MMA Prophecy
🌐BEST
UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2
Choose a fight to analyse
KU CC Usman vs CovingtonMain Card · Welterweight RN ZW Namajunas vs WeiliMain Card · Women'S Strawweight MV FE Vera vs EdgarMain Card · Bantamweight SB BQ Burgos vs QuarantilloMain Card · Featherweight JG MC Gaethje vs ChandlerMain Card · Lightweight AP AM Pereira vs MichailidisPreliminary Card · Middleweight BG AI Green vs IaquintaPreliminary Card · Lightweight CC PH Curtis vs HawesPreliminary Card · Middleweight NI ES Imavov vs ShahbazyanPreliminary Card · Middleweight IG JW Garry vs WilliamsEarly Preliminary Card · Welterweight CB GV Barnett vs VillanteEarly Preliminary Card · Heavyweight DJ JA Jacoby vs AllanEarly Preliminary Card · Light Heavyweight MB BS Baghdasaryan vs SouzaEarly Preliminary Card · Catchweight OO CV Osbourne vs VergaraEarly Preliminary Card · Catchweight
BEST PRICE Prophecy read Namajunas v Weili Women'S Strawweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
New here? Create a free account for the full leaderboard & bet tracker
Consensus14 picks · conf 35/99
Namajunas 12
2 Weili
TMGSAC pick Namajunas
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Namajunas 15-7 VS 25-3 Weili
5'5" height 5'4"
126 lb weight 115 lb
65" reach 63"
34 age 36
Orthodox stance Switch
3.7 strikes landed / min 5.7
42% striking accuracy 53%
3.5 strikes absorbed / min 3.1
63% striking defence 53%
1.5 takedowns / 15 min 2.5
50% takedown accuracy 46%
61% takedown defence 50%
0.4 submissions / 15 min 0.5
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only Go Pro →
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Rose Namajunas VALUE “i have thug rose”
KU Kunath picks Rose Namajunas “i think that she's probably going to find herself with the victory”
WP We Want Picks picks Rose Namajunas VALUE “if you think Rose Namajunas goes out there and gets it done again how could you not spend that right” $83.00
WP We Want Picks picks Zhang Weili VALUE “i think she's gonna make the adjustments she's training with um henry cejudo i think she's gonna make sure there is zero distance”
CO Covers picks Rose Namajunas VALUE “i'm taking Rose Namajunas to win at this time”
WP We Want Picks picks Rose Namajunas “i go Rose Namajunas”
AM Artem MMA picks Rose Namajunas VALUE “i think he's going to get it done by submission i think her ground game is uh almost like underrated”
AV Alexander Volkanovski picks Rose Namajunas VALUE “my pick for that fight will have to be Rose Namajunas ... i'm going to say it's going to be a decision for Rose Namajunas”
WP We Want Picks picks Zhang Weili VALUE “uh i'm leaning towards Zhang Weili here honestly uh i think she'll make the adjustments she'll protect her chin i think she'll push the pace in this fight i see her being more engaging with Rose Namajunas and leaning into the power i see her keeping it out of kicking range more in the you know traditional boxing range um and Zhang Weili is definitely the more technical pure boxer”
WP We Want Picks picks Rose Namajunas VALUE “i put a money line bet on her like a two unit bet i i even put so i put a submission win on her too because Zhang Weili leading up to this can has been real heavy with henry cejudo i think she comes in it's kind of interesting that she switched didn't i guess she didn't switch all the way but she's really trying to lay into this wrestling because i think that that head kick i think she was even in that that short you know the exchange they had she she notices Rose Namajunas's length i think she she wants to have that backup plan i think she comes in tries to grapple uh Rose Namajunas and she's not a you know a natural grappler so i think she makes a mistake Rose Namajunas is very good in her jujitsu so i put a submission bet on that uh i think it's striking i think that you kind of go away way lee but i think that i think that there's some grappling in here i think it's a totally different fight um i think the main event's the same way as well we'll go to that eventually but i think it's a totally different fight i i i still think Rose Namajunas just pulls out man she's got that that just that it factor that that big moment factor she seems to always thrive in these moments except for you mentioned andra she got dropped on her head um so it was really kind of a tough tough shot there but i like Rose Namajunas in this fight uh i have a submission bet on her i think Zhang Weili comes in and tries to grapple and i think that's a mistake so i like Rose Namajunas all the way on this fight” $1.98
TG THE MMA GURU picks Rose Namajunas VALUE “i do see Rose Namajunas winning this one by renaker choke in the first round i'm going to say no i'm going to say in the second round”
WP We Want Picks picks Zhang Weili VALUE “i'm on the Zhang Weili side very very thinly” $83.00
Recent form last five, most recent first
Namajunas15-7
L Silva Decision · R3 Jan '26
W Maverick Decision · R3 Jun '25
L Blanchfield Decision · R5 Nov '24
W Cortez Decision · R5 Jul '24
W Ribas Decision · R5 Mar '24
Weili25-3
L Shevchenko Decision · R5 Nov '25
W Suarez Decision · R5 Feb '25
W Xiaonan Decision · R5 Apr '24
W Lemos Decision · R5 Aug '23
W Esparza Submission · R2 Nov '22