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UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3
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MH DP Holloway vs PoirierMain Card · Lightweight MV BA Vettori vs AllenPreliminary Card · Middleweight AF ID Fugitt vs DulatovEarly Preliminary Card · Welterweight JC MP Crute vs PrachnioEarly Preliminary Card · Light Heavyweight CJ NC Judice vs CaliariEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight KP VO Phillips vs OliveiraPreliminary Card · Bantamweight AG RV Gautier vs ValentinPreliminary Card · Middleweight DI PP Ige vs PitbullMain Card · Featherweight PC RK Costa vs KopylovMain Card · Middleweight MJ DZ Johnson vs ZellhuberMain Card · Lightweight KH DR Holland vs RodriguezMain Card · Welterweight FP NV Prado vs VeretennikovPreliminary Card · Welterweight RS ŁB Spann vs BrzeskiEarly Preliminary Card · Heavyweight BF JM Ferreira vs McVeyEarly Preliminary Card · Middleweight
BEST PRICE We back Abega Gautier over Valentin · Middleweight Our fair value$1.24 Pinnacle pays above fair $1.26
Where to back Abega Gautier best price · region · EV vs fair $1.24
US BetOnline.ag $1.24 0%
UK Paddy Power $1.22 -2%
EU Pinnacle $1.26 +2%
AU Ladbrokes AU $1.25 +1%
Consensus66 picks · conf 74/99
Abega Gautier 54
12 Valentin
TPM4BM pick Abega Gautier
How it endsmethod calls · Abega Gautier · crowd line
KO/TKO 87 $1.28
Decision 2 $55.79
None 1 $111.58
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Abega Gautier 9-1 VS 11-6 Valentin
6'4" height 6'2"
186 lb weight 186 lb
81" reach 77"
24 age 31
Switch stance Orthodox
3.6 strikes landed / min 0.1
46% striking accuracy 50%
3.2 strikes absorbed / min 6.2
72% striking defence 19%
2.7 takedowns / 15 min 0.0
48% takedown accuracy 0%
84% takedown defence 66%
1.3 submissions / 15 min 4.4
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market81% vs 79%
Consensus54 of 66 analysts
Sharpest angleAbega Gautier by KO/TKO — 87 of 90 method calls
Recommendation Back Abega Gautier @ $1.26 · fair $1.24 +2% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
BM Bruce Oldham MMA picks Ateba Abega Gautier “So, I'm going to go with Ateba Abega Gautier, but I want Valentine to win.”
JA JakeGerberMMA picks Ateba Abega Gautier “I think he gets a first round KO.”
WP We Want Picks picks Robert Valentin “I think Ataba finishes him”
WP We Want Picks picks Ateba Abega Gautier VALUE “I think Ataba gets to him”
TP The Die Hard MMA Podcast picks Robert Valentin VALUE “We would love to see Robert Valentin maybe push him into the later rounds.” $5.50
PN Picks Nation picks Ateba Abega Gautier VALUE “I do think Ateba Abega Gautier wins this fight.”
LF Liam Picks Fights picks Ateba Abega Gautier VALUE “the pick is for Robert Valentine by sub”
TP The Early Weigh In Podcast picks Ateba Abega Gautier “a pick is Aiba Gutierre.”
VU Valter Walker UFC picks Ateba Abega Gautier “Vou no Ateba Abega Gautier, hein.”
AF Alex Talks Fights picks Robert Valentin VALUE “I think NOT_IN_ROSTER_3 is going to [ __ ] destroy Robert Valentin.” $5.25
DV Dissection Of Violence picks Ateba Abega Gautier “Goier is a pick.”
FF Fightin With Friendz picks Ateba Abega Gautier “I think this is going to be a dangerous fight because Ateba Abega Gautier is a strong puncher heavy-handed kind of guy.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Abega Gautier9-1
W Vines KO/TKO · R1 Oct '25
W Valentin KO/TKO · R1 Jul '25
Valentin11-6
W Leblanc Submission · R1 Apr '26
L Gautier KO/TKO · R1 Jul '25
L Finney Decision · R3 Apr '25
L Loder KO/TKO · R2 Aug '24