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UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2
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MD PY Dvalishvili vs YanMain Card · Bantamweight AP JV Pantoja vs VanMain Card · Flyweight BM TT Moreno vs TairaMain Card · Flyweight HC PT Cejudo vs TalbottMain Card · Bantamweight JB BG Błachowicz vs GuskovMain Card · Light Heavyweight GD MT Dawson vs TorresPreliminary Card · Lightweight TM CD McKinney vs DuncanPreliminary Card · Lightweight MB KS Barber vs SilvaPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight NS FZ Sadykhov vs ZiamPreliminary Card · Lightweight MV BF Vettori vs FerreiraEarly Preliminary Card · Catchweight EB JT Barboza vs TurnerEarly Preliminary Card · Lightweight IB İA Baraniewski vs AslanEarly Preliminary Card · Light Heavyweight MA AT Abdul-Malik vs TrócoliEarly Preliminary Card · Middleweight MN MS Naimov vs SantosEarly Preliminary Card · Catchweight
BEST PRICE We back Błachowicz over Guskov · Light Heavyweight Our fair value$1.81 Pinnacle pays above fair $1.95
Where to back Błachowicz best price · region · EV vs fair $1.81
US BetOnline.ag $1.95 +8%
UK Unibet (UK) $1.95 +8%
EU Pinnacle $1.95 +8%
AU SportsBet $1.92 +6%
Consensus276 picks · conf 99/99
Błachowicz 167
109 Guskov
DTCMBP pick Błachowicz
How it endsmethod calls · Błachowicz · crowd line
KO/TKO 6 $6.95
Submission 4 $10.42
Decision 13 $3.21
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Błachowicz 29-10-1 VS 16-3 Guskov
— height 6'3"
— weight 205 lb
— reach 76"
43 age 33
Orthodox stance Orthodox
3.4 strikes landed / min 3.1
50% striking accuracy 48%
2.9 strikes absorbed / min 3.7
53% striking defence 47%
1.1 takedowns / 15 min 0.0
50% takedown accuracy 0%
68% takedown defence 66%
0.3 submissions / 15 min 0.0
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market55% vs 51%
Consensus167 of 276 analysts
Sharpest angleBłachowicz by Decision — 13 of 23 method calls
Recommendation Back Błachowicz @ $1.95 · fair $1.81 +8% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
WB WeeklyMMA Breakdowns picks Jan Błachowicz VALUE “Jan Błachowicz versus Bogdan Guskov”
HI HilexMMA picks Bogdan Guskov “Bogdan Guskov to win this fight based on just hear me out.”
FI FIGHTBLOODLINE picks Jan Błachowicz “I'm taking Jan Błachowicz.”
CR Capitán Rafucho picks Bogdan Guskov VALUE “I'm going to say goofkas NOT_IN_ROSTER_32 versus Payton Talbott”
BU BunkyMMA picks Jan Błachowicz VALUE “I see him getting TKO'd in the second round, maybe even the third by Jan Błachowicz.”
FF Frozen Fists picks Bogdan Guskov VALUE “Bogdan Guskov is the fully evolved”
PI PibbleMMA picks Bogdan Guskov VALUE “Bogdan Guskov by KO. Dude, NOT_IN_ROSTER_25 is an Jalin Turner to win by KO or submission with Bogdan Guskov by KO on top of Bogdan Guskov”
RX RX picks Jan Błachowicz “I much better than Bogdan Guskov.”
FR FREESTYLEBENDER picks Jan Błachowicz “I go Jan Błachowicz in this fight. ... Jan Błachowicz decision.”
MT MMA Tugg picks Jan Błachowicz “Give me Jan Błachowicz.”
HP High Low Sports Podcast picks Jan Błachowicz “we're going to take Jan Błachowicz the win”
HM Hablemos MMA picks Jan Błachowicz “I think Jan Błachowicz is going to just going to assume Jan Błachowicz wins his Bogdan Guskov.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Błachowicz29-10-1
L Ulberg Decision · R3 Mar '25
L Pereira Decision · R3 Jul '23
W Rakić KO/TKO · R3 May '22
L Teixeira Submission · R2 Oct '21
W Adesanya Decision · R5 Mar '21
Guskov16-3
W Krylov KO/TKO · R1 Jul '25
W Elekana Submission · R2 Jan '25
W Spann KO/TKO · R2 Apr '24
W Pauga KO/TKO · R1 Feb '24
L Oezdemir Submission · R1 Sep '23