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UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Elliott v Ulanbekov Flyweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus9 picks · conf 27/99
Elliott 3
6 Ulanbekov
DWW pick Elliott
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Elliott 22-13-1 VS 15-2 Ulanbekov
5'7" height 5'7"
126 lb weight 126 lb
66" reach 70"
39 age 34
Southpaw stance Southpaw
3.4 strikes landed / min 3.2
44% striking accuracy 45%
2.7 strikes absorbed / min 3.3
56% striking defence 51%
3.7 takedowns / 15 min 3.7
47% takedown accuracy 46%
59% takedown defence 61%
1.0 submissions / 15 min 2.1
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
WP We Want Picks picks Tagir Ulanbekov VALUE “i think Tagir Ulanbekov just absolutely dominate the fight”
WP We Want Picks picks Tim Elliott “No direct quote; inferred from card context”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Tagir Ulanbekov VALUE “i am going Tagir Ulanbekov win unanimous decision” $1.48
WP We Want Picks picks Tagir Ulanbekov VALUE “i like to gear to beat Tim Elliott to gear should probably be in your lineup”
KU Kunath picks Tagir Ulanbekov “from the top down we have Colby Covington to win Renato Moicano to win Bryce Mitchell kevin holland Greg Hardy Jalin Turner marina rodriguez Kennedy Nzechukwu marina moroz Umar Nurmagomedov Tagir Ulanbekov Devonte Smith and Dustin Jacoby”
DS Dynes Sports picks Tim Elliott VALUE $3.00
DS Dynes Sports picks Tagir Ulanbekov VALUE $1.43
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Tagir Ulanbekov VALUE “i think Tagir Ulanbekov is a solid play as well” $91.00
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Tim Elliott VALUE “Tim Elliott as well if Tim Elliott wins it should score well”
HB Half The Battle picks Tim Elliott “i think that uh once he feels this daggy strength and this daggy pressure and you know this this daggy work in the clinch he's gonna he's gonna fold man” $2.84
HB Half The Battle picks Tagir Ulanbekov VALUE “i'm going to go with the line becca for the win” $1.47
WP We Want Picks picks Tagir Ulanbekov VALUE “i have a bet parlay bet with umar and Tagir Ulanbekov”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Elliott22-13-1
L Erceg Decision · R3 May '26
W Asakura Submission · R2 Aug '25
W Mudaerji Submission · R1 Dec '23
L Mokaev Submission · R3 Oct '23
W Altamirano Decision · R3 Jun '23
Ulanbekov15-2
L Horiguchi Submission · R3 Nov '25
W Maksum Decision · R3 Jun '25
W Carpenter Decision · R3 Jan '25
W Durden Submission · R2 Dec '23
W Maness Submission · R1 Nov '22