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UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2
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MD PY Dvalishvili vs YanMain Card · Bantamweight AP JV Pantoja vs VanMain Card · Flyweight BM TT Moreno vs TairaMain Card · Flyweight HC PT Cejudo vs TalbottMain Card · Bantamweight JB BG Błachowicz vs GuskovMain Card · Light Heavyweight GD MT Dawson vs TorresPreliminary Card · Lightweight TM CD McKinney vs DuncanPreliminary Card · Lightweight MB KS Barber vs SilvaPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight NS FZ Sadykhov vs ZiamPreliminary Card · Lightweight MV BF Vettori vs FerreiraEarly Preliminary Card · Catchweight EB JT Barboza vs TurnerEarly Preliminary Card · Lightweight IB İA Baraniewski vs AslanEarly Preliminary Card · Light Heavyweight MA AT Abdul-Malik vs TrócoliEarly Preliminary Card · Middleweight MN MS Naimov vs SantosEarly Preliminary Card · Catchweight
BEST PRICE We back Baraniewski over Aslan · Light Heavyweight Our fair value$1.52 FanDuel pays above fair $1.54
Where to back Baraniewski best price · region · EV vs fair $1.52
US FanDuel $1.54 +1%
UK Paddy Power $1.53 +1%
EU Pinnacle $1.53 +1%
AU Bet Right $1.52 +0%
PM Polymarket crowd exchange $1.52
Consensus177 picks · conf 99/99
Baraniewski 124
53 Aslan
NTPNLB pick Baraniewski
How it endsmethod calls · Baraniewski · crowd line
KO/TKO 20 $1.97
Submission 5 $7.90
None 1 $39.49
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Baraniewski 8-0 VS 14-3 Aslan
6'0" height 6'3"
206 lb weight 204 lb
74" reach 78"
27 age 30
Orthodox stance Orthodox
— strikes landed / min 5.8
— striking accuracy 63%
— strikes absorbed / min 3.5
— striking defence 51%
— takedowns / 15 min 1.6
— takedown accuracy 74%
— takedown defence 69%
— submissions / 15 min 0.9
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market66% vs 65%
Consensus124 of 177 analysts
Sharpest angleBaraniewski by KO/TKO — 20 of 26 method calls
Recommendation Back Baraniewski @ $1.54 · fair $1.52 +1% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
WB WeeklyMMA Breakdowns picks İbo Aslan VALUE “İbo Aslan versus Iwo Baraniewski”
TD The DubCast picks Iwo Baraniewski “we're gonna go with Iwo Baraniewski”
IM IJB MMA picks Iwo Baraniewski “I'd say real pick, I'd say Iwo Baraniewski KO.”
RX RX picks İbo Aslan “give me İbo Aslan by knockout in the first. pick İbo Aslan. Give me İbo Aslan by knockout first.”
TT The Action Network: Sports Betting Picks & Tips picks Iwo Baraniewski “Iwo Baraniewski taking Iwo Baraniewski on the money line.”
BM Bloodsport MMA picks Iwo Baraniewski “I do think Iwo Baraniewski has the he will knock out Iwo Baraniewski.”
WP We Want Picks picks Iwo Baraniewski VALUE “I am on the Iwo Baraniewski”
DS Dynes Sports picks İbo Aslan VALUE “But I like İbo Aslan a lot.”
PH Philyflishow999 picks Iwo Baraniewski “I'm going Iwo Baraniewski.” $1.52
FM FATALITY MMA picks Iwo Baraniewski “I'm gonna take Iwo Baraniewski.”
JA JakeGerberMMA picks Iwo Baraniewski “I think Iwo Baraniewski beats İbo Aslan by a good, man.”
BY BYJOINTDECISION picks Iwo Baraniewski “Iwo Baraniewski patiently counters, Iwo Baraniewski uses spacing and patience to İbo Aslan charges forward with raw energy, off İbo Aslan's overextensions. İbo Aslan tries to force a finish, but by decision, exploiting İbo Aslan's”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Baraniewski8-0
W Tafa KO/TKO · R1 Jun '26
W Lane KO/TKO · R1 Mar '26
W Aslan KO/TKO · R1 Dec '25
Aslan14-3
L Baraniewski KO/TKO · R1 Dec '25
L Elekana Decision · R3 Jul '25
L Cuțelaba Submission · R1 Feb '25