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UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · breakdown

UFC FN Belal Muhammad vs Gabriel Bonfim FULL Card Picks #ufcvegas118

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1 month ago 9W–4L · +0.9u
Picks, timestamped entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event
KS Ketlen Souza v Ariane Carnelossi MONEYLINE WON
“we're going Catelyn Soua by way of decision”
Line since pick CLV +4%
◆ entry$1.40 close$1.34
entry: Betway · best in any region at publish
JC Jeisla Chaves v Yuneisy Duben MONEYLINE WON
“I actually am going to go with Jeisla Chaves. And I actually picked her by way of knockout in round two”
Line since pick CLV −2%
◆ entry$1.29 close$1.32
entry: Betway · best in any region at publish
JL Jordan Leavitt v Joanderson Brito MONEYLINE LOST
“I think Jordan Leavitt's going to utilize that control. Probably do uh do some fun stuff. Maybe get some ground and pound off and uh go ahead and get the decision win over Joe Anderson Joanderson Brito”
Line since pick CLV −1%
◆ entry$2.68 close$2.70
entry: Pinnacle · best in any region at publish
CC Chelsea Chandler v Priscila Cachoeira PROP · DECISION LOST
“I'm going Chelsea Chelsea Chandler here. I think that she's a southpaw. I think the only thing that Priscila Cachoeira has in this matchup is the potential to maybe knock Chelsea Chelsea Chandler out, but I'm thinking that Chelsea Chandler is going to paw at range with the southpaw stance. Chelsea Chelsea Chandler has shown to use a bit of a ground game at moments in her career. I feel like Chelsea Chandler is going to be able to just be better with the volume at range, land a lot of shots, maybe mix in some grappling. I think Priscila Cachoeira may hurt her in moments and maybe maybe Priscila Cachoeira does get the damage off and get Chelsea Chandler out of there or wins it by decision, but I think Chelsea Chandler might just be the better mixed martial artist here. So, I'm going to go with her by way of decision”
Moneyline since pick CLV −1%
◆ entry$1.85 close$1.87
Chandler’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
CC Chelsea Chandler v Priscila Cachoeira MONEYLINE WON
“I'm going Chelsea Chelsea Chandler here. I think that she's a southpaw. I think the only thing that Priscila Cachoeira has in this matchup is the potential to maybe knock Chelsea Chelsea Chandler out, but I'm thinking that Chelsea Chandler is going to paw at range with the southpaw stance. Chelsea Chelsea Chandler has shown to use a bit of a ground game at moments in her career. I feel like Chelsea Chandler is going to be able to just be better with the volume at range, land a lot of shots, maybe mix in some grappling. I think Priscila Cachoeira may hurt her in moments and maybe maybe Priscila Cachoeira does get the damage off and get Chelsea Chandler out of there or wins it by decision, but I think Chelsea Chandler might just be the better mixed martial artist here. So, I'm going to go with her by way of decision”
Line since pick CLV −1%
◆ entry$1.85 close$1.87
entry: Coolbet · best in any region at publish
ÉC Édgar Cháirez v Bruno Gustavo da Silva MONEYLINE WON
“So I'm going with Édgar Cháirez here, guys. I think what'll happen in this fight, I think Bruno Gustavo da Silva is a very uh tried andrue flyweight. The guy is very good with his boxing. Uh he honestly has every chance of laying this fight. If Silva can mix in, in my opinion, the solid body work that he's shown to have in other fights where he's gone to the guy's body with with some big shots. I actually think that Silva could finish Édgar Cháirez because Édgar Cháirez has shown to be a bit weak to the body uh in multiple fights, but particularly the Joshua Van fight. I think that there's a chance Bruno Gustavo da Silva could potentially get a win over Édgar Cháirez here by way of KO that way. But the way I see it going is I think Édgar Cháirez is going to be the longer fighter and I think he's going to catch Bruno Gustavo da Silva with that lead hook. Édgar Cháirez actually, in my opinion, guys, especially when he has the shaved head, kind of fights like Pereira in a way where he has a very solid lead hook. He shaves the head, he looks like him. I think he'll catch Bruno Gustavo da Silva with the lead hook and then just get a bit of a club and sub where, you know, tends to do this in his career where he drops a guy and he gets the sub. Go look at CJ Vergara uh that fight or even a Daniel Lera fight if I remember correctly. It's where Édgar Cháirez just gets guys hurt and gets him up in a submission and gets him out of there. I see that happening in round number two and that is my official prediction as of now. Édgar Cháirez by way of submission in round number two”
Line since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$2.15 close$2.15
entry: BetOnline.ag · best in any region at publish
MM Marcus McGhee v John Yannis MONEYLINE WON
“I got to go Marcus McGhee here by way of decision guys. I think that Marcus McGhee has very clean striking on the feet. Now, I also think that John Yannis has every potential chance to actually catch the chin of Marcus McGhee and put him out because John Yannis can [__] crack. If you haven't seen him fight, go watch some of his regional scene stuff. That guy flatlines people. He hits very hard. He's very good. But I think that Marcus Marcus McGhee here having the look with Peter Yan, having just more experience in there with better fighters and also having a style where I think he has very good balance on the feet. He has very good kicks. He's very good boxing. I just think he'll be the cleaner guy and probably have the more activity over the course of the fight. I do think that John Yannis could potentially catch him and put him out because Jiannis is a fighter who has that type of KO power. But the way I see Marcus McGhee being able to do it is just go out there, maybe have a tough couple moments where John Yannis has landed some big heat. But I think as the fight goes on, we're going to see Marcus McGhee continue to layer on that volume, layer on that boxing pressure, maybe even mix in a little bit of the ground game. And I think Marcus McGhee cruises his way to a nice, you know, maybe 2928, maybe a 30-27 decision win over John Yannis”
