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UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2
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MD PY Dvalishvili vs YanMain Card · Bantamweight AP JV Pantoja vs VanMain Card · Flyweight BM TT Moreno vs TairaMain Card · Flyweight HC PT Cejudo vs TalbottMain Card · Bantamweight JB BG Błachowicz vs GuskovMain Card · Light Heavyweight GD MT Dawson vs TorresPreliminary Card · Lightweight TM CD McKinney vs DuncanPreliminary Card · Lightweight MB KS Barber vs SilvaPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight NS FZ Sadykhov vs ZiamPreliminary Card · Lightweight MV BF Vettori vs FerreiraEarly Preliminary Card · Catchweight EB JT Barboza vs TurnerEarly Preliminary Card · Lightweight IB İA Baraniewski vs AslanEarly Preliminary Card · Light Heavyweight MA AT Abdul-Malik vs TrócoliEarly Preliminary Card · Middleweight MN MS Naimov vs SantosEarly Preliminary Card · Catchweight
BEST PRICE We back Cejudo over Talbott · Bantamweight Our fair value$2.94 BetOnline.ag pays above fair $3.20
Where to back Cejudo best price · region · EV vs fair $2.94
US BetOnline.ag $3.20 +9%
UK LiveScore Bet $3.15 +7%
EU NordicBet $3.15 +7%
AU PlayUp $3.15 +7%
PM Polymarket crowd exchange $3.23
Consensus328 picks · conf 99/99
Cejudo 133
195 Talbott
DPTTTH pick Cejudo
How it endsmethod calls · Cejudo · crowd line
KO/TKO 1 $20.57
Decision 6 $3.43
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Cejudo 16-4 VS 9-0 Talbott
5'4" height 5'10"
135 lb weight 135 lb
64" reach 70"
39 age 27
Orthodox stance Switch
3.8 strikes landed / min 8.4
46% striking accuracy 55%
3.3 strikes absorbed / min 3.6
60% striking defence 51%
2.0 takedowns / 15 min 0.0
32% takedown accuracy 0%
75% takedown defence 90%
0.2 submissions / 15 min 0.5
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market34% vs 31%
Consensus133 of 328 analysts
Sharpest angleCejudo by Decision — 6 of 7 method calls
Recommendation Back Cejudo @ $3.20 · fair $2.94 +9% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
WB WeeklyMMA Breakdowns picks Payton Talbott VALUE “I think Payton Talbott will win a decision”
HI HilexMMA picks Payton Talbott “I'm going to go with Payton Talbott ... Payton Talbott will win it, though.”
FI FIGHTBLOODLINE picks Payton Talbott “All right. Yeah, I'm taking Payton Talbott”
KM Keep it a Buck Media picks Payton Talbott VALUE “My top five confident picks for this card are... Payton Talbott...”
TE TenSevenMMA picks Payton Talbott “this is the rise of Payton Talbott and I think Payton Talbott's gonna get him. ... Payton Talbott's going to get the victory and I'm rooting for Payton Talbott.”
WM Wristlock MMA picks Payton Talbott “I'm taking uh Henry Cejudo to the takedowns. Obviously Henry Cejudo is a Payton Talbott at 135. Many are saying Payton Talbott. I don't know if he knocks him out, but uh I do say Payton Talbott then Payton Talbott probably by decision”
BU BunkyMMA picks Henry Cejudo “I me Henry Henry Cejudo by unanimous decision.”
FF Frozen Fists picks Henry Cejudo VALUE “Henry Cejudo is say Payton Talbott”
RX RX picks Payton Talbott “An easy one for Payton Talbott by decision, Payton Talbott by decision,”
OP Overdogs Podcast with Mike Perry picks Payton Talbott “I think Payton Talbott, the young gun, is tougher. I'm gonna go with Payton Talbott”
BS Betting Weekly Studios picks Henry Cejudo VALUE “to make a bet probably by KO but Henry Cejudo... And if you're giving me Henry Cejudo at plus Henry Cejudo.”
TT The Action Network: Sports Betting Picks & Tips picks Payton Talbott VALUE “Almost laid some money on Payton Talbott as a nice little”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Cejudo16-4
L Talbott Decision · R3 Dec '25
L Yadong Decision · R3 Feb '25
L Dvalishvili Decision · R3 Feb '24
L Sterling Decision · R5 May '23
W Cruz KO/TKO · R2 May '20
Talbott9-0
W Cejudo Decision · R3 Dec '25
W Lima Decision · R3 Jun '25
L Barcelos Decision · R3 Jan '25
W Ghemmouri KO/TKO · R1 Jun '24
W Saaiman KO/TKO · R2 Mar '24