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Nurmagomedov vs KelleherEarly Preliminary Card · Featherweight
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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Nurmagomedov v Kelleher
Featherweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Nurmagomedov 19-1
VS
24-16 Kelleher
5'8"
height
5'6"
136 lb
weight
136 lb
69"
reach
66"
30
age
39
Orthodox
stance
Switch
4.5
strikes landed / min
3.3
63%
striking accuracy
41%
1.4
strikes absorbed / min
4.6
63%
striking defence
54%
4.0
takedowns / 15 min
1.7
50%
takedown accuracy
41%
100%
takedown defence
60%
0.4
submissions / 15 min
0.7
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
WP
We Want Picks picks Umar Nurmagomedov VALUE
“i think Umar Nurmagomedov just absolutely wrestled the crap out of Brian Kelleher and gets this done”
We Want Picks picks Umar Nurmagomedov VALUE
“i think Umar Nurmagomedov just absolutely wrestled the crap out of Brian Kelleher and gets this done”
WP
We Want Picks picks Brian Kelleher
“No direct quote; inferred from card context”
We Want Picks picks Brian Kelleher
“No direct quote; inferred from card context”
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Umar Nurmagomedov VALUE
“the pick is nurmagomedov”
MMA EXPERTS picks Umar Nurmagomedov VALUE
“the pick is nurmagomedov”
WP
We Want Picks picks Umar Nurmagomedov VALUE
“Umar Nurmagomedov is going to win this fight i see Brian Kelleher Brian Kelleher losing the same way he lost to ricky simone and the same way he's lost to cody steman and some of these other guys that were able to take him down hold him down and get that done so Brian Kelleher Brian Kelleher loses this fight”
We Want Picks picks Umar Nurmagomedov VALUE
“Umar Nurmagomedov is going to win this fight i see Brian Kelleher Brian Kelleher losing the same way he lost to ricky simone and the same way he's lost to cody steman and some of these other guys that were able to take him down hold him down and get that done so Brian Kelleher Brian Kelleher loses this fight”
KU
Kunath picks Umar Nurmagomedov
“from the top down we have Colby Covington to win Renato Moicano to win Bryce Mitchell kevin holland Greg Hardy Jalin Turner marina rodriguez Kennedy Nzechukwu marina moroz Umar Nurmagomedov Tagir Ulanbekov Devonte Smith and Dustin Jacoby”
Kunath picks Umar Nurmagomedov
“from the top down we have Colby Covington to win Renato Moicano to win Bryce Mitchell kevin holland Greg Hardy Jalin Turner marina rodriguez Kennedy Nzechukwu marina moroz Umar Nurmagomedov Tagir Ulanbekov Devonte Smith and Dustin Jacoby”
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Umar Nurmagomedov VALUE
“i think he's safe um and i think he can score pretty decent”
$97.00
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Umar Nurmagomedov VALUE
“i think he's safe um and i think he can score pretty decent”
$97.00
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Brian Kelleher
“i think he's finished his last two or three fights as well uh Brian Kelleher is a guy that he is now uh 35 years old he's going to be at a reach disadvantage”
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Brian Kelleher
“i think he's finished his last two or three fights as well uh Brian Kelleher is a guy that he is now uh 35 years old he's going to be at a reach disadvantage”
MJ
MMA JOEY picks Umar Nurmagomedov VALUE
“i have Umar Nurmagomedov versus Brian Kelleher a breakdown in prediction on the channel”
MMA JOEY picks Umar Nurmagomedov VALUE
“i have Umar Nurmagomedov versus Brian Kelleher a breakdown in prediction on the channel”
MJ
MMA JOEY picks Brian Kelleher
“i have Umar Nurmagomedov versus Brian Kelleher a breakdown in prediction on the channel”
MMA JOEY picks Brian Kelleher
“i have Umar Nurmagomedov versus Brian Kelleher a breakdown in prediction on the channel”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Nurmagomedov19-1
W
Figueiredo
Jan '26
W
Bautista
Oct '25
L
Dvalishvili
Jan '25
W
Sandhagen
Aug '24
W
Almakhan
Mar '24
Kelleher24-16
L
Gibson
Jul '24
L
Garbrandt
Dec '23
L
Bautista
Jun '22
L
Nurmagomedov
Mar '22
W
Croom
Jan '22