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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Covington v Masvidal
Welterweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Covington 17-4
VS
35-17 Masvidal
5'11"
height
5'11"
171 lb
weight
170 lb
72"
reach
74"
38
age
41
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
3.9
strikes landed / min
4.0
38%
striking accuracy
47%
3.0
strikes absorbed / min
3.0
55%
striking defence
64%
3.8
takedowns / 15 min
1.4
44%
takedown accuracy
59%
67%
takedown defence
72%
0.2
submissions / 15 min
0.3
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
WP
We Want Picks picks Jorge Masvidal
“No direct quote; inferred from card context”
We Want Picks picks Jorge Masvidal
“No direct quote; inferred from card context”
WP
We Want Picks picks Colby Covington
“No direct quote; inferred from card context”
We Want Picks picks Colby Covington
“No direct quote; inferred from card context”
CO
Covers picks Colby Covington
“i think he's gonna win by decision i'm backing Colby Covington to win on points at close to even money”
Covers picks Colby Covington
“i think he's gonna win by decision i'm backing Colby Covington to win on points at close to even money”
WP
We Want Picks picks Colby Covington
“if you think he wins which i do he's gonna get some takedowns gonna get a bunch of control Tim Elliotte and he should win that fight i do see george massive losing”
We Want Picks picks Colby Covington
“if you think he wins which i do he's gonna get some takedowns gonna get a bunch of control Tim Elliotte and he should win that fight i do see george massive losing”
ST
Stephen Wonderboy Thompson picks Colby Covington VALUE
“i think Colby Covington is going to pull off the win”
Stephen Wonderboy Thompson picks Colby Covington VALUE
“i think Colby Covington is going to pull off the win”
WP
We Want Picks picks Colby Covington VALUE
“i'm going to go with Colby Covington though because i get it yan's getting 32 strikes but Colby Covington has two extra rounds to work with”
We Want Picks picks Colby Covington VALUE
“i'm going to go with Colby Covington though because i get it yan's getting 32 strikes but Colby Covington has two extra rounds to work with”
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Jorge Masvidal
“Jorge Masvidal 6800 pump play punchers chance you know colby has been knocked out before colby has been dropped four times in his last three fights mazdale does have a ton of power”
$69.00
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Jorge Masvidal
“Jorge Masvidal 6800 pump play punchers chance you know colby has been knocked out before colby has been dropped four times in his last three fights mazdale does have a ton of power”
$69.00
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Colby Covington VALUE
“i'm going to have a ton of Colby Covington you really have to i mean outside of getting knocked out early on by hori mosvida i think colby covington's going to score the most on the slate”
$95.00
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Colby Covington VALUE
“i'm going to have a ton of Colby Covington you really have to i mean outside of getting knocked out early on by hori mosvida i think colby covington's going to score the most on the slate”
$95.00
HB
Half The Battle picks Colby Covington VALUE
“i mean we you see that guy you know him and and uh Colby Covington he can fight man he backs his talk up you know nine out of ten times”
Half The Battle picks Colby Covington VALUE
“i mean we you see that guy you know him and and uh Colby Covington he can fight man he backs his talk up you know nine out of ten times”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Covington17-4
L
Buckley
Dec '24
L
Edwards
Dec '23
W
Masvidal
Mar '22
L
Usman
Nov '21
W
Woodley
Sep '20
Masvidal35-17
L
Burns
Apr '23
L
Covington
Mar '22
L
Usman
Apr '21
L
Usman
Jul '20
W
Diaz
Nov '19