MMA Prophecy
🌐BEST
mmanow27
UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · breakdown

THIS CARD IS INSANE Muhammad vs Bonfim Full Breakdown

MM mmanow2761% hit
4 weeks ago 11W–4L · +2.9u
Picks, timestamped entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event
KS Ketlen Souza v Ariane Carnelossi MONEYLINE WON
“I like Caitlin Ketlen Souza. I think she does really really well in this matchup. Again, rematch. So, again, body kick and uh yeah, I I really do like Ketlen Souza Ketlen Souza. I think she wins this.”
Line since pick CLV +3%
◆ entry$1.38 close$1.34
entry: Coolbet · best in any region at publish
JC Jeisla Chaves v Yuneisy Duben MONEYLINE WON
“I'd say Jeisla Chaves because she hasn't lost. I mean, she fought a girl that was six and one. I guess I guess you can say that. Uh, but you know, Yuneisy Duben fought a girl that was 5 and0 and fought a girl that was three and two. very very weird but uh I'm going Jeisla Chaves”
Line since pick CLV −4%
◆ entry$1.27 close$1.32
entry: Caesars · best in any region at publish
JB Joanderson Brito v Jordan Leavitt MONEYLINE WON
“I like Joanderson Brito. I like the X factor uh thing with him. I I I think he's Jordan Leavitt sometimes hesitates in the striking department. He's very like long but he throws late kick sometimes naked. I think Joanderson Brito there's a lot of opportunity to be able to catch Jordan Jordan Leavitt. I like John Joanderson Brito and Joanderson Brito to win the matchup.”
Line since pick CLV −3%
◆ entry$1.56 close$1.61
entry: Coolbet · best in any region at publish
PC Priscila Cachoeira v Chelsea Chandler MONEYLINE LOST
“I like Priscila Cachoeira in this. I I am a little bit worried about the grappling with Chelsea Chelsea Chandler. Is a very big possibility that Chelsea Chandler just grounds her for three rounds. Scary moment potentially in the third by uh Priscila Cachoeira with the striking like a big Hail Mary, but ah it's gosh, I'm going Priscila Cachoeira.”
Line since pick CLV −1%
◆ entry$2.05 close$2.07
entry: Betsson · best in any region at publish
ÉC Édgar Cháirez v Bruno Gustavo da Silva MONEYLINE WON
“I'm going Édgar Cháirez. I I really like Édgar Cháirez in this matchup. I think he's a little bit more um younger. Of course, he's definitely younger. He has 12 finishes.”
Line since pick CLV +2%
◆ entry$2.20 close$2.15
entry: Coolbet · best in any region at publish
MM Marcus McGhee v John Yannis MONEYLINE WON
“I like Marcus Marcus McGhee, but John Yannis I do believe is a live underdog. I I I I do believe that. Um, yeah, but I like Marcus McGhee to win that matchup.”
Line since pick CLV −2%
◆ entry$1.22 close$1.24
entry: BetOnline.ag · best in any region at publish
IB Iwo Baraniewski v Junior Tafa MONEYLINE WON
“I like Ivo Iwo Baraniewski. Not necessarily that I want him to brawl with Junior and think he could do well with that. No, I think Junior is a decently okay striker. Uh I don't think he's incredible, but he does have some uh good strike strikes. The problem is I do think with that is like beating Chris Kevin NOT_IN_ROSTER_37 NOT_IN_ROSTER_37 by TKO means nothing because that guy's awful. Uh beating Shawn NOT_IN_ROSTER_34 by TKO again means nothing because he's awful. you know, Iwo Baraniewski, you can say, sure, beating Austin or Austin L and Iwo Baraniewski means nothing because they're not good fighters, not really proven in the UFC. Sure. I mean, that that's fair. But Belal Muhammad, I think, is is pretty good. Again, you can say a little bit unproven. Fine. I I think I don't know how this says the strength of schedule is four for Iwo Baraniewski and 18 for Junior. I mean, Junior's fought some pretty good like NOT_IN_ROSTER_41, Turko Tacos is not good. NOT_IN_ROSTER_36 is pretty good. It should be on Junior Tafa for sure, but I I like I think we're going to see a lot of grappling from Iowa in this one. I think he's absolutely a ball junior in that aspect. Standing is going to be interesting because Junior is decent, but he also does get overwhelmed by strikers or and and wrestlers obviously like he thought Mohamd Usman, he's a much better striker and Usman was able to bully him. I understand he's bigger still. NOT_IN_ROSTER_39 again means nothing because it's NOT_IN_ROSTER_39. NOT_IN_ROSTER_40 finished him. There's that. NOT_IN_ROSTER_41 uh submitted him. and and then he beat NOT_IN_ROSTER_34, lost to NOT_IN_ROSTER_35, NOT_IN_ROSTER_36, and then beat NOT_IN_ROSTER_37. Now, this guy fights all the time. He is consistently fighting. So, good for him. I'm glad he's back in there. But I like Iwo Baraniewski for sure.”
