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Jacoby vs OleksiejczukEarly Preliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
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Covington vs MasvidalMain Card · Welterweight
RA
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Anjos vs MoicanoMain Card · Catchweight
BM
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Mitchell vs BarbozaMain Card · Featherweight
KH
AO
Holland vs OliveiraMain Card · Welterweight
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Turner vs MullarkeyPreliminary Card · Lightweight
MR
YX
Rodriguez vs XiaonanPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
NN
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Negumereanu vs NzechukwuPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
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Moroz vs AgapovaPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
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Nurmagomedov vs KelleherEarly Preliminary Card · Featherweight
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Elliott vs UlanbekovEarly Preliminary Card · Flyweight
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Klein vs SmithEarly Preliminary Card · Lightweight
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Jacoby vs OleksiejczukEarly Preliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Jacoby v Oleksiejczuk
Light Heavyweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Jacoby 22-9-1
VS
22-9 Oleksiejczuk
6'3"
height
6'0"
204 lb
weight
186 lb
76"
reach
74"
38
age
31
Orthodox
stance
Southpaw
5.1
strikes landed / min
5.1
65%
striking accuracy
50%
2.4
strikes absorbed / min
4.6
64%
striking defence
58%
1.5
takedowns / 15 min
1.1
38%
takedown accuracy
43%
61%
takedown defence
48%
1.5
submissions / 15 min
0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
WP
We Want Picks picks Michał Oleksiejczuk
“No direct quote; inferred from card context”
We Want Picks picks Michał Oleksiejczuk
“No direct quote; inferred from card context”
WP
We Want Picks picks Dustin Jacoby VALUE
“i like Dustin Jacoby to win this fight”
We Want Picks picks Dustin Jacoby VALUE
“i like Dustin Jacoby to win this fight”
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Dustin Jacoby VALUE
“i think he wins a unanimous decision minus 190 for jacoby”
$1.53
MMA EXPERTS picks Dustin Jacoby VALUE
“i think he wins a unanimous decision minus 190 for jacoby”
$1.53
KU
Kunath picks Dustin Jacoby
“from the top down we have Colby Covington to win Renato Moicano to win Bryce Mitchell kevin holland Greg Hardy Jalin Turner marina rodriguez Kennedy Nzechukwu marina moroz Umar Nurmagomedov Tagir Ulanbekov Devonte Smith and Dustin Jacoby”
Kunath picks Dustin Jacoby
“from the top down we have Colby Covington to win Renato Moicano to win Bryce Mitchell kevin holland Greg Hardy Jalin Turner marina rodriguez Kennedy Nzechukwu marina moroz Umar Nurmagomedov Tagir Ulanbekov Devonte Smith and Dustin Jacoby”
KU
Kunath picks Michał Oleksiejczuk VALUE
“i think there's decent value here if we go down 100 salary i think there's also decent value on Greg Hardy obviously big knockout power but also physical advantages”
Kunath picks Michał Oleksiejczuk VALUE
“i think there's decent value here if we go down 100 salary i think there's also decent value on Greg Hardy obviously big knockout power but also physical advantages”
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Dustin Jacoby
“i don't really like Dustin Jacoby um but i really don't like Marina Rodriguez here at 9 300”
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Dustin Jacoby
“i don't really like Dustin Jacoby um but i really don't like Marina Rodriguez here at 9 300”
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Michał Oleksiejczuk VALUE
“Michał Oleksiejczuk at 7 600 for like a puncher chance type situation”
$77.00
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Michał Oleksiejczuk VALUE
“Michał Oleksiejczuk at 7 600 for like a puncher chance type situation”
$77.00
HB
Half The Battle picks Michał Oleksiejczuk VALUE
“i'm gonna go me call cause i think the values there plus 180”
$2.80
Half The Battle picks Michał Oleksiejczuk VALUE
“i'm gonna go me call cause i think the values there plus 180”
$2.80
WM
Walk The Line MMA picks Dustin Jacoby
“Dustin Jacoby's going to be my pick like i said i like that reach advantage that he brings in and uh and in a fight where you you pretty much favor it's going to be a striking war um i'm not really too threatened by Michał Oleksiejczuk grappling in fact that might even be a little bit of a weak spot in this game as we talked about him getting subbed recently uh two fights um you know there's no real threat there this is a fight that's pretty much a going to be a stand-up war in my opinion and i favored jacoby there”
$1.53
Walk The Line MMA picks Dustin Jacoby
“Dustin Jacoby's going to be my pick like i said i like that reach advantage that he brings in and uh and in a fight where you you pretty much favor it's going to be a striking war um i'm not really too threatened by Michał Oleksiejczuk grappling in fact that might even be a little bit of a weak spot in this game as we talked about him getting subbed recently uh two fights um you know there's no real threat there this is a fight that's pretty much a going to be a stand-up war in my opinion and i favored jacoby there”
$1.53
UG
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Dustin Jacoby VALUE
“my prediction on this match up i'm gonna side with the guy i've not picked against yet in the ufc and that's going to be Dustin Jacoby”
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Dustin Jacoby VALUE
“my prediction on this match up i'm gonna side with the guy i've not picked against yet in the ufc and that's going to be Dustin Jacoby”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Jacoby22-9-1
W
Walker
Feb '26
W
Lopes
May '25
W
Petrino
Dec '24
L
Reyes
Jun '24
L
Menifield
Dec '23
Oleksiejczuk22-9
L
Magomedov
Jun '26
W
Barriault
Feb '26
W
Meerschaert
Aug '25
W
Dumas
Apr '25
L
Magomedov
Aug '24