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UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Burgos v Quarantillo Featherweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus10 picks · conf 30/99
Burgos 8
2 Quarantillo
GUSADW pick Burgos
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Burgos 15-3 VS 18-6 Quarantillo
height 5'10"
weight 146 lb
reach 70"
35 age 37
Orthodox stance Orthodox
7.4 strikes landed / min 7.4
52% striking accuracy 56%
6.8 strikes absorbed / min 5.6
56% striking defence 43%
0.4 takedowns / 15 min 1.2
44% takedown accuracy 23%
91% takedown defence 61%
0.4 submissions / 15 min 1.1
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
KU Kunath picks Billy Quarantillo VALUE “billy quarantilo at 7200 is a really interesting underdog play”
WP We Want Picks picks Shane Burgos “i do think that um shane burglars is going to get it done” $91.00
WP We Want Picks picks Billy Quarantillo “i'd play less less less honestly i think Bobby Green's going to be defending takedowns the whole time i think he wins but i think he's probably going to be defending takedowns most of the rounds uh billy you mentioned that and then colby it just feels like i think he's going to grapple a lot more than the last fight so even if he grapples i'll leave it at 114. it's still five that's just the wrong decision”
AM Artem MMA picks Shane Burgos VALUE “shane bogos by decision is my pick”
PP Pick Pocket Podcast picks Shane Burgos “knocking him out”
WP We Want Picks picks Shane Burgos VALUE “i very narrowly am going to side with Shane Burgos here”
WP We Want Picks picks Shane Burgos “i do think shane wins this” $91.00
WP We Want Picks picks Shane Burgos “i'm going with your original analysis and sometimes i'll stick it and just kind of lay it you know and hope you're right”
SD Santino DeFranco picks Shane Burgos VALUE “i think shane burgos wins this i don't know if he finishes billy q because billy q is really hard to finish though he has been finished before by tko and knockout um so it wouldn't surprise me uh i i think it's a big step up for billy and and i don't think he's gonna come out the victor on that one”
MJ MMA JOEY picks Billy Quarantillo “my official prediction i am going to go with billy quarantilo by decision”
MJ MMA JOEY picks Shane Burgos “i was really thinking that burgos was probably going to pull this fight off”
RU RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Shane Burgos VALUE $1.50
Recent form last five, most recent first
Burgos15-3
W Jourdain Decision · R3 Jul '22
W Quarantillo Decision · R3 Nov '21
L Barboza KO/TKO · R3 May '21
L Emmett Decision · R3 Jun '20
W Amirkhani KO/TKO · R3 Nov '19
Quarantillo18-6
L Swanson KO/TKO · R3 Dec '24
L Zalal Submission · R2 Mar '24
W Jackson Decision · R3 Aug '23
L Barboza KO/TKO · R1 Apr '23
W Hernandez KO/TKO · R2 Dec '22