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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Almeida v Abdurakhimov Heavyweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
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Consensus4 picks · conf 10/99
Almeida 3
1 Abdurakhimov
WDR pick Almeida
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Almeida 22-4 VS 20-8 Abdurakhimov
6'3" height 6'3"
237 lb weight 263 lb
79" reach 76"
35 age 44
Orthodox stance Orthodox
2.5 strikes landed / min 2.4
64% striking accuracy 44%
0.7 strikes absorbed / min 3.0
40% striking defence 55%
6.8 takedowns / 15 min 1.0
59% takedown accuracy 23%
75% takedown defence 45%
2.6 submissions / 15 min 0.1
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
RU RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Jailton Almeida “Jailton Almeida should win after Shamil Abdurakhimov is here Jailton Almeida to win this fight... I think Jailton Almeida gonna see with Shamil Abdurakhimov”
DS Dynes Sports picks Jailton Almeida “I like Jailton Almeida here”
WP We Want Picks picks Jailton Almeida VALUE “I think Jailton Almeida will take him down and Maul him he is a 205 pounder but he is now massive at 205 looks like an actual heavyweight” $98.00
SD Santino DeFranco picks Shamil Abdurakhimov “not me I was actually no I'm just gonna go the other way” $1.10
Recent form last five, most recent first
Almeida22-4
L Kuniev Decision · R3 Feb '26
L Volkov Decision · R3 Oct '25
W Spivac KO/TKO · R1 Jan '25
W Romanov Submission · R1 Jun '24
L Blaydes KO/TKO · R2 Mar '24
Abdurakhimov20-8
L Almeida KO/TKO · R2 Jan '23
L Pavlovich KO/TKO · R1 Mar '22
L Daukaus KO/TKO · R2 Sep '21
L Blaydes KO/TKO · R2 Sep '19
W Tybura KO/TKO · R2 Apr '19