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Prado vs VeretennikovPreliminary Card · Welterweight
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DP
Holloway vs PoirierMain Card · Lightweight
MV
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Vettori vs AllenPreliminary Card · Middleweight
AF
ID
Fugitt vs DulatovEarly Preliminary Card · Welterweight
JC
MP
Crute vs PrachnioEarly Preliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
CJ
NC
Judice vs CaliariEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
KP
VO
Phillips vs OliveiraPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
AG
RV
Gautier vs ValentinPreliminary Card · Middleweight
DI
PP
Ige vs PitbullMain Card · Featherweight
PC
RK
Costa vs KopylovMain Card · Middleweight
MJ
DZ
Johnson vs ZellhuberMain Card · Lightweight
KH
DR
Holland vs RodriguezMain Card · Welterweight
FP
NV
Prado vs VeretennikovPreliminary Card · Welterweight
RS
ŁB
Spann vs BrzeskiEarly Preliminary Card · Heavyweight
BF
JM
Ferreira vs McVeyEarly Preliminary Card · Middleweight
BEST PRICE
We back
Prado
over Veretennikov · Welterweight
Our fair value$1.56
pays above fair
$1.79
Best prices · Prado
BetMGM · US
$1.77
Paddy Power · UK
$1.73
Pinnacle · EU
$1.79
Neds · AU
$1.77
Where to back Prado
best price · region · EV vs fair $1.56
US
BetMGM
$1.77
+13%
BetMGM
$1.77
+13%
UK
Paddy Power
$1.73
+11%
Paddy Power
$1.73
+11%
EU
Pinnacle
$1.79
+15%
Pinnacle
$1.79
+15%
AU
Neds
$1.77
+13%
Neds
$1.77
+13%
How it endsmethod calls · Prado · crowd line
KO/TKO
21
$3.87
Submission
3
$27.07
Decision
27
$3.01
None
1
$81.21
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Prado 12-4
VS
14-7 Veretennikov
5'10"
height
6'1"
170 lb
weight
170 lb
69"
reach
74"
24
age
36
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
4.6
strikes landed / min
5.6
41%
striking accuracy
60%
5.7
strikes absorbed / min
3.9
52%
striking defence
55%
0.0
takedowns / 15 min
0.9
0%
takedown accuracy
41%
25%
takedown defence
65%
0.4
submissions / 15 min
0.5
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
Hit “Run deep research” to pull the latest from X and the news.
What the numbers say
Model vs market64% vs 56%
Consensus76 of 94 analysts
Sharpest anglePrado by Decision — 27 of 52 method calls
Recommendation
Back Prado @ $1.79 · fair $1.56
+15% EDGE
Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
MR
Milo Reyes picks Francisco Prado VALUE
“I got Francisco Prado versus Nikolay Veretennikov... I came down to picking Francisco... I think he's going to cut the distance, beat him up in the clinch, close range, everything like that... I think Francisco's pressure will overwhelm Nicolay... That's why I think Francisco is going to win.”
Milo Reyes picks Francisco Prado VALUE
“I got Francisco Prado versus Nikolay Veretennikov... I came down to picking Francisco... I think he's going to cut the distance, beat him up in the clinch, close range, everything like that... I think Francisco's pressure will overwhelm Nicolay... That's why I think Francisco is going to win.”
BM
Bruce Oldham MMA picks Francisco Prado
“So, I'm going to say Francisco Prado by decision.”
Bruce Oldham MMA picks Francisco Prado
“So, I'm going to say Francisco Prado by decision.”
JA
JakeGerberMMA picks Francisco Prado
“I think he gets a decision win.”
JakeGerberMMA picks Francisco Prado
“I think he gets a decision win.”
CR
Capitán Rafucho picks Francisco Prado VALUE
“I just think that uh Francisco overall is just is just the better better fighter. ... I just think he does have what it takes to to beat NOT_IN_ROSTER_30.”
Capitán Rafucho picks Francisco Prado VALUE
“I just think that uh Francisco overall is just is just the better better fighter. ... I just think he does have what it takes to to beat NOT_IN_ROSTER_30.”
SA
SASMR picks Francisco Prado
“I'm leaning Brendan Allen just because he is kind of the more improving fighter”
SASMR picks Francisco Prado
“I'm leaning Brendan Allen just because he is kind of the more improving fighter”
PN
Picks Nation picks Francisco Prado
“Francisco Prado is going to be the pick.”
Picks Nation picks Francisco Prado
“Francisco Prado is going to be the pick.”
LF
Liam Picks Fights picks Francisco Prado VALUE
“we got Francisco Prado taking on Nikolay Veretennikov in a battle of two guys that need a win.”
Liam Picks Fights picks Francisco Prado VALUE
“we got Francisco Prado taking on Nikolay Veretennikov in a battle of two guys that need a win.”
HN
Hidden Source News picks Francisco Prado VALUE
“we picked Praau to take the win”
Hidden Source News picks Francisco Prado VALUE
“we picked Praau to take the win”
VU
Valter Walker UFC picks Nikolay Veretennikov
“Francisco Prado versus Nikolay Veretennikov. Nikolay Veretennikov, cara.”
Valter Walker UFC picks Nikolay Veretennikov
“Francisco Prado versus Nikolay Veretennikov. Nikolay Veretennikov, cara.”
HB
Half The Battle picks Francisco Prado VALUE
“I'm going to go with Francisco Pra to come out here and beat uh Nikolay Veretennikov uh secure that roster spot.”
$1.69
Half The Battle picks Francisco Prado VALUE
“I'm going to go with Francisco Pra to come out here and beat uh Nikolay Veretennikov uh secure that roster spot.”
$1.69
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Prado12-4
L
Radtke
Apr '26
L
Veretennikov
Jul '25
L
Matthews
Feb '25
L
Zellhuber
Feb '24
W
Azaitar
Jul '23
Veretennikov14-7
L
Williams
May '26
W
Price
Feb '26
L
Soriano
Oct '25
W
Prado
Jul '25
L
Vanderford
Feb '25