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Costa vs KopylovMain Card · Middleweight
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Holloway vs PoirierMain Card · Lightweight
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BA
Vettori vs AllenPreliminary Card · Middleweight
AF
ID
Fugitt vs DulatovEarly Preliminary Card · Welterweight
JC
MP
Crute vs PrachnioEarly Preliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
CJ
NC
Judice vs CaliariEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
KP
VO
Phillips vs OliveiraPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
AG
RV
Gautier vs ValentinPreliminary Card · Middleweight
DI
PP
Ige vs PitbullMain Card · Featherweight
PC
RK
Costa vs KopylovMain Card · Middleweight
MJ
DZ
Johnson vs ZellhuberMain Card · Lightweight
KH
DR
Holland vs RodriguezMain Card · Welterweight
FP
NV
Prado vs VeretennikovPreliminary Card · Welterweight
RS
ŁB
Spann vs BrzeskiEarly Preliminary Card · Heavyweight
BF
JM
Ferreira vs McVeyEarly Preliminary Card · Middleweight
BEST PRICE
We back
Costa
over Kopylov · Middleweight
Our fair value$2.90
pays above fair
$2.95
Best prices · Costa
ESPN BET · US
$2.90
Grosvenor · UK
$2.90
Coolbet · EU
$2.95
Unibet · AU
$2.90
Where to back Costa
best price · region · EV vs fair $2.90
US
EB
ESPN BET
$2.90
-0%
UK
Grosvenor
$2.90
-0%
Grosvenor
$2.90
-0%
EU
Coolbet
$2.95
+2%
Coolbet
$2.95
+2%
AU
Unibet
$2.90
-0%
Unibet
$2.90
-0%
How it endsmethod calls · Costa · crowd line
KO/TKO
12
$8.47
Submission
1
$101.60
Decision
21
$4.84
None
1
$101.60
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Costa 0-0
VS
14-5 Kopylov
6'1"
height
6'0"
185 lb
weight
185 lb
72"
reach
75"
35
age
34
Orthodox
stance
Southpaw
6.2
strikes landed / min
4.3
58%
striking accuracy
54%
6.6
strikes absorbed / min
4.1
49%
striking defence
58%
0.4
takedowns / 15 min
1.2
75%
takedown accuracy
53%
80%
takedown defence
87%
0.0
submissions / 15 min
0.0
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
Hit “Run deep research” to pull the latest from X and the news.
What the numbers say
Model vs market34% vs 34%
Consensus54 of 147 analysts
Sharpest angleCosta by Decision — 21 of 35 method calls
Recommendation
Back Costa @ $2.95 · fair $2.90
+2% EDGE
Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
MR
Milo Reyes picks Paulo Costa VALUE
“Paulo Costa in his prime... He's going to get mauled. He's going to get knocked out... He's going to lose... He's going to lose.”
Milo Reyes picks Paulo Costa VALUE
“Paulo Costa in his prime... He's going to get mauled. He's going to get knocked out... He's going to lose... He's going to lose.”
BM
Bruce Oldham MMA picks Paulo Costa
“I think it's it's going to be a decision, but I think Paulo Costa is going to win”
Bruce Oldham MMA picks Paulo Costa
“I think it's it's going to be a decision, but I think Paulo Costa is going to win”
JA
JakeGerberMMA picks Roman Kopylov
“I think Roman Kopylov wins this fight and there's a chance he KO's Paulo Costa.”
JakeGerberMMA picks Roman Kopylov
“I think Roman Kopylov wins this fight and there's a chance he KO's Paulo Costa.”
MD
mdminds picks Paulo Costa VALUE
“Roman NOT_IN_ROSTER_18 and I got NOT_IN_ROSTER_18 by points plus 120. Yeah. You like that one? Sure, why not?”
$2.86
mdminds picks Paulo Costa VALUE
“Roman NOT_IN_ROSTER_18 and I got NOT_IN_ROSTER_18 by points plus 120. Yeah. You like that one? Sure, why not?”
$2.86
WP
We Want Picks picks Roman Kopylov VALUE
“Paloca is going to have a hard time with Roman Kopylov”
We Want Picks picks Roman Kopylov VALUE
“Paloca is going to have a hard time with Roman Kopylov”
WP
We Want Picks picks Paulo Costa
“I don't think Paulo wins”
We Want Picks picks Paulo Costa
“I don't think Paulo wins”
EB
ESPN BET picks Roman Kopylov VALUE
“Give me Roman Cop to win and over one and a half rounds. Costa still has good durability. We get that number down from -250 to the minus 130 -140.”
$1.40
ESPN BET picks Roman Kopylov VALUE
“Give me Roman Cop to win and over one and a half rounds. Costa still has good durability. We get that number down from -250 to the minus 130 -140.”
$1.40
SA
Stokastic DFS - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Paulo Costa VALUE
“I feel the same way about Paulo Costa this weekend.”
Stokastic DFS - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Paulo Costa VALUE
“I feel the same way about Paulo Costa this weekend.”
RX
RX picks Paulo Costa
“some big names on the card”
RX picks Paulo Costa
“some big names on the card”
CR
Capitán Rafucho picks Roman Kopylov VALUE
“I'm going to pick Roman Kipolo at the submission round number two”
Capitán Rafucho picks Roman Kopylov VALUE
“I'm going to pick Roman Kipolo at the submission round number two”
DB
Denver Sports Betting picks Roman Kopylov
“I got Roman on this one.”
Denver Sports Betting picks Roman Kopylov
“I got Roman on this one.”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Costa0-0
W
Murzakanov
Apr '26
W
Kopylov
Jul '25
L
Strickland
Jun '24
L
Whittaker
Feb '24
W
Rockhold
Aug '22
Kopylov14-5
W
Tulio
May '26
L
Rodrigues
Nov '25
L
Costa
Jul '25
W
Curtis
Jan '25
W
Almeida
Jun '24