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UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2
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MD PY Dvalishvili vs YanMain Card · Bantamweight AP JV Pantoja vs VanMain Card · Flyweight BM TT Moreno vs TairaMain Card · Flyweight HC PT Cejudo vs TalbottMain Card · Bantamweight JB BG Błachowicz vs GuskovMain Card · Light Heavyweight GD MT Dawson vs TorresPreliminary Card · Lightweight TM CD McKinney vs DuncanPreliminary Card · Lightweight MB KS Barber vs SilvaPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight NS FZ Sadykhov vs ZiamPreliminary Card · Lightweight MV BF Vettori vs FerreiraEarly Preliminary Card · Catchweight EB JT Barboza vs TurnerEarly Preliminary Card · Lightweight IB İA Baraniewski vs AslanEarly Preliminary Card · Light Heavyweight MA AT Abdul-Malik vs TrócoliEarly Preliminary Card · Middleweight MN MS Naimov vs SantosEarly Preliminary Card · Catchweight
BEST PRICE We back Moreno over Taira · Flyweight Our fair value$2.02 William Hill (UK) pays above fair $2.10
Where to back Moreno best price · region · EV vs fair $2.02
US BetMGM $2.05 +2%
UK William Hill (UK) $2.10 +4%
EU Coolbet $2.05 +2%
AU PlayUp $2.05 +2%
PM Polymarket crowd exchange $2.17
Consensus318 picks · conf 99/99
Moreno 175
143 Taira
DPMTDP pick Moreno
How it endsmethod calls · Moreno · crowd line
KO/TKO 1 $36.32
Decision 17 $2.14
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Moreno 23-9-2 VS 18-1 Taira
5'7" height 5'7"
125 lb weight 126 lb
70" reach 70"
32 age 26
Orthodox stance Orthodox
4.0 strikes landed / min 3.0
43% striking accuracy 60%
3.5 strikes absorbed / min 2.7
60% striking defence 46%
1.6 takedowns / 15 min 2.7
46% takedown accuracy 44%
64% takedown defence 45%
0.4 submissions / 15 min 1.6
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market50% vs 48%
Consensus175 of 318 analysts
Sharpest angleMoreno by Decision — 17 of 18 method calls
Recommendation Back Moreno @ $2.10 · fair $2.02 +4% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
WB WeeklyMMA Breakdowns picks Brandon Moreno VALUE “taking Brandon Moreno by decision”
HI HilexMMA picks Brandon Moreno “I am going to go with Brandon Moreno to Brandon Moreno, dude. I'm sorry. I think Brandon Moreno ... I think it's Brandon Moreno's fight”
FI FIGHTBLOODLINE picks Brandon Moreno “Give me Brandon Moreno. I love Brandon Moreno, guys. He's a monster. I think get back up. And I'm taking Brandon Moreno.”
CR Capitán Rafucho picks Brandon Moreno VALUE “Brandon Moreno by decision”
KM Keep it a Buck Media picks Brandon Moreno VALUE “I just think Brandon Moreno has one of the worst styles for tattooer to deal with... give me Brandon Moreno by decision here.”
CP Capper Comparison Picks picks Tatsuro Taira “I like Tatsuro Taira Tyra, and Tatsuro Taira Tyra. I remember his Telbot money line. Tatsuro Taira money line.”
TD The DubCast picks Brandon Moreno “I think Brandon Moreno wins this I feel like this is lining up for Brandon Moreno >> I love Brandon Moreno at plus 120.”
FF Frozen Fists picks Brandon Moreno VALUE “taking Brandon Moreno to get her done”
RX RX picks Tatsuro Taira “Give me Tatsuro Taira by decision.”
MM MMAFightingonSBN picks Brandon Moreno “So, Mareno against Tatsuro Taira. Really like”
OP Overdogs Podcast with Mike Perry picks Brandon Moreno “I have to agree. Uh Brandon Moreno, one >> But I think Brandon Moreno can make that right.”
FR FREESTYLEBENDER picks Tatsuro Taira “um won by Tatsuro Taira... this one off to finish Tatsuro Taira.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Moreno23-9-2
L Kavanagh Decision · R5 Feb '26
L Taira KO/TKO · R2 Dec '25
W Erceg Decision · R5 Mar '25
W Albazi Decision · R5 Nov '24
L Royval Decision · R5 Feb '24
Taira18-1
L Van KO/TKO · R5 May '26
W Moreno KO/TKO · R2 Dec '25
W Hyun-sung Submission · R2 Aug '25
L Royval Decision · R5 Oct '24
W Perez KO/TKO · R2 Jun '24