Choose a fight to analyse
JH
GT
Hill vs TeixeiraMain Card · Light Heavyweight
BM
DF
Moreno vs FigueiredoMain Card · Flyweight
GB
NM
Burns vs MagnyMain Card · Welterweight
JA
LM
Andrade vs MurphyMain Card · Women'S Flyweight
JW
PC
Walker vs CraigMain Card · Light Heavyweight
IP
MR
Potieria vs RuaPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
BF
GR
Ferreira vs RodriguesPreliminary Card · Middleweight
TM
MC
Moisés vs CostaPreliminary Card · Lightweight
GB
ML
Bonfim vs LazzezPreliminary Card · Welterweight
JA
SA
Almeida vs AbdurakhimovEarly Preliminary Card · Heavyweight
CS
LL
Stamann vs LacerdaEarly Preliminary Card · Bantamweight
IB
TM
Bonfim vs McKinneyEarly Preliminary Card · Lightweight
ND
WA
Dalby vs AlvesEarly Preliminary Card · Welterweight
JN
ZF
Nunes vs FairnEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Featherweight
DM
SO
Marcos vs OliveiraEarly Preliminary Card · Bantamweight
GT
Hill vs TeixeiraMain Card · Light Heavyweight
BM
DF
Moreno vs FigueiredoMain Card · Flyweight
GB
NM
Burns vs MagnyMain Card · Welterweight
JA
LM
Andrade vs MurphyMain Card · Women'S Flyweight
JW
PC
Walker vs CraigMain Card · Light Heavyweight
IP
MR
Potieria vs RuaPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
BF
GR
Ferreira vs RodriguesPreliminary Card · Middleweight
TM
MC
Moisés vs CostaPreliminary Card · Lightweight
GB
ML
Bonfim vs LazzezPreliminary Card · Welterweight
JA
SA
Almeida vs AbdurakhimovEarly Preliminary Card · Heavyweight
CS
LL
Stamann vs LacerdaEarly Preliminary Card · Bantamweight
IB
TM
Bonfim vs McKinneyEarly Preliminary Card · Lightweight
ND
WA
Dalby vs AlvesEarly Preliminary Card · Welterweight
JN
ZF
Nunes vs FairnEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Featherweight
DM
SO
Marcos vs OliveiraEarly Preliminary Card · Bantamweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Dalby v Alves
Welterweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
Go Pro →
New here? Create a free account for the full leaderboard & bet tracker
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Dalby 23-5-1
VS
15-8 Alves
5'11"
height
5'11"
171 lb
weight
186 lb
74"
reach
72"
41
age
35
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
4.1
strikes landed / min
3.0
43%
striking accuracy
48%
3.5
strikes absorbed / min
4.0
52%
striking defence
50%
1.0
takedowns / 15 min
1.2
27%
takedown accuracy
50%
58%
takedown defence
62%
0.1
submissions / 15 min
0.8
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
Go Pro →
Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
RU
RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Warlley Alves
“I do like Warlley Alves here I am so um I'm gonna pick Warlley Alves here”
RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Warlley Alves
“I do like Warlley Alves here I am so um I'm gonna pick Warlley Alves here”
DS
Dynes Sports picks Warlley Alves
“currently lean Warlley Alves I mean if both of Warlley Alves is the better fighter I think like Warlley Alves as striking I like Warlley Alves early I'd probably that I like Warlley Alves by finish only on Warlley Alves here”
Dynes Sports picks Warlley Alves
“currently lean Warlley Alves I mean if both of Warlley Alves is the better fighter I think like Warlley Alves as striking I like Warlley Alves early I'd probably that I like Warlley Alves by finish only on Warlley Alves here”
WP
We Want Picks picks Nicolas Dalby
“if Nicolas Dalby weathers that early storm he's going to point his way to a win”
$80.00
We Want Picks picks Nicolas Dalby
“if Nicolas Dalby weathers that early storm he's going to point his way to a win”
$80.00
WP
We Want Picks picks Nicolas Dalby VALUE
“I'm gonna go with slow and steady here Nicholas always gonna be the pick plus 105”
$2.05
We Want Picks picks Nicolas Dalby VALUE
“I'm gonna go with slow and steady here Nicholas always gonna be the pick plus 105”
$2.05
SD
Santino DeFranco picks Nicolas Dalby VALUE
“I love warly Alves you look at all of Nicholas dalby's last fights he's going life or death with these guys who are in their 40s who have cardio problems they're still winning rounds against him he's getting gift decisions”
$1.80
Santino DeFranco picks Nicolas Dalby VALUE
“I love warly Alves you look at all of Nicholas dalby's last fights he's going life or death with these guys who are in their 40s who have cardio problems they're still winning rounds against him he's getting gift decisions”
$1.80
DR
Dan Hardy | Full Reptile picks Nicolas Dalby
“I'm just gonna I don't know I'm going for Nicolas Dalby oh yeah yeah because on the last to research so you're going with Nicolas Dalby are you yeah I'm gonna go with Nicolas Dalby okay I'm kind of like Nicolas Dalby”
Dan Hardy | Full Reptile picks Nicolas Dalby
“I'm just gonna I don't know I'm going for Nicolas Dalby oh yeah yeah because on the last to research so you're going with Nicolas Dalby are you yeah I'm gonna go with Nicolas Dalby okay I'm kind of like Nicolas Dalby”
WM
Walk The Line MMA picks Nicolas Dalby VALUE
“I'm gonna be taking Nicolas Dalby to get the job done here uh Nicolas Dalby a very slight underdog plus 105 to come back in Elvis and minus 125 um you know definitely more value towards Dobby's way”
$2.05
Walk The Line MMA picks Nicolas Dalby VALUE
“I'm gonna be taking Nicolas Dalby to get the job done here uh Nicolas Dalby a very slight underdog plus 105 to come back in Elvis and minus 125 um you know definitely more value towards Dobby's way”
$2.05
UG
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Nicolas Dalby VALUE
“I'm gonna side with Nicolas Dalby to be Warlley Alves”
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Nicolas Dalby VALUE
“I'm gonna side with Nicolas Dalby to be Warlley Alves”
FF
Fight Fiend Forecast picks Nicolas Dalby
“I'm going to lean towards more the side Nicholas dalby”
Fight Fiend Forecast picks Nicolas Dalby
“I'm going to lean towards more the side Nicholas dalby”
AM
Artem MMA picks Warlley Alves VALUE
“I'm going with Warlley Alves”
Artem MMA picks Warlley Alves VALUE
“I'm going with Warlley Alves”
AM
Artem MMA picks Nicolas Dalby
“I was originally on Nicolas Dalby I thought he was going to get it done”
Artem MMA picks Nicolas Dalby
“I was originally on Nicolas Dalby I thought he was going to get it done”
AM
Artem MMA picks Warlley Alves
“I'm going with Warlley Alves”
Artem MMA picks Warlley Alves
“I'm going with Warlley Alves”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Dalby23-5-1
W
Izagakhmaev
Nov '25
L
Brown
Apr '25
L
Fakhretdinov
Jun '24
W
Bonfim
Nov '23
W
Salikhov
Jun '23
Alves15-8
L
Magomedov
May '24
L
Aliskerov
Oct '23
L
Dalby
Jan '23
L
Wells
Jun '21
W
Lazzez
Jan '21