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UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · breakdown

UFC Fight Night Reyes vs Ulberg | Saturday, September 27th, 2025 | Live Analysis & Companion Viewing

SM Sports Money50% hit
9 months ago 8W–6L · +1.5u 14/15 graded
Picks, timestamped entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event
AP Andre Petroski v Cameron Rowston MONEYLINE LOST
“I got Alexia Thainara Michelle Montague and uh Andre Petroski at plus”
Line since pick CLV +9%
◆ entry$1.73 close$1.59
entry: Betfair Sportsbook · best in any region at publish
MM Michelle Montague v Luana Carolina MONEYLINE WON
“I got Alexia Thainara Michelle Montague and uh Andre Petroski at plus”
Line since pick CLV −1%
◆ entry$1.50 close$1.52
entry: 1xBet · best in any region at publish
DR Dominick Reyes v Carlos Ulberg MONEYLINE LOST
“I'm going to take Dominick Reyes and Charlie Campbell”
Line since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$3.20 close$3.20
entry: BetOnline.ag · best in any region at publish
CC Charlie Campbell v Tom Nolan MONEYLINE LOST
“I'm going to take Dominick Reyes and Charlie Campbell”
Line since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$2.35 close$2.35
entry: BetMGM · best in any region at publish
BP Brando Peričić v Elisha Ellison PROP · KO/TKO WON
“I'm on Brando Peričić. Uh round one KO at plus”
Moneyline since pick CLV +6%
◆ entry$1.59 close$1.50
Peričić’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $2.40
EE Elisha Ellison v Brando Peričić PROP · DECISION LOST
“I'll sprinkle a little of uh Elisha Ellison 16 to1 to win by decision”
Moneyline since pick CLV −7%
◆ entry$2.85 close$3.05
Ellison’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
RB Rolando Bedoya v Jamie Mullarkey MONEYLINE LOST
“I took some Rolando Bedoya here”
Line since pick CLV −11%
◆ entry$1.92 close$2.15
entry: PointsBet (AU) · best in any region at publish
JM Jamie Mullarkey v Rolando Bedoya MONEYLINE WON
“I'm gonna go with Jamie Mullarkey”
Line since pick CLV +3%
◆ entry$1.96 close$1.91
entry: Pinnacle · best in any region at publish
TN Tom Nolan v Evan Elder PROP · KO/TKO VALUE
“I'm going to sprinkle Tom Nolan KO round one and two at plus 550 and plus”
Moneyline since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.96 now$1.96
Nolan’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $6.50
JM Jake Matthews v Neil Magny METHOD LOST
“some same game parlays on Jake Matthews here”
Moneyline since pick CLV −3%
◆ entry$1.25 close$1.29
Matthews’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
JJ Jack Jenkins v Ramon Taveras MONEYLINE WON
“I think Jack Jenkins will rack him up here”
Line since pick CLV +1%
◆ entry$1.38 close$1.37
entry: BetAnything · best in any region at publish
NS Navajo Stirling v Rodolfo Bellato MONEYLINE WON
“I think Navajo Stirling gets the win”
Line since pick CLV +2%
◆ entry$1.45 close$1.42
entry: BetOnline.ag · best in any region at publish
CT Colby Thicknesse v Josias Musasa MONEYLINE WON
“I'm gonna take Colby Thicknesse plus 150”
Line since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$2.40 close$2.40
entry: BetMGM · best in any region at publish
CU Carlos Ulberg v Dominick Reyes PROP · KO/TKO WON
“I think Carlos Ulberg's gonna finish this one”
Moneyline since pick CLV −1%
◆ entry$1.43 close$1.44
Ulberg’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
AT Alexia Thainara v Loma Lookboonmee MONEYLINE WON
“I did jump in on uh Alexia Thainara on the money”
Line since pick CLV −2%
◆ entry$1.43 close$1.46
entry: BetOnline.ag · best in any region at publish