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UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Potieria v Rua Light Heavyweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
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Consensus6 picks · conf 18/99
Potieria 3
3 Rua
BSD pick Potieria
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Potieria 20-8 VS 27-14-1 Rua
6'3" height —
188 lb weight —
75" reach —
30 age 44
Southpaw stance Orthodox
4.6 strikes landed / min 3.6
50% striking accuracy 50%
4.7 strikes absorbed / min 2.8
50% striking defence 54%
0.8 takedowns / 15 min 2.0
18% takedown accuracy 48%
66% takedown defence 49%
0.0 submissions / 15 min 0.7
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only Go Pro →
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Maurício Rua VALUE “I'm gonna pick Maurício Rua to win his Farewell fight... Shogun by decision” $2.77
FF Fight Fiend Forecast picks Maurício Rua “if I am selling with someone I gotta go ehore”
DS Dynes Sports picks Ihor Potieria “my head says Ihor Potieria”
BM Bedtime MMA picks Ihor Potieria “I'm gonna go Ihor Potieria to win this fight I I want I think Shogun might actually be able to win that but I'm gonna go IHOP Terrier just to play it safe”
SD Santino DeFranco picks Ihor Potieria VALUE “shogun's better everywhere he ehore is a guy who goes out guns blazing his record is padded he's not very good”
WP We Want Picks picks Ihor Potieria “Ihor Potieria is going to win this fight”
WP We Want Picks picks Maurício Rua “I'm gonna pick Shogun here”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Potieria20-8
L Tulio KO/TKO · R1 Jan '25
L Almeida Decision · R3 Oct '24
L Pereira Submission · R1 May '24
W Bryczek Decision · R3 Feb '24
L Bellato KO/TKO · R2 Dec '23
Rua27-14-1
L Potieria KO/TKO · R1 Jan '23
L Preux Decision · R3 May '22
L Craig KO/TKO · R2 Nov '20
W Nogueira Decision · R3 Jul '20
W Pedro KO/TKO · R3 Dec '18