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UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Walker v Craig Light Heavyweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus18 picks · conf 40/99
Walker 11
7 Craig
MGUCDW pick Walker
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Walker 22-9 VS 17-10-1 Craig
6'6" height 6'3"
206 lb weight 205 lb
82" reach 76"
34 age 38
Orthodox stance Orthodox
5.5 strikes landed / min 3.2
43% striking accuracy 48%
4.2 strikes absorbed / min 4.7
75% striking defence 52%
2.8 takedowns / 15 min 0.9
50% takedown accuracy 60%
85% takedown defence 80%
0.0 submissions / 15 min 0.3
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
RU RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Johnny Walker “tentatively pick Johnny Walker for Johnny Walker here and I'm I'm like you picking Johnny Walker to win I don't get the have enough confidence in Johnny Walker pick Johnny Walker I'll have some of them in in uh I'll pick Johnny Walker”
RU RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Paul Craig VALUE “I'm gonna pull Paul Craig here Johnny Walker recency bias on Johnny Walker ... I my lineups I think Paul Craig gets 7.5 is a friend”
WB WeeklyMMA Breakdowns picks Paul Craig VALUE “I'm gonna go with Johnny Walker Johnny Walker but NOT_IN_ROSTER_21 Paul Craig can definitely win this fight so just be careful”
WB WeeklyMMA Breakdowns picks Johnny Walker “I'm gonna go with Johnny Walker”
DS Dynes Sports picks Johnny Walker “I I'm leaning Johnny Walker at this best Johnny Walker ... it's it's Johnny Walker with you slightly ... I think Johnny Walker probably money on Johnny Walker” $1.50
CM Cyclone MMA picks Paul Craig “I'm taking Johnny Walker by KO”
WP We Want Picks picks Johnny Walker VALUE “I think Johnny Walker wins this fight I have a bet on Johnny Walker” $88.00
SN SPORTS JEDI NETWORK picks Johnny Walker “I think Johnny Walker will finish him late first round it's early second round TKO”
PP Pick Pocket Podcast picks Johnny Walker “Johnny Walker money line minus 210”
MJ MMA JOEY picks Johnny Walker “I picked it out of user to beat her”
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Paul Craig VALUE “Paul Craig at 7500 is one of the more intriguing dogs on the Slate for the prize”
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Johnny Walker VALUE “I personally lean towards Johnny Walker at 8700 getting the first round knockout”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Walker22-9
L Reyes Decision · R3 Apr '26
W Mingyang KO/TKO · R2 Aug '25
L Oezdemir KO/TKO · R1 Jun '24
L Ankalaev KO/TKO · R2 Jan '24
W Smith Decision · R3 May '23
Craig17-10-1
L Bukauskas KO/TKO · R1 Sep '25
L Nickal Decision · R3 Nov '24
L Borralho KO/TKO · R2 May '24
L Allen Submission · R3 Nov '23
W Muniz KO/TKO · R2 Jul '23