Line since pick CLV +1%
◆ entry$1.29 close$1.28
entry: Betfair Sportsbook · best in any region at publish
IB Iwo Baraniewski v Junior Tafa PROP · KO/TKO WON
“I like Ivo Iwo Baraniewski. Not necessarily that I want him to brawl with Junior and think he could do well with that. No, I think Junior is a decently okay striker. Uh I don't think he's incredible, but he does have some uh good strike strikes. The problem is I do think with that is like beating Chris Kevin NOT_IN_ROSTER_37 NOT_IN_ROSTER_37 by TKO means nothing because that guy's awful. Uh beating Shawn NOT_IN_ROSTER_34 by TKO again means nothing because he's awful. you know, Iwo Baraniewski, you can say, sure, beating Austin or Austin L and Iwo Baraniewski means nothing because they're not good fighters, not really proven in the UFC. Sure. I mean, that that's fair. But Belal Muhammad, I think, is is pretty good. Again, you can say a little bit unproven. Fine. I I think I don't know how this says the strength of schedule is four for Iwo Baraniewski and 18 for Junior. I mean, Junior's fought some pretty good like NOT_IN_ROSTER_41, Turko Tacos is not good. NOT_IN_ROSTER_36 is pretty good. It should be on Junior Tafa for sure, but I I like I think we're going to see a lot of grappling from Iowa in this one. I think he's absolutely a ball junior in that aspect. Standing is going to be interesting because Junior is decent, but he also does get overwhelmed by strikers or and and wrestlers obviously like he thought Mohamd Usman, he's a much better striker and Usman was able to bully him. I understand he's bigger still. NOT_IN_ROSTER_39 again means nothing because it's NOT_IN_ROSTER_39. NOT_IN_ROSTER_40 finished him. There's that. NOT_IN_ROSTER_41 uh submitted him. and and then he beat NOT_IN_ROSTER_34, lost to NOT_IN_ROSTER_35, NOT_IN_ROSTER_36, and then beat NOT_IN_ROSTER_37. Now, this guy fights all the time. He is consistently fighting. So, good for him. I'm glad he's back in there. But I like Iwo Baraniewski for sure.”
Moneyline since pick CLV +1%
◆ entry$1.29 close$1.28
Baraniewski’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
AC Alessandro Costa v Matt Schnell MONEYLINE WON
“I like K Cost Ka by TKO. I think it's a really really good bet for sure.”
Line since pick CLV −5%
◆ entry$1.16 close$1.22
entry: BetOnline.ag · best in any region at publish
AC Alessandro Costa v Matt Schnell PROP · KO/TKO WON
“I like K Cost Ka by TKO. I think it's a really really good bet for sure.”
Moneyline since pick CLV −5%
◆ entry$1.16 close$1.22
Costa’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
BM Bryce Mitchell v Santiago Luna MONEYLINE WON
“I I think he grapples. I mean, if he can outgrapple, even though I thought um uh what's his name? NOT_IN_ROSTER_47. NOT_IN_ROSTER_48. I thought he Sed won for sure. Uh even though I thought he won, Bryce Mitchell still got that and he still kind of outgrappled NOT_IN_ROSTER_48. So if he can get takedowns on him, there's no chance. I don't think he can't get takedowns on Santiago Luna. Um I do think if uh Santiago Luna is going to win, it's going to be early. I don't think he's going to be able to go all three rounds at a good pace. So I think if he does go to the second, his energy is going to be down and he goes to the third, it's going to be worse. potentially finished in the third round by Bryce Mitchell or win a decision for Bruce Bryce Mitchell. Santiago Luna again is a live dog. I I won't disagree with you guys at all on that, but I do think Bryce Mitchell wins unfortunately.”
Line since pick CLV −4%
◆ entry$1.73 close$1.80
entry: Betfair Sportsbook · best in any region at publish
ES Edmen Shahbazyan v Brendan Allen MONEYLINE LOST
“But yeah, I like Edmen Shahbazyan this. I I really really think his striking and speed and his power and the lack thereof of Brendan Allen. He has a good uh he's a good grappler, but he doesn't have good takedowns. He just doesn't. He's very sloppy. He does get very tired. He has a decent jab, especially early, but I like the speed. I like the power of Edmen Shahbazyan. It's just when does he get going? Because if he hesitates and he waits the fight to go to the second, the third, it could be problems because Brendan Allen is going to be better um in those moments. He's gonna be better at going first. Yeah, strength of schedule 6526. That's weird. But I like Edmond Shabbazi. I think he gets the job done.”
Line since pick CLV +4%
◆ entry$2.90 close$2.80
entry: FanDuel · best in any region at publish
ES Edmen Shahbazyan v Brendan Allen PROP · KO/TKO LOST
“Edmen Shahbazyan by TKO. Now, we're at the main event.”
Moneyline since pick CLV +4%
◆ entry$2.90 close$2.80
Shahbazyan’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
GB Gabriel Bonfim v Belal Muhammad MONEYLINE WON
“I I really really like Gabriel Bonfim. I I just like his ability to press guys, make guys uncomfortable. I don't know how the strength of schedule is 34 for Gabriel Bonfim. That really doesn't make any sense. Um, but yeah, I I Gabriel Bonfim I I really like the fact that he's able to troll these fighters into him, make them uncomfortable, to make bad mistakes, and he's able to capitalize.”
Line since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$2.07 close$2.06
entry: SportsBet · best in any region at publish
KS Ketlen Souza v Ariane Carnelossi PROP · DECISION LOST
“I like Ketlen Souza in this I think Ketlen Souza by split decision.”
Moneyline since pick CLV +3%
◆ entry$1.38 close$1.34
Souza’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted