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UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Moreno v Figueiredo Flyweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus19 picks · conf 42/99
Moreno 9
10 Figueiredo
MMSCKW pick Moreno
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Moreno 23-9-2 VS 25-6-1 Figueiredo
5'7" height 5'5"
125 lb weight 138 lb
70" reach 68"
32 age 38
Orthodox stance Orthodox
4.0 strikes landed / min 4.2
43% striking accuracy 44%
3.5 strikes absorbed / min 4.7
60% striking defence 46%
1.6 takedowns / 15 min 2.2
46% takedown accuracy 37%
64% takedown defence 58%
0.4 submissions / 15 min 1.2
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
RU RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Brandon Moreno “I'm picking Brandon Moreno ... my pick is Brandon Moreno zero miado Brandon Moreno via by Body kick KO I Brandon Moreno”
OM One On One | MMA picks Brandon Moreno VALUE “I really do I think he's the best flyweight in the world”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Brandon Moreno “official prediction change to Brandon Moreno I'm going the other side” $1.87
WB WeeklyMMA Breakdowns picks Deiveson Figueiredo VALUE “I think Deiveson Figueiredo is the right play Brandon Moreno could get this done again maybe seven but I don't I don't see it happening”
DS Dynes Sports picks Deiveson Figueiredo “I lean Deiveson Figueiredo once again white cut I do lean Deiveson Figueiredo but I mean lean Deiveson Figueiredo into Deiveson Figueiredo strengths”
CM Cyclone MMA picks Brandon Moreno “Brandon Moreno is your favorite decision I think Brandon Moreno is durable I like Brandon Moreno”
KU Kunath picks Brandon Moreno VALUE “I like Brandon Moreno to win here he's got 25 minutes to work giving him access to a really high scoring ceiling”
WP We Want Picks picks Deiveson Figueiredo VALUE “I personally think figgy wins this fight”
SN SPORTS JEDI NETWORK picks Deiveson Figueiredo “I think they should figure out will win this fight we are close to be a unanimous decision”
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Brandon Moreno “so I'll go Brandon Moreno rainbow”
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Brandon Moreno VALUE “I'm going 100 on this fight I mean I don't see in in what world at these price tags eight thousand two hundred for figgy 8 000 for Moreno”
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Deiveson Figueiredo VALUE “I slightly lean Moreno”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Moreno23-9-2
L Kavanagh Decision · R5 Feb '26
L Taira KO/TKO · R2 Dec '25
W Erceg Decision · R5 Mar '25
W Albazi Decision · R5 Nov '24
L Royval Decision · R5 Feb '24
Figueiredo25-6-1
L Yadong Submission · R2 May '26
L Nurmagomedov Decision · R3 Jan '26
W Jackson Decision · R3 Oct '25
L Sandhagen KO/TKO · R2 May '25
L Yan Decision · R5 Nov '24