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UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Moroz v Agapova Women'S Flyweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
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Consensus6 picks · conf 18/99
Moroz 1
5 Agapova
K pick Moroz
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Moroz 11-6 VS 10-5 Agapova
5'7" height 5'6"
125 lb weight 125 lb
67" reach 69"
34 age 29
Orthodox stance Southpaw
4.4 strikes landed / min 4.4
33% striking accuracy 54%
4.9 strikes absorbed / min 3.6
51% striking defence 52%
0.7 takedowns / 15 min 0.6
24% takedown accuracy 66%
42% takedown defence 45%
0.6 submissions / 15 min 0.8
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
WP We Want Picks picks Maryna Moroz VALUE “i personally think moroes wins this fight”
WP We Want Picks picks Mariya Agapova “No direct quote; inferred from card context”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Mariya Agapova VALUE “give me the agapova side”
KU Kunath picks Maryna Moroz VALUE “i like her at this price i expect her to go way under owned in your contest”
WP We Want Picks picks Maryna Moroz VALUE “i'm actually gonna go with the underdog here i'm going with marina Maryna Moroz” $3.00
WP We Want Picks picks Maryna Moroz VALUE “i actually like marina moroes to win this fight”
WM Walk The Line MMA picks Mariya Agapova VALUE “i got agapova to win the fight” $1.50
UG UFC GamblingAddicts picks Mariya Agapova VALUE “my prediction like i said guys i'm gonna side with Mariya Agapova”
AM Artem MMA picks Mariya Agapova “i'm going to go Mariya Agapova to win the fight” $1.50
AM Artem MMA picks Mariya Agapova “i do think Mariya Agapova is going to win”
WP We Want Picks picks Maryna Moroz VALUE “i actually like her to stay on the outside use her more technical striking use her volume and get it done so i like maria moroz”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Moroz11-6
L Wood Decision · R3 Mar '24
L Silva Submission · R1 Aug '23
L Maia Decision · R3 Nov '22
W Agapova Submission · R2 Mar '22
W Silva Decision · R3 Mar '20
Agapova10-5
L Santos Submission · R1 Jul '24
L Robertson Submission · R2 Sep '22
L Moroz Submission · R2 Mar '22
W Mazo Submission · R3 Oct '21
L Dobson KO/TKO · R2 Aug '20