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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Mitchell v Barboza
Featherweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Mitchell 18-4
VS
24-12 Barboza
5'10"
height
5'11"
136 lb
weight
155 lb
70"
reach
75"
31
age
40
Southpaw
stance
Orthodox
2.3
strikes landed / min
4.1
58%
striking accuracy
44%
1.6
strikes absorbed / min
4.7
58%
striking defence
56%
3.5
takedowns / 15 min
0.5
41%
takedown accuracy
50%
33%
takedown defence
72%
1.6
submissions / 15 min
0.1
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
WP
We Want Picks picks Edson Barboza
“No direct quote; inferred from card context”
We Want Picks picks Edson Barboza
“No direct quote; inferred from card context”
WP
We Want Picks picks Bryce Mitchell
“No direct quote; inferred from card context”
We Want Picks picks Bryce Mitchell
“No direct quote; inferred from card context”
MJ
MMA JOEY picks Edson Barboza VALUE
“i'm very confident that sin Edson Barboza wins”
MMA JOEY picks Edson Barboza VALUE
“i'm very confident that sin Edson Barboza wins”
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Edson Barboza VALUE
“i'm switching to Edson Barboza especially as an underdog”
$2.40
MMA EXPERTS picks Edson Barboza VALUE
“i'm switching to Edson Barboza especially as an underdog”
$2.40
WP
We Want Picks picks Bryce Mitchell
“i do like Bryce Mitchell to win here but i i don't think he's like a guarantee right but i do like bryce mitchell to win”
We Want Picks picks Bryce Mitchell
“i do like Bryce Mitchell to win here but i i don't think he's like a guarantee right but i do like bryce mitchell to win”
KU
Kunath picks Bryce Mitchell
“from the top down we have Colby Covington to win Renato Moicano to win Bryce Mitchell kevin holland Greg Hardy Jalin Turner marina rodriguez Kennedy Nzechukwu marina moroz Umar Nurmagomedov Tagir Ulanbekov Devonte Smith and Dustin Jacoby”
Kunath picks Bryce Mitchell
“from the top down we have Colby Covington to win Renato Moicano to win Bryce Mitchell kevin holland Greg Hardy Jalin Turner marina rodriguez Kennedy Nzechukwu marina moroz Umar Nurmagomedov Tagir Ulanbekov Devonte Smith and Dustin Jacoby”
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Bryce Mitchell VALUE
“i really do like this guy's fighting style i like his fight iq he's a smart guy”
$84.00
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Bryce Mitchell VALUE
“i really do like this guy's fighting style i like his fight iq he's a smart guy”
$84.00
MJ
MMA JOEY picks Bryce Mitchell
“i'm actually really interested in that Edson Barboza uh Edson Barboza versus Bryce Mitchell fight because i really think Edson Barboza just goes out there and smacks him up for sure”
MMA JOEY picks Bryce Mitchell
“i'm actually really interested in that Edson Barboza uh Edson Barboza versus Bryce Mitchell fight because i really think Edson Barboza just goes out there and smacks him up for sure”
MJ
MMA JOEY picks Edson Barboza VALUE
“i'm actually really interested in that Edson Barboza uh Edson Barboza versus Bryce Mitchell fight because i really think Edson Barboza just goes out there and smacks him up for sure”
MMA JOEY picks Edson Barboza VALUE
“i'm actually really interested in that Edson Barboza uh Edson Barboza versus Bryce Mitchell fight because i really think Edson Barboza just goes out there and smacks him up for sure”
WP
We Want Picks picks Bryce Mitchell
“i got Colby Covington Bryce Mitchell and Kevin Holland in a 3-5 parley”
We Want Picks picks Bryce Mitchell
“i got Colby Covington Bryce Mitchell and Kevin Holland in a 3-5 parley”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Mitchell18-4
W
Luna
Jun '26
W
Nurmagomedov
Jul '25
L
Silva
Apr '25
W
Gracie
Dec '24
L
Emmett
Dec '23
Barboza24-12
L
Turner
Dec '25
L
Klose
Aug '25
L
Murphy
May '24
W
Yusuff
Oct '23
W
Quarantillo
Apr '23