know, but I hope Holland wins.”
SA
Stokastic DFS - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Kevin Holland VALUE
“I got to get Kevin Holland.”
Stokastic DFS - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Kevin Holland VALUE
“I got to get Kevin Holland.”
BS
Betting Weekly Studios picks Kevin Holland VALUE
“I think he's going to dominate... the parlay of Holland to win inside the distance and Dan on the money line at plus 135.”
Betting Weekly Studios picks Kevin Holland VALUE
“I think he's going to dominate... the parlay of Holland to win inside the distance and Dan on the money line at plus 135.”
CR
Capitán Rafucho picks Daniel Rodriguez VALUE
“Holland getting a submission coming out there for the front chokes”
Capitán Rafucho picks Daniel Rodriguez VALUE
“Holland getting a submission coming out there for the front chokes”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Holland28-15
W
Brown
Apr '26
L
Malott
Oct '25
L
Rodriguez
Jul '25
W
Luque
Jun '25
W
Nelson
Mar '25
Rodriguez18-5
W
Holland
Jul '25
W
Ponzinibbio
May '25
W
Morono
Oct '24
L
Gastelum
Jun '24
L
Garry
May '23