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UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3
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MH DP Holloway vs PoirierMain Card · Lightweight MV BA Vettori vs AllenPreliminary Card · Middleweight AF ID Fugitt vs DulatovEarly Preliminary Card · Welterweight JC MP Crute vs PrachnioEarly Preliminary Card · Light Heavyweight CJ NC Judice vs CaliariEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight KP VO Phillips vs OliveiraPreliminary Card · Bantamweight AG RV Gautier vs ValentinPreliminary Card · Middleweight DI PP Ige vs PitbullMain Card · Featherweight PC RK Costa vs KopylovMain Card · Middleweight MJ DZ Johnson vs ZellhuberMain Card · Lightweight KH DR Holland vs RodriguezMain Card · Welterweight FP NV Prado vs VeretennikovPreliminary Card · Welterweight RS ŁB Spann vs BrzeskiEarly Preliminary Card · Heavyweight BF JM Ferreira vs McVeyEarly Preliminary Card · Middleweight
BEST PRICE We back Judice over Caliari · Women'S Flyweight Our fair value$1.26 NordicBet pays above fair $1.28
Where to back Judice best price · region · EV vs fair $1.26
US BetOnline.ag $1.25 -0%
UK Betfair Sportsbook $1.25 -0%
EU NordicBet $1.28 +2%
AU TAB $1.27 +1%
Consensus73 picks · conf 76/99
Judice 62
11 Caliari
TTPHMM pick Judice
How it endsmethod calls · Judice · crowd line
KO/TKO 11 $6.28
Decision 44 $1.57
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Judice 5-2 VS 8-4 Caliari
5'7" height 5'3"
125 lb weight 126 lb
68" reach 62"
27 age 29
Southpaw stance Orthodox
11.2 strikes landed / min 1.9
54% striking accuracy 52%
10.1 strikes absorbed / min 3.2
52% striking defence 31%
1.0 takedowns / 15 min 6.3
25% takedown accuracy 66%
70% takedown defence 0%
0.0 submissions / 15 min 6.3
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market80% vs 78%
Consensus62 of 73 analysts
Sharpest angleJudice by Decision — 44 of 55 method calls
Recommendation Back Judice @ $1.28 · fair $1.26 +2% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
MR Milo Reyes picks Carli Judice VALUE “I got Carli Judice winning this fight.”
BM Bruce Oldham MMA picks Nicolle Caliari “I'm going to go with her just I don't know.”
CP Capper Comparison Picks picks Carli Judice “I'm just going to pick Carli Judice.”
TP The Die Hard MMA Podcast picks Carli Judice VALUE “I'm on the Carly Carli Judice side myself.” $1.25
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Nicolle Caliari VALUE “I'm picking Nicolle Caliari.” $3.90
PP Pick Pocket Podcast picks Carli Judice VALUE “I'm gonna go with Carli Judice as well.” $1.29
HN Hidden Source News picks Carli Judice VALUE “we are picking Carly Judith to take the win”
LJ Lucrative James picks Carli Judice VALUE “I'll say Judice wins a decision”
TP The Early Weigh In Podcast picks Carli Judice VALUE “I like Judice round two, round three, 900 plus 1,200.” $13.00
VU Valter Walker UFC picks Nicolle Caliari “Eu vou na Nicolle Caliari também.”
RM RONIN MMA picks Carli Judice “I am going to be going with Carli Judice.”
UG UFC GamblingAddicts picks Carli Judice VALUE “I'm going to take Carli Judice to get it done on the feet.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Judice5-2
W Miller Decision · R3 Feb '26
W Caliari KO/TKO · R3 Jul '25
W Duben KO/TKO · R1 Mar '25
L Fernandes Decision · R3 Jun '24
Caliari8-4
W Bannon Submission · R3 May '26
L Judice KO/TKO · R3 Jul '25
L Kareckaitė Decision · R3 Jan '25