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UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read dos Anjos v Moicano Catchweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus10 picks · conf 30/99
dos Anjos 6
4 Moicano
MTMSAC pick dos Anjos
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
dos Anjos 32-17 VS 20-7-1 Moicano
5'8" height 5'11"
171 lb weight 155 lb
70" reach 72"
41 age 37
Southpaw stance Orthodox
3.5 strikes landed / min 4.4
47% striking accuracy 49%
3.2 strikes absorbed / min 3.6
60% striking defence 60%
1.9 takedowns / 15 min 1.9
35% takedown accuracy 44%
54% takedown defence 72%
0.6 submissions / 15 min 0.6
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
WP We Want Picks picks Renato Moicano “No direct quote; inferred from card context”
WP We Want Picks picks Rafael dos Anjos “No direct quote; inferred from card context”
WM Walk The Line MMA picks Renato Moicano VALUE “i'm picking Renato Moicano here” $2.70
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Rafael dos Anjos VALUE “i like dos sanchos for the win” $1.65
CO Covers picks Rafael dos Anjos “i'm betting Rafael dos Anjos on the money line right now that's about -188” $1.53
WP We Want Picks picks Renato Moicano VALUE “personally i think kanata moycano wins this fight”
KU Kunath picks Renato Moicano VALUE “i think hanato Renato Moicano is the better fighter at this stage in their careers”
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Renato Moicano “i think you uh do have to have some wakanda as well” $73.00
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Rafael dos Anjos VALUE “i think it's a pretty solid spot for Rafael dos Anjos again he's 7 300 he's a minus 170 favorite you've got to play him” $74.00
SH Sherdog.com picks Rafael dos Anjos VALUE “i'm going for Rafael dos Anjos at minus 170” $1.59
MJ MMA JOEY picks Renato Moicano “Rafael dos Anjos sanyo Renato Moicano really puts me up i really think the islam fight was the fight to make”
MJ MMA JOEY picks Rafael dos Anjos VALUE “i think probably Rafael dos Anjos finishes him”
Recent form last five, most recent first
dos Anjos32-17
L Neal KO/TKO · R1 Oct '24
L Gamrot Decision · R3 Mar '24
L Luque Decision · R5 Aug '23
W Barberena Submission · R2 Dec '22
L Fiziev KO/TKO · R5 Jul '22
Moicano20-7-1
W Duncan Submission · R2 Apr '26
L Dariush Decision · R3 Jun '25
L Makhachev Submission · R1 Jan '25
W Denis KO/TKO · R2 Sep '24
W Turner KO/TKO · R2 Apr '24