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UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Bonfim v Lazzez Welterweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
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Consensus8 picks · conf 24/99
Bonfim 6
2 Lazzez
USFWWD pick Bonfim
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Bonfim 19-1 VS 11-3 Lazzez
6'1" height 6'1"
170 lb weight 171 lb
72" reach 76"
28 age 38
Orthodox stance Orthodox
5.8 strikes landed / min 7.5
42% striking accuracy 55%
4.4 strikes absorbed / min 5.4
62% striking defence 53%
2.9 takedowns / 15 min 1.8
75% takedown accuracy 57%
73% takedown defence 71%
1.9 submissions / 15 min 0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only Go Pro →
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
RU RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Mounir Lazzez VALUE “I like Mounir Lazzez at 7 400 so I like Mounir Lazzez I'm picking Mounir Lazzez Mounir Lazzez as well give me Mounir Lazzez” $75.00
DS Dynes Sports picks Gabriel Bonfim “Gabriel Bonfim is my pick”
SD Santino DeFranco picks Gabriel Bonfim VALUE “I think Liz as is the better fighter I think he's a more athletic guy I think he's a faster guy um he should win this”
WM Walk The Line MMA picks Gabriel Bonfim VALUE “I'm taking this kid Gabriel to get the job done here I really like what he's about” $1.54
UG UFC GamblingAddicts picks Gabriel Bonfim VALUE “I'll be side him with Gabriel Bonfim probably to get a stoppage”
FF Fight Fiend Forecast picks Gabriel Bonfim VALUE “I'm obviously going ball for me man”
GP Greedo Plays picks Mounir Lazzez “Gabriel Bonfim vs Mounir Lazzez”
WP We Want Picks picks Gabriel Bonfim “I think I like munir here”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Bonfim19-1
W Muhammad Decision · R5 Jun '26
W Brown KO/TKO · R2 Nov '25
W Thompson Decision · R3 Jul '25
W Williams Submission · R2 Feb '25
W Loosa Decision · R3 Jul '24
Lazzez11-3
L Bonfim Submission · R1 Jan '23
W Loosa Decision · R3 Apr '22
L Alves KO/TKO · R1 Jan '21
W Alhassan Decision · R3 Jul '20