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UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Hill v Teixeira Light Heavyweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus21 picks · conf 44/99
Hill 9
12 Teixeira
MUDOTS pick Hill
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Hill 12-2 VS 33-9 Teixeira
6'4" height 6'2"
206 lb weight 205 lb
79" reach 76"
35 age 46
Southpaw stance Orthodox
7.2 strikes landed / min 3.7
54% striking accuracy 49%
3.5 strikes absorbed / min 4.4
46% striking defence 51%
0.0 takedowns / 15 min 2.1
0% takedown accuracy 33%
73% takedown defence 60%
0.0 submissions / 15 min 0.9
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
RU RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Jamahal Hill “I'm on the side of Jamahal Hill ... I'm gonna have shares of Jamahal Hill ... Pat Jamahal Hill in it so I'm gonna definitely play some Jamahal Hill here minus 140 for Jamahal Hill” $1.71
TM The MMA-Holes picks Jamahal Hill VALUE
WB WeeklyMMA Breakdowns picks Glover Teixeira VALUE “but with NOT_IN_ROSTER_18 too training him NOT_IN_ROSTER_27 with the NOT_IN_ROSTER_27 I mean I'm pretty sure Glover Teixeira's gonna get this done”
DS Dynes Sports picks Glover Teixeira “Glover Teixeira's gonna be a pick for me I mean feel like Glover Teixeira's gonna have that path actually I know I don't back Glover Teixeira ... currently leaning on Glover Teixeira I do want to that this should be Glover Teixeira's fight going to sway into Glover Teixeira's favor so the old dog Glover Teixeira pull away”
CM Cyclone MMA picks Glover Teixeira “I gotta take Glover Teixeira to win this”
WP We Want Picks picks Glover Teixeira VALUE “I think lover Tashara wins this fight” $79.00
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Glover Teixeira VALUE “going to submit Jamahal Hill just don't get caught in the first round”
SN SPORTS JEDI NETWORK picks Glover Teixeira “I think he I think I can see him getting Jamahal Hill tired especially in the second third rounds and getting a submission around a pound there”
CO Covers picks Glover Teixeira VALUE “I'm taking to Glover Teixeira plus money” $2.10
MJ MMA JOEY picks Glover Teixeira “Jamal Health would lose at 205”
WP We Want Picks picks Jamahal Hill VALUE “I like Marcos here I think he's a solid Striker he's got power he's accurate”
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Jamahal Hill VALUE “expect all made it to get one takedown and it's probably only going to take one take down for him to finish the fight uh maybe get some ground pound in there maybe get some control time in there but it's probably a first round finish”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Hill12-2
L Rountree Jr. Decision · R5 Jun '25
L Procházka KO/TKO · R3 Jan '25
L Pereira KO/TKO · R1 Apr '24
W Teixeira Decision · R5 Jan '23
W Santos KO/TKO · R4 Aug '22
Teixeira33-9
L Hill Decision · R5 Jan '23
L Procházka Submission · R5 Jun '22
W Błachowicz Submission · R2 Oct '21
W Santos Submission · R3 Nov '20
W Smith KO/TKO · R5 Apr '20