Line since pick CLV −2%
◆ entry$1.22 close$1.24
entry: BetOnline.ag · best in any region at publish
IB Iwo Baraniewski v Junior Tafa MONEYLINE WON
“I just I like Iwo Baraniewski's better skill sets as a mixed martial artist. I think he can mix the skill sets better and I think he will likely get it done though by way of knockout in round one. So that's my official prediction”
Line since pick CLV +5%
◆ entry$1.34 close$1.28
entry: Betsson · best in any region at publish
AC Alessandro Costa v Matt Schnell PROP · KO/TKO WON
“the way I see this one going, I think Alessandro Costa goes out there and lands a big round one KO. Uh I think he hurts Matt Schnell, then lands some ground and pound and gets him out of there. And that is my official prediction is a KO in round one by way of Alessandro Costa”
Moneyline since pick CLV −6%
◆ entry$1.15 close$1.22
Costa’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
AC Alessandro Costa v Matt Schnell MONEYLINE WON
“the way I see this one going, I think Alessandro Costa goes out there and lands a big round one KO. Uh I think he hurts Matt Schnell, then lands some ground and pound and gets him out of there. And that is my official prediction is a KO in round one by way of Alessandro Costa”
Line since pick CLV −6%
◆ entry$1.15 close$1.22
entry: BetOnline.ag · best in any region at publish
FZ Farès Ziam v Tom Nolan MONEYLINE LOST
“I actually, guys, I favor this one pretty heavily right now in or on the side of Farès Ziam. I Farès Ziam has just really leveled up his skills and shown us quite a bit of of that leveling up. He's also training and trained close with Justin Gachi for the Patty fight um and uh the Trevor Whitman camp. So I think Farès Ziam is also going to continue to layer in and show us even more improvements in his striking ability and I think that that is what's going to make the difference here. I see Farès Ziam just doing what he did to Sadihov having a nice mixed bag of you know attacks on the feet and then also having that ability to bring things to the ground should he need to. I think Farès Ziam is able to mix things up the exact same way and I can actually see him getting Tom Nolan in a submission and and finishing it by way of submission in round number two”
Line since pick CLV +1%
◆ entry$1.36 close$1.35
entry: Betway · best in any region at publish
BA Brendan Allen v Edmen Shahbazyan MONEYLINE WON
“I got Brendan Allen right now, guys, by way of decision. I'm not exactly that confident, but I do think he he has that better mixed bag of skills. Something I'll say a lot to ultimately get a decision win over Edmond Edmen Shahbazyan”
Line since pick CLV −7%
◆ entry$1.48 close$1.59
entry: BetOnline.ag · best in any region at publish
BM Belal Muhammad v Gabriel Bonfim MONEYLINE LOST
“I actually have said since I saw this bout being made, I I have kind of always favored Belal Muhammad in this matchup because Belal Muhammad is not a guy who is very easily finished. And although we've seen Gabriel Bonfim win a couple of shitty split decision victories, he did get a big knockout finish over Randy Brown in his last outing. Um, and look, there's there's a lot of ways that Gabriel Bonfim can probably mix in and hurt Belal Muhammad, maybe getting knees and stuff like that off, but I think Belal Muhammad is going to be a problem in this matchup because Belal Muhammad has actually proven that his boxing has improved. He does have those Canelo hands now. I feel like Belal Muhammad is going to just do a veteran type performance where he shows the new school, at least this guy who's supposed to be part of the new school, hey look buddy, there's levels to this. I think that we're going to see Belal Muhammad have a very crafty decision. I think he'll be uh out volumeing on the feet. Uh we'll probably see more success from Gabriel Bonfim in the earlier rounds. I think as we get into rounds three, four, and five, that is where Belal Muhammad is going to come come to life here. I think he'll be layering in the boxing, landing a lot of shots. Maybe he even hurts Gabriel Bonfim a couple times cuz Gabriel Bonfim has not proven to have the best chin. There's a chance Gabriel Bonfim just proves me absolutely wrong. Gets Belal Muhammad down, submits him, maybe even knocks Belal Muhammad out. But it's not going to be as easy as just saying it, right? Like it's not something that just happens often. It barely happens to Belal Muhammad. I think Belal Muhammad's got that mixing of the grappling, too, where uh it could be interesting in a grappling skirmish. Does Gabriel Bonfim get him in some type of sub? is does Belal Muhammad just completely wet blanket him and then just land shots from the ground and maybe even probably not go for submissions cuz he doesn't get those a lot as you can tell by him only having one sub in his career. Um I think ultimately guys this fight is prime for a year of the unk performance from that of Belal Muhammad. So I'm going with Belal Muhammad right now the Chicago you got to check in with him in Chicago right? Uh, I'm going to go below by way of decision given that crafty veteran performance over Gabriel Balm Fiend”
Line since pick CLV −7%
◆ entry$1.81 close$1.95
entry: BetOnline.ag · best in any region at publish