MMA Prophecy
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UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Jacoby v Allan Light Heavyweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus6 picks · conf 18/99
Jacoby 3
3 Allan
SAW pick Jacoby
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Jacoby 22-9-1 VS 13-7 Allan
6'3" height 6'1"
204 lb weight —
76" reach 75"
38 age 33
Orthodox stance Orthodox
5.1 strikes landed / min 3.6
65% striking accuracy 42%
2.4 strikes absorbed / min 5.7
64% striking defence 52%
1.5 takedowns / 15 min 1.4
38% takedown accuracy 71%
61% takedown defence 50%
1.5 submissions / 15 min 0.8
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
RU RotoWire MMA / UFC picks John Allan VALUE “i'm picking John Allan allen”
WP We Want Picks picks John Allan VALUE “i think uh yeah 9600 bucks i'm not gonna spend it no i completely agree we'll take a look at Ian Machado Garry really quick” $79.00
WP We Want Picks picks Dustin Jacoby “somebody we're pretty sure is gonna win should probably get a stoppage” $97.00
WP We Want Picks picks Dustin Jacoby VALUE “i like the less less as well because they are two strikers but Dustin Jacoby is a different level striker”
AM Artem MMA picks Dustin Jacoby VALUE “i do think we're gonna get a fourth ko in a row Dustin Jacoby”
WP We Want Picks picks Dustin Jacoby VALUE “i'm not touching John Allan uh if if jacoby is eight anything i'll have him in my lineup”
WP We Want Picks picks Dustin Jacoby VALUE “i do like short notice Dustin Jacoby here” $1.34
WP We Want Picks picks John Allan “Dustin Jacoby is taking on a short notice but John Allan is tough”
SD Santino DeFranco picks Dustin Jacoby VALUE “is there any way this goes any other way than Dustin Jacoby”
WM Walk The Line MMA picks Dustin Jacoby “i gotta pick Dustin Jacoby here” $1.54
UG UFC GamblingAddicts picks John Allan “i believe John Allan with the pressure maybe he can break alexa kama” $1.83
Recent form last five, most recent first
Jacoby22-9-1
W Walker KO/TKO · R2 Feb '26
W Lopes KO/TKO · R1 May '25
W Petrino KO/TKO · R3 Dec '24
L Reyes KO/TKO · R1 Jun '24
L Menifield Decision · R3 Dec '23
Allan13-7
L Jacoby Decision · R3 Nov '21
L Dolidze Decision · R3 Dec '20