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Sadykhov vs ZiamPreliminary Card · Lightweight
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Vettori vs FerreiraEarly Preliminary Card · Catchweight
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Barboza vs TurnerEarly Preliminary Card · Lightweight
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Baraniewski vs AslanEarly Preliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
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BEST PRICE
We back
Duncan
over McKinney · Lightweight
Our fair value$1.76
pays above fair
$1.97
Best prices · Duncan
BetOnline.ag · US
$1.95
Unibet (UK) · UK
$1.95
Coolbet · EU
$1.97
Ladbrokes AU · AU
$1.87
Where to back Duncan
best price · region · EV vs fair $1.76
US
BetOnline.ag
$1.95
+11%
BetOnline.ag
$1.95
+11%
UK
Unibet (UK)
$1.95
+11%
Unibet (UK)
$1.95
+11%
EU
Coolbet
$1.97
+12%
Coolbet
$1.97
+12%
AU
Ladbrokes AU
$1.87
+6%
Ladbrokes AU
$1.87
+6%
PM
PM
Polymarket crowd exchange
$1.96
How it endsmethod calls · Duncan · crowd line
KO/TKO
17
$2.38
Submission
6
$6.74
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
McKinney 17-8
VS
15-2 Duncan
5'10"
height
5'10"
156 lb
weight
156 lb
74"
reach
71"
31
age
33
Switch
stance
Orthodox
4.5
strikes landed / min
4.7
50%
striking accuracy
46%
2.6
strikes absorbed / min
4.0
45%
striking defence
48%
3.5
takedowns / 15 min
3.5
36%
takedown accuracy
37%
85%
takedown defence
33%
1.0
submissions / 15 min
0.3
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
Hit “Run deep research” to pull the latest from X and the news.
What the numbers say
Model vs market57% vs 51%
Consensus146 of 238 analysts
Sharpest angleDuncan by KO/TKO — 17 of 23 method calls
Recommendation
Back Duncan @ $1.97 · fair $1.76
+12% EDGE
Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
WB
WeeklyMMA Breakdowns picks Terrance McKinney VALUE
“Terrance McKinney KO”
WeeklyMMA Breakdowns picks Terrance McKinney VALUE
“Terrance McKinney KO”
FI
FIGHTBLOODLINE picks Terrance McKinney
“I'm picking Terrance McKinney.”
FIGHTBLOODLINE picks Terrance McKinney
“I'm picking Terrance McKinney.”
KM
Keep it a Buck Media picks Terrance McKinney VALUE
“I'm staying with my Chris Duncan pick... give me Chris Duncan to win by sub in round two.”
Keep it a Buck Media picks Terrance McKinney VALUE
“I'm staying with my Chris Duncan pick... give me Chris Duncan to win by sub in round two.”
KM
Keep it a Buck Media picks Chris Duncan VALUE
“I think Chris Duncan finds a finish here in the round two... win by submission.”
Keep it a Buck Media picks Chris Duncan VALUE
“I think Chris Duncan finds a finish here in the round two... win by submission.”
TD
The DubCast picks Chris Duncan
“Chris Duncan's gonna flatline him.”
The DubCast picks Chris Duncan
“Chris Duncan's gonna flatline him.”
IM
IJB MMA picks Chris Duncan
“I got Chris Duncan.”
IJB MMA picks Chris Duncan
“I got Chris Duncan.”
PI
PibbleMMA picks Chris Duncan VALUE
“Gonna have to pick Chris Chris Duncan here.”
PibbleMMA picks Chris Duncan VALUE
“Gonna have to pick Chris Chris Duncan here.”
BD
Big Dave picks Chris Duncan
“I'm going to go Chris Chris Duncan. underdog. And Chris Chris Duncan is the minus”
Big Dave picks Chris Duncan
“I'm going to go Chris Chris Duncan. underdog. And Chris Chris Duncan is the minus”
RX
RX picks Terrance McKinney
“Give me Terrance McKinney by knockout first.”
RX picks Terrance McKinney
“Give me Terrance McKinney by knockout first.”
MM
MMAFightingonSBN picks Chris Duncan
“Chris Duncan's money line has gone from Chris Duncan as like a plus 200”
$3.00
MMAFightingonSBN picks Chris Duncan
“Chris Duncan's money line has gone from Chris Duncan as like a plus 200”
$3.00
MB
Matty Betss picks Terrance McKinney
“Dawson by Terrance McKinney verse Chris Duncan. Ends by won by submission.”
Matty Betss picks Terrance McKinney
“Dawson by Terrance McKinney verse Chris Duncan. Ends by won by submission.”
TT
The Action Network: Sports Betting Picks & Tips picks Chris Duncan
“live price on Chris Duncan after 2 and 1/2 then bet Chris Duncan live... Chris Duncan's money pre-fight on Chris Duncan at the same plus money. Chris Duncan by decision is 13 or Chris Duncan and over half round plus 125, take.”
The Action Network: Sports Betting Picks & Tips picks Chris Duncan
“live price on Chris Duncan after 2 and 1/2 then bet Chris Duncan live... Chris Duncan's money pre-fight on Chris Duncan at the same plus money. Chris Duncan by decision is 13 or Chris Duncan and over half round plus 125, take.”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
McKinney17-8
W
Nelson
Mar '26
L
Duncan
Dec '25
W
Borshchev
Jun '25
W
Hadžović
Feb '25
L
Ribovics
May '24
Duncan15-2
L
Moicano
Apr '26
W
McKinney
Dec '25
W
Rębecki
Aug '25
W
Vucenic
Mar '25
W
Oki
Sep '24