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UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2
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MD PY Dvalishvili vs YanMain Card · Bantamweight AP JV Pantoja vs VanMain Card · Flyweight BM TT Moreno vs TairaMain Card · Flyweight HC PT Cejudo vs TalbottMain Card · Bantamweight JB BG Błachowicz vs GuskovMain Card · Light Heavyweight GD MT Dawson vs TorresPreliminary Card · Lightweight TM CD McKinney vs DuncanPreliminary Card · Lightweight MB KS Barber vs SilvaPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight NS FZ Sadykhov vs ZiamPreliminary Card · Lightweight MV BF Vettori vs FerreiraEarly Preliminary Card · Catchweight EB JT Barboza vs TurnerEarly Preliminary Card · Lightweight IB İA Baraniewski vs AslanEarly Preliminary Card · Light Heavyweight MA AT Abdul-Malik vs TrócoliEarly Preliminary Card · Middleweight MN MS Naimov vs SantosEarly Preliminary Card · Catchweight
BEST PRICE We back Ferreira over Vettori · Catchweight Our fair value$2.06 Unibet (UK) pays above fair $2.10
Where to back Ferreira best price · region · EV vs fair $2.06
US Caesars $2.05 -0%
UK Unibet (UK) $2.10 +2%
EU Pinnacle $2.03 -1%
AU PointsBet (AU) $2.05 -0%
PM Polymarket crowd exchange $2.04
Consensus228 picks · conf 99/99
Vettori 110
118 Ferreira
TNPBNL pick Vettori
How it endsmethod calls · Ferreira · crowd line
KO/TKO 9 $3.66
Submission 2 $16.45
Decision 5 $6.58
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Vettori 19-7-1 VS 15-3 Ferreira
6'0" height 5'10"
186 lb weight 184 lb
74" reach 72"
32 age 33
Southpaw stance Orthodox
4.6 strikes landed / min 3.8
45% striking accuracy 50%
4.2 strikes absorbed / min 3.1
56% striking defence 52%
1.7 takedowns / 15 min 0.5
45% takedown accuracy 16%
69% takedown defence 53%
0.5 submissions / 15 min 0.5
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market49% vs 48%
Consensus118 of 228 analysts
Sharpest angleFerreira by KO/TKO — 9 of 16 method calls
Recommendation Back Ferreira @ $2.10 · fair $2.06 +2% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
WB WeeklyMMA Breakdowns picks Brunno Ferreira VALUE “I think Brunno Ferreira by decision”
KM Keep it a Buck Media picks Marvin Vettori VALUE “I believe in the durability chin of Marvin Vettori... I think he knocks out Brunno Ferreira... give me Marvin Vettori by uh TKO KO.”
TD The DubCast picks Brunno Ferreira “Uh, Brunno Ferreira money line.”
IM IJB MMA picks Marvin Vettori “I'm sticking with Marvin Vettori stick with Marvin Vettori.”
MB Matty Betss picks Brunno Ferreira “we are taking Brunno Ferreira by”
RX RX picks Marvin Vettori “I'm picking Marvin Vettori here. I truly am picking Marvin Vettori here. I think he's better. more of Marvin Vettori by decision.”
MB Matty Betss picks Brunno Ferreira “There's Brunno Ferreira by decision.”
TT The Action Network: Sports Betting Picks & Tips picks Marvin Vettori “Marvin Vettori wins a decision. I make his money Marvin Vettori and the go to decision”
KU Kamaru Usman picks Marvin Vettori “We've got Marvin Vettori in the Marvin Vettori. I just think I mean Marvin early prelims taking on Brunno Ferreira.”
BM Bloodsport MMA picks Marvin Vettori “I hope Marvin Vettori a winnable fight.”
WP We Want Picks picks Marvin Vettori “decision win on the Marvin Vettori side”
FM Full Mount MMA picks Marvin Vettori “beat Brunno Ferreira tomorrow at EVENT_DETAILS to show it.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Vettori19-7-1
L Ferreira Decision · R3 Dec '25
L Allen Decision · R3 Jul '25
L Dolidze Decision · R5 Mar '25
L Cannonier Decision · R5 Jun '23
W Dolidze Decision · R3 Mar '23
Ferreira15-3
L Aliskerov Decision · R3 Jun '26
L Rodrigues KO/TKO · R1 Mar '26
W Vettori Decision · R3 Dec '25
W McVey Submission · R1 Jul '25
W Petrosyan Submission · R2 Mar